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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor7:07 PM ET⚾ Ryan Feltner vs Max ScherzerMLB.TVRockies.TV
Result readToronto Blue Jays

Colorado Rockies 1 · Toronto Blue Jays 5

Final
Colorado Rockies16-25-2-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 25%
Toronto Blue Jays18-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeRogers CentreHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Toronto Blue Jays is the model’s call — Toronto Blue Jays on the margin numbers, Toronto Blue Jays on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Toronto Blue Jays at 74%. Actual: Toronto Blue Jays by 4.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Injury Report

Toronto Blue Jays

Javen ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILFernando Perezdevelopmental list

Colorado Rockies

Jimmy HergetBereavementJared ThomasDay-To-DayMcCade Brown60-Day-ILJeff Criswell60-Day-ILRyan Feltner15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreOkamoto singled to left, Straw scored, Guerrero Jr. to second.7th Inning1–3
  2. ScoreGuerrero Jr. walked, Heineman scored, Sánchez to second, Springer to third.5th Inning0–2
  3. ScoreGoodman homered to left center (435 feet).6th Inning1–2
  4. ScoreSánchez singled to center, Varsho scored, Springer to second, Heineman to third.5th Inning0–1
  5. 💣 Home RunLukes singled to right, Guerrero Jr. scored, Okamoto thrown out at third.7th Inning1–4
  6. 🏃 DoubleClement doubled to left, Lukes scored.7th Inning1–5

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Colorado Rockies000001000170
Toronto Blue Jays000020305140

Colorado Rockies

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jake McCarthy LF·1-4401000016.111.158.167
Hunter Goodman C·1-4411110119.350.381.550
Willi Castro 2B·0-4400000112.158.200.263
Ezequiel Tovar SS·1-440100018.318.318.545
TJ Rumfield 1B·3-4403000116.444.500.667
Troy Johnston RF·0-220000008.273.273.545
Jordan Beck LF0-220000009.154.267.231
Brenton Doyle CF·1-2201001112.188.278.250
Kyle Karros 3B·0-3300000125.235.278.294
Ryan Ritter 2B·0-220000008.167.167.167
Edouard Julien 2B0-110000003.125.125.250

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Ryan Feltner SP·3.010014047-300.0047
Juan Mejia RP1.142210038-265.4038
Jaden Hill RP0.210012016-93.3816
Brennan Bernardino RP1.010001015-130.0015
Zach Agnos RP2.073313045-338.1045

Toronto Blue Jays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
George Springer DH·1-3301002228.182.250.500
Jesus Sanchez LF·2-4402100113.462.563.692
Myles Straw RF1-111100001.667.667.667
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B·2-3312102017.375.545.375
Kazuma Okamoto 3B·1-5501100327.300.391.600
Nathan Lukes RF·2-4412100214.250.333.250
Ernie Clement 2B·1-440110009.286.286.429
Daulton Varsho CF·1-4411000016.167.250.167
Tyler Heineman C·2-4412000123.500.571.500
Andres Gimenez SS·1-4401000113.444.500.722

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Max Scherzer SP·6.041114183-561.5083
Mason Fluharty RP0.210001015-1118.0015
Braydon Fisher RP1.110000023-140.0023
Jeff Hoffman RP1.010001015-123.0015

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 2nd InningKarros struck out looking.
  2. 2nd InningPitch 10 : Strike 3 Looking
  3. 8th InningKarros grounded out to shortstop.

Scoring Plays

  1. 7th InningOkamoto singled to left, Straw scored, Guerrero Jr. to second.1–3
  2. 5th InningGuerrero Jr. walked, Heineman scored, Sánchez to second, Springer to third.0–2
  3. 6th InningGoodman homered to left center (435 feet).1–2
  4. 5th InningSánchez singled to center, Varsho scored, Springer to second, Heineman to third.0–1
  5. 7th InningLukes singled to right, Guerrero Jr. scored, Okamoto thrown out at third.1–4
  6. 7th InningClement doubled to left, Lukes scored.1–5

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