CLE @ LAD
Dodger Stadium · Los Angeles, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Afternoon GameOutdoor5:20 PM PT59°F · partly cloudy⚾ Gavin Williams vs Yoshinobu YamamotoMLB.TVCLEGuardians.TV
Result readCleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians 4 · Los Angeles Dodgers 1
Final
Cleveland Guardians21-21-1-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Los Angeles Dodgers24-16+1.7 net/g (SOS-adj +1.6) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeDodger StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Cleveland Guardians is the model’s call — Los Angeles Dodgers on the margin numbers, Cleveland Guardians on the form numbers. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 74%. Actual: Cleveland Guardians by 3.
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 74%. Actual: Cleveland Guardians by 3.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Cleveland Guardians
- Gavin Williams SP · #32
- Joey Cantillo SP · #54
- Jose Ramirez 3B · #11
- Brayan Rocchio SS · #4
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Emmet Sheehan SP · #80
- Tyler Glasnow SP · #31
- Andy Pages CF · #44
- Shohei Ohtani DH · #17
Injury Report
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts10-Day-ILBen Casparius15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow15-Day-ILGavin Stone60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol15-Day-IL
Cleveland Guardians
Gabriel Arias10-Day-ILShawn Armstrong15-Day-ILAndrew Walters15-Day-ILCarlos HernandezDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreArias homered to center (407 feet).2–0
- ScoreRamírez homered to left (376 feet), Martínez scored.4–0
- 💣 Home RunSchneemann scored on throwing error by catcher Smith.1–0
- 💣 Home RunSchneemann scored on throwing error by catcher Smith.1–0
- ScoreFreeman homered to center (407 feet).4–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Cleveland Guardians
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | .259 | .333 | .296 |
| Angel Martinez LF· | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | .200 | .333 | .267 |
| Jose Ramirez 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .143 | .200 | .321 |
| Kyle Manzardo 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .083 | .185 | .083 |
| Rhys Hoskins 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .286 | .444 | .429 |
| Bo Naylor C· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .158 | .200 | .158 |
| Daniel Schneemann CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .222 | .222 | .389 |
| Gabriel Arias SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | .105 | .150 | .263 |
| Brayan Rocchio SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .200 | .360 | .250 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williams SP· | 7.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 85-55 | 2.25 | 85 |
| Shawn Armstrong RP | 0.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19-12 | 2.70 | 19 |
| Erik Sabrowski RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 0.00 | 3 |
| Cade Smith RP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19-13 | 9.00 | 19 |
Los Angeles Dodgers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani DH· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | .167 | .423 | .167 |
| Kyle Tucker RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .174 | .240 | .217 |
| Mookie Betts SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | .136 | .240 | .318 |
| Freddie Freeman 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .208 | .240 | .375 |
| Will Smith C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | .200 | .200 | .500 |
| Max Muncy 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | .286 | .444 | .500 |
| Teoscar Hernandez LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .238 | .238 | .238 |
| Andy Pages CF· | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .429 | .429 | .619 |
| Alex Freeland 2B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | .250 | .333 | .750 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto SP· | 6.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 87-52 | 3.00 | 87 |
| Will Klein RP | 1.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 35-20 | 2.45 | 35 |
| Tanner Scott RP | 0.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9-8 | 3.38 | 9 |
| Blake Treinen RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17-13 | 0.00 | 17 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 9th InningNaylor struck out swinging.
- 8th InningMartínez walked.
- 9th InningPitch 10 : Strike 3 Swinging
- 8th InningPitch 8 : Ball 4
- 9th InningPitch 9 : Ball 3
- 8th InningPitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul
Scoring Plays
- 3rd InningArias homered to center (407 feet).2–0
- 8th InningRamírez homered to left (376 feet), Martínez scored.4–0
- 3rd InningSchneemann scored on throwing error by catcher Smith.1–0
- 3rd InningSchneemann scored on throwing error by catcher Smith.1–0
- 9th InningFreeman homered to center (407 feet).4–1