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InTheRafters.com

COL @ TOR

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor7:07 PM ET⚾ Tomoyuki Sugano vs Cody PonceMLB.TVRockies.TV
Result readColorado Rockies

Colorado Rockies 14 · Toronto Blue Jays 5

Final
Colorado Rockies16-25-2-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 25%
Toronto Blue Jays18-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeRogers CentreHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Colorado Rockies: Toronto Blue Jays’s scoring margin profile and Toronto Blue Jays’s recent stretch. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Toronto Blue Jays at 79%. Actual: Colorado Rockies by 9.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Colorado Rockies

Toronto Blue Jays

Injury Report

Toronto Blue Jays

Javen ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILFernando Perezdevelopmental list

Colorado Rockies

Jimmy HergetBereavementJared ThomasDay-To-DayMcCade Brown60-Day-ILJeff Criswell60-Day-ILRyan Feltner15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Colorado Rockies
MM Mickey Moniak LF · #22 BD Brenton Doyle CF · #9 TJ Troy Johnston RF · #20 KK Kyle Karros 3B · #12 ET Ezequiel Tovar SS · #14 EJ Edouard Julien 2B · #6 TR TJ Rumfield 1B · #7 ML M. Lorenzen P · #24 HG Hunter Goodman C · #15
Toronto Blue Jays
JS Jesus Sanchez LF · #12 DV Daulton Varsho CF · #5 MS Myles Straw RF · #3 KO Kazuma Okamoto 3B · #7 AG Andres Gimenez SS · #0 EC Ernie Clement 2B · #22 VG Guerrero Jr. 1B · #27 KG Kevin Gausman P · #34 TH Tyler Heineman C · #55

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreFulford singled to center, Beck scored.6th Inning5–1
  2. ScoreGiménez homered to center (406 feet).8th Inning13–2
  3. ScoreKarros scored on error, McCarthy safe at first on fielding error by pitcher Ponce.3rd Inning1–0
  4. ScoreSchneider homered to left (366 feet), Sánchez scored.8th Inning13–4
  5. 🏃 DoubleTovar doubled to center, Castro and Goodman scored.6th Inning9–1
  6. ScoreJohnston homered to right (423 feet), Rumfield scored.6th Inning4–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Colorado Rockies00110704114170
Toronto Blue Jays001000031572

Colorado Rockies

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jake McCarthy LF·0-3300100012.071.133.071
Brenton Doyle CF2-332200005.143.200.214
Hunter Goodman C·2-4422101218.375.412.438
Brett Sullivan C0-000000106.000.250.000
Willi Castro 2B·1-4411200119.200.250.333
Ryan Ritter 2B1-221100003.250.250.250
Ezequiel Tovar SS·3-6623300125.333.333.611
TJ Rumfield 1B·3-5513200117.357.438.643
Troy Johnston RF·2-5512210116.333.333.667
Jordan Beck LF·0-4410001022.182.308.273
Kyle Karros 3B·1-4411001220.286.333.357
Edouard Julien 2B·0-2200000212.143.143.286
Braxton Fulford C2-3322210010.400.4001.000

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Tomoyuki Sugano SP·4.221124172-431.9372
Jaden Hill RP0.10000001-14.501
Chase Dollander SP4.054425374-499.0074

Toronto Blue Jays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
George Springer DH·1-5511110218.158.158.526
Jesus Sanchez LF·2-4412001025.444.583.778
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B·0-3300000110.308.471.308
Davis Schneider LF1-111121005.250.2501.000
Addison Barger RF·0-4400000210.000.133.000
Alejandro Kirk C·0-3300001113.083.214.333
Daulton Varsho CF·0-3300000110.143.250.143
Nathan Lukes RF0-1100000010.000.200.000
Kazuma Okamoto 3B·1-3311111220.333.444.733
Ernie Clement 2B·1-440100008.294.294.412
Andres Gimenez SS·1-3311111018.500.563.857

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Cody Ponce SP·2.111113047-303.8647
Louis Varland RP1.121003030-200.0030
Spencer Miles RP1.233312141-2310.1341
Brendon Little RP0.244411030-1747.2530
Tyler Rogers RP1.000001010-80.0010
Tyler Heineman C2.075510127-2122.5027

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningLukes grounded out to second.
  2. 9th InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
  3. 6th InningSánchez walked.
  4. 6th InningFulford singled to center, Beck scored.5–1
  5. 9th InningPitch 9 : Strike 2 Foul

Scoring Plays

  1. 6th InningFulford singled to center, Beck scored.5–1
  2. 8th InningGiménez homered to center (406 feet).13–2
  3. 3rd InningKarros scored on error, McCarthy safe at first on fielding error by pitcher Ponce.1–0
  4. 8th InningSchneider homered to left (366 feet), Sánchez scored.13–4
  5. 6th InningTovar doubled to center, Castro and Goodman scored.9–1
  6. 6th InningJohnston homered to right (423 feet), Rumfield scored.4–1
  7. 3rd InningSpringer homered to left center (416 feet).1–1
  8. 6th InningCastro doubled to right, Fulford and Doyle scored, Goodman to third.7–1
  9. 4th InningTovar scored on error, Beck safe at first on fielding error by second baseman Clement.2–1
  10. 8th InningRumfield singled to right, Ritter and Tovar scored.13–1
  11. 9th InningOkamoto homered to center (399 feet).14–5
  12. 9th InningFulford homered to left center (376 feet).14–4
  13. 8th InningTovar doubled to center, Goodman scored, Ritter to third.11–1
  14. 8th InningGoodman doubled to left, Doyle scored.10–1

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