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InTheRafters.com

COL @ TOR

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameIndoor1:07 PM ET⚾ Kyle Freeland vs Kevin GausmanMLB.TVRockies.TV
Result readColorado Rockies

Colorado Rockies 2 · Toronto Blue Jays 1

Final
Colorado Rockies16-25-2-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 25%
Toronto Blue Jays18-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeRogers CentreHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Colorado Rockies is the model’s call — Toronto Blue Jays on the margin numbers, Toronto Blue Jays on the form numbers. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Toronto Blue Jays at 76%. Actual: Colorado Rockies by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Colorado Rockies

Toronto Blue Jays

Injury Report

Toronto Blue Jays

Javen ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILFernando Perezdevelopmental list

Colorado Rockies

Jimmy HergetBereavementJared ThomasDay-To-DayMcCade Brown60-Day-ILJeff Criswell60-Day-ILRyan Feltner15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Colorado Rockies
MM Mickey Moniak LF · #22 BD Brenton Doyle CF · #9 TJ Troy Johnston RF · #20 KK Kyle Karros 3B · #12 ET Ezequiel Tovar SS · #14 EJ Edouard Julien 2B · #6 TR TJ Rumfield 1B · #7 ML M. Lorenzen P · #24 HG Hunter Goodman C · #15
Toronto Blue Jays
JS Jesus Sanchez LF · #12 DV Daulton Varsho CF · #5 MS Myles Straw RF · #3 KO Kazuma Okamoto 3B · #7 AG Andres Gimenez SS · #0 EC Ernie Clement 2B · #22 VG Guerrero Jr. 1B · #27 KG Kevin Gausman P · #34 TH Tyler Heineman C · #55

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreFreeman singled to center, Doyle scored.10th Inning2–1
  2. ScoreJohnston singled to left, McCarthy scored.8th Inning1–1
  3. ScoreSchneider singled to right, Straw scored, Schneider to second, Springer to third.3rd Inning0–1

Scoring by Inning

Team12345678910RHE
Colorado Rockies0000000101260
Toronto Blue Jays0010000000171

Colorado Rockies

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Troy Johnston RF·2-4402100112.333.333.600
Hunter Goodman C·0-4400001320.292.346.458
Willi Castro 2B·0-4400001318.130.200.217
Ezequiel Tovar SS·1-5501000122.296.296.481
TJ Rumfield 1B·1-330100006.429.478.619
Ryan Ritter 2B0-110000016.143.143.143
Jordan Beck LF·0-3300000214.125.222.188
Edouard Julien 2B0-110000015.111.111.222
Brett Sullivan C·1-4401000223.143.250.143
Brenton Doyle CF·0-4410000213.150.227.200
Kyle Karros 3B·0-2200001114.211.286.263
Jake McCarthy LF0-001000000.111.158.167
Tyler Freeman RF1-1101100051.0001.0001.000

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Kyle Freeland SP·5.051116088-602.8988
Antonio Senzatela RP2.010003026-200.0026
Victor Vodnik RP1.010000017-119.0017
Brennan Bernardino RP1.000000011-80.0011
Jimmy Herget RP1.000000016-120.0016

Toronto Blue Jays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
George Springer DH·0-4400001325.154.241.423
Davis Schneider LF·1-3301100116.286.286.714
Nathan Lukes RF0-2200000014.200.273.200
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B·0-4400000018.300.481.300
Kazuma Okamoto 3B·1-4401000218.292.370.542
Alejandro Kirk C·1-4401000013.125.222.313
Daulton Varsho CF0-000000000.167.250.167
Ernie Clement 2B·2-4402000014.320.320.440
Jesus Sanchez LF·0-3300000111.375.500.563
Myles Straw RF·2-221200007.800.800.800
Addison Barger RF0-110000016.000.125.000
Tyler Heineman C0-110000002.429.500.429
Andres Gimenez SS·0-4400000114.364.417.591

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Kevin Gausman SP·6.0200010089-670.7589
Tyler Rogers RP1.020000018-140.0018
Tommy Nance RP0.111121016-73.8616
Mason Fluharty RP0.20000209-610.809
Jeff Hoffman RP1.000003016-112.2516
Brendon Little RP1.011011010-827.0010

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 10th InningLukes grounded out to shortstop, Giménez to third.
  2. 10th InningPitch 12 : Ball In Play
  3. 5th InningTovar singled to left.
  4. 10th InningPitch 11 : Strike 2 Foul
  5. 9th InningJulien struck out looking.
  6. 8th InningGuerrero Jr. grounded out to shortstop.
  7. 5th InningPitch 11 : Ball In Play
  8. 10th InningPitch 10 : Ball 3

Scoring Plays

  1. 10th InningFreeman singled to center, Doyle scored.2–1
  2. 8th InningJohnston singled to left, McCarthy scored.1–1
  3. 3rd InningSchneider singled to right, Straw scored, Schneider to second, Springer to third.0–1

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