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InTheRafters.com

WSH @ CHC

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:20 PM CT⚾ Jake Irvin vs Shota ImanagaMLB.TVNationals.TV
Result readWashington Nationals

Washington Nationals 6 · Chicago Cubs 3

Final
Washington Nationals19-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Chicago Cubs27-14-1+1.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.0) · expected win rate 61% · last 10: 80%
Venue EdgeWrigley FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Washington Nationals: Chicago Cubs’s scoring margin profile and Chicago Cubs’s recent stretch. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Chicago Cubs at 78%. Actual: Washington Nationals by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Washington Nationals

Chicago Cubs

Injury Report

Chicago Cubs

Jeff BrighamDay-To-DayJaxon WigginsDay-To-DayJordan Wicks15-Day-ILCaleb Thielbar15-Day-ILMatthew Boyd15-Day-IL

Washington Nationals

Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Washington Nationals
DL Daylen Lile LF · #4 JY Jacob Young CF · #30 JW James Wood RF · #29 BH Brady House 3B · #12 CA CJ Abrams SS · #5 NN Nasim Nunez 2B · #26 LG L. Garcia Jr. 1B · #2 CC Cade Cavalli P · #24 DM Drew Millas C · #14
Chicago Cubs
IH Ian Happ LF · #8 PC Crow-Armstrong CF · #4 MS Matt Shaw RF · #6 AB Alex Bregman 3B · #3 DS Dansby Swanson SS · #7 NH Nico Hoerner 2B · #2 MB Michael Busch 1B · #29 EC Edward Cabrera P · #30 MB M. Ballesteros C · #25

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreRuiz homered to left center (373 feet), Nuñez scored.8th Inning6–2
  2. ScoreBregman homered to center (399 feet).4th Inning3–1
  3. ScoreWiemer homered to left center (384 feet), House scored and Lile scored.1st Inning3–0
  4. ScoreBregman homered to right center (377 feet).8th Inning6–3
  5. ScoreRuiz hit sacrifice fly to center, Lile scored.6th Inning4–2
  6. ScoreHapp homered to left (361 feet).4th Inning3–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Washington Nationals3000010206112
Chicago Cubs000200010340

Washington Nationals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
James Wood RF·0-4400001225.077.143.308
Andres Chaparro 1B·0-3300000214.333.429.500
Luis Garcia Jr. 1B1-220100006.250.250.250
Brady House 3B·2-5512000112.308.357.538
Daylen Lile LF·2-4422001113.333.429.417
Joey Wiemer RF·3-33133110181.0001.0002.333
CJ Abrams SS·0-3300000215.143.250.143
Nasim Nunez 2B·1-4411000118.222.364.222
Keibert Ruiz C·1-3311310012.286.250.714
Jacob Young CF·1-4401000015.182.182.545

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jake Irvin SP·5.032217293-583.6093
PJ Poulin RP0.200011014-80.0014
Gus Varland RP1.10000109-70.009
Cionel Perez RP1.011101111-84.5011
Clayton Beeter RP1.00000006-60.006

Chicago Cubs

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Michael Busch 1B·0-4400000214.333.429.500
Alex Bregman 3B·2-4422220017.231.286.692
Ian Happ LF·1-3311111214.231.286.692
Pete Crow-Armstrong CF·0-4400000016.308.357.308
Nico Hoerner 2B·1-4401000118.182.308.273
Carson Kelly C·0-4400000113.143.333.143
Moises Ballesteros C·0-4400000111.100.182.100
Dansby Swanson SS·0-3300000215.125.364.125
Michael Conforto RF·0-2200001115.000.250.000

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Shota Imanaga SP·5.064427182-507.2082
Phil Maton RP1.000011023-140.0023
Hunter Harvey RP1.010000010-70.0010
Hoby Milner RP1.022200117-129.0017
Daniel Palencia RP1.020001016-90.0016

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 6th InningWiemer walked, Lile to second.
  2. 6th InningPitch 8 : Ball 4
  3. 3rd InningSwanson struck out swinging.
  4. 9th InningWood flied out to center.

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningRuiz homered to left center (373 feet), Nuñez scored.6–2
  2. 4th InningBregman homered to center (399 feet).3–1
  3. 1st InningWiemer homered to left center (384 feet), House scored and Lile scored.3–0
  4. 8th InningBregman homered to right center (377 feet).6–3
  5. 6th InningRuiz hit sacrifice fly to center, Lile scored.4–2
  6. 4th InningHapp homered to left (361 feet).3–2

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