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In The Rafters

TEX @ BAL

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:35 PM ET64°F · 11 mph wind · clear⚾ Jack Leiter vs Chris BassittMLB.TV
Result readTexas Rangers

Texas Rangers 5 · Baltimore Orioles 2

Final
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Baltimore Orioles18-23-1-1.0 net/g (SOS-adj -1.1) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 30%
Venue EdgeOriole Park at Camden YardsHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Texas Rangers is the model’s call — Texas Rangers on the margin numbers, Texas Rangers on the form numbers. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Texas Rangers at 81%. Actual: Texas Rangers by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Texas Rangers

Baltimore Orioles

Injury Report

Baltimore Orioles

Will RobertsonDay-To-DayTrevor Rogers15-Day-ILKeagan GilliesDay-To-DayJackson Holliday10-Day-ILDean Kremer15-Day-IL

Texas Rangers

Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILCody Freeman10-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Texas Rangers
ED Ezequiel Duran LF · #20 EC Evan Carter CF · #32 BN Brandon Nimmo RF · #24 JJ Josh Jung 3B · #6 CS Corey Seager SS · #5 JS Josh Smith 2B · #8 JB Jake Burger 1B · #21 MG MacKenzie Gore P · #1 DJ Danny Jansen C · #9
Baltimore Orioles
TW Taylor Ward LF · #3 LT Leody Taveras CF · #30 CC Colton Cowser RF · #17 CM Coby Mayo 3B · #16 GH G. Henderson SS · #2 JJ J. Jackson 2B · #82 PA Pete Alonso 1B · #25 CB Chris Bassitt P · #40 SB Samuel Basallo C · #29

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreSmith singled to left, Burger scored, McCutchen to second.9th Inning5–2
  2. ScorePederson hit sacrifice fly to left, Nimmo scored.2nd Inning4–1
  3. ScoreBurger singled to right, Higashioka scored, Seager to second, Nimmo to third.2nd Inning3–1
  4. ScoreNimmo singled to right, Carter scored, Higashioka to second.2nd Inning2–1
  5. ScoreHenderson homered to center (410 feet).1st Inning1–1
  6. ScoreHenderson singled to right, Cowser scored, Alexander to third.5th Inning4–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Texas Rangers1300000015100
Baltimore Orioles100010000271

Texas Rangers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brandon Nimmo RF·3-5523100119.412.474.588
Wyatt Langford LF·1-5501000119.105.105.105
Corey Seager SS·0-3300002019.286.421.500
Jake Burger 1B·2-4412200012.471.500.882
Joc Pederson 1B·0-2200100115.000.167.000
Andrew McCutchen LF1-2201000115.455.455.909
Josh Smith 2B·1-3301102126.200.385.200
Josh Jung 3B·0-5500000213.000.000.000
Evan Carter CF·2-5512000223.273.385.364
Kyle Higashioka C·0-3310001220.250.333.250

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jack Leiter SP·6.052218192-603.0092
Jakob Junis RP1.00000008-80.008
Jalen Beeks RP1.020001013-110.0013
Tyler Alexander RP1.000002010-70.0010

Baltimore Orioles

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Taylor Ward LF·1-4401000010.133.278.133
Gunnar Henderson SS·2-4412210114.188.278.375
Pete Alonso 1B·1-4401000216.267.353.267
Adley Rutschman C·1-4401000113.364.462.636
Tyler O'Neill RF·0-440000019.182.308.455
Dylan Beavers RF·0-3300000111.111.111.222
Jeremiah Jackson 2B0-110000015.375.375.375
Coby Mayo 3B·0-4400000213.154.267.231
Colton Cowser RF·1-2211001018.333.375.500
Ryan Mountcastle 1B0-110000014.200.200.200
Blaze Alexander 3B·1-3301000110.429.429.429

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Chris Bassitt SP·4.1644430100-618.31100
Dietrich Enns RP1.210014034-182.7034
Rico Garcia RP2.000003021-130.0021
Tyler Wells RP1.031101026-1910.1326

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 5th InningCarter struck out looking.
  2. 5th InningPitch 7 : Strike 3 Looking
  3. 9th InningSmith singled to left, Burger scored, McCutchen to second.5–2
  4. 9th InningMcCutchen reached on infield single to shortstop, Burger to third.
  5. 6th InningMcCutchen struck out swinging.

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningSmith singled to left, Burger scored, McCutchen to second.5–2
  2. 2nd InningPederson hit sacrifice fly to left, Nimmo scored.4–1
  3. 2nd InningBurger singled to right, Higashioka scored, Seager to second, Nimmo to third.3–1
  4. 2nd InningNimmo singled to right, Carter scored, Higashioka to second.2–1
  5. 1st InningHenderson homered to center (410 feet).1–1
  6. 5th InningHenderson singled to right, Cowser scored, Alexander to third.4–2
  7. 1st InningBurger grounded into fielder's choice to pitcher, Nimmo scored, Burger safe at second on throwing error by pitcher Bassitt, Langford third.1–0

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