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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM CT⚾ Jose Soriano vs Jameson TaillonMLB.TV
Result readLos Angeles Angels

Los Angeles Angels 2 · Chicago Cubs 0

Final
Los Angeles Angels16-25-0.6 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 44% · last 10: 40%
Chicago Cubs27-14-1+1.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.0) · expected win rate 61% · last 10: 80%
Venue EdgeWrigley FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Los Angeles Angels on the back of Chicago Cubs’s margin work and Chicago Cubs’s last-ten momentum. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Chicago Cubs at 82%. Actual: Los Angeles Angels by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Los Angeles Angels

Chicago Cubs

Injury Report

Chicago Cubs

Jeff BrighamDay-To-DayJaxon WigginsDay-To-DayJordan Wicks15-Day-ILCaleb Thielbar15-Day-ILMatthew Boyd15-Day-IL

Los Angeles Angels

Ryan Johnson15-Day-ILBen Joyce15-Day-ILLogan O'Hoppe10-Day-ILTravis d'Arnaud10-Day-ILGrayson Rodriguez15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreO'Hoppe reached on infield single to third, Soler scored and Candelario scored.6th Inning2–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Los Angeles Angels000002000251
Chicago Cubs000000000040

Los Angeles Angels

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Zach Neto SS·0-4400001219.174.345.478
Mike Trout CF·0-3300002124.300.517.600
Nolan Schanuel 1B·0-5500000022.280.379.520
Jorge Soler RF·0-3310001218.174.321.348
Jeimer Candelario 3B·1-4411000216.200.200.400
Adam Frazier 2B0-000000000.000.250.000
Jo Adell RF·1-4401000118.261.320.261
Josh Lowe LF·0-3300001115.095.174.286
Bryce Teodosio LF0-000000000.000.000.000
Logan O'Hoppe C·1-3301201018.235.316.235
Oswald Peraza 2B·2-3302001016.353.421.588

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jose Soriano SP·6.020024090-560.0090
Chase Silseth RP1.010011014-80.0014
Drew Pomeranz RP1.110002020-148.1020
Jordan Romano RP0.200011012-60.0012

Chicago Cubs

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Michael Busch 1B·0-3300000011.222.364.333
Carson Kelly C1-110100001.250.357.250
Alex Bregman 3B·0-4400000021.190.261.476
Ian Happ LF·0-2200002119.211.348.684
Pete Crow-Armstrong CF·0-330000028.263.333.263
Nico Hoerner 2B·1-4401000117.235.333.353
Dansby Swanson SS·0-3300001220.214.421.214
Moises Ballesteros C·1-2201001112.188.278.188
Scott Kingery 3B0-000000000.000.000.000
Michael Conforto RF0-110000014.000.143.000
Matt Shaw RF·0-330000008.182.167.182
Miguel Amaya C·1-3301000015.429.429.857

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jameson Taillon SP·4.220043085-520.0085
Hoby Milner RP0.10000003-37.713
Phil Maton RP0.222221028-187.7128
Ben Brown RP3.110015050-392.7050

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningAmaya fouled out to first.
  2. 8th InningPitch 6 : Ball In Play
  3. 9th InningTrout struck out swinging.
  4. 8th InningPitch 5 : Ball 3

Scoring Plays

  1. 6th InningO'Hoppe reached on infield single to third, Soler scored and Candelario scored.2–0

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