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In The Rafters

HOU @ ATH

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM PT56°F · 4 mph wind · overcast⚾ Cristian Javier vs Jeffrey SpringsMLB.TVSpace City Home Network 2
Result readAthletics

Houston Astros 4 · Athletics 11

Final
Houston Astros16-25-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 50%
Athletics21-19-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeSutter Health ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans Athletics because Athletics owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Athletics has the recent-form edge. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Athletics at 60%. Actual: Athletics by 7.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Houston Astros

Athletics

Roster watch list pending.

Injury Report

Athletics

Jacob WilsonDay-To-DayMax Muncy10-Day-ILDenzel Clarke10-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund60-Day-IL

Houston Astros

Tatsuya Imai15-Day-ILLance McCullers Jr.Day-To-DayWalker JanekDay-To-DayLucas SpenceDay-To-DayYainer Diaz10-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Houston Astros
YA Yordan Alvarez LF · #44 DJ Daniel Johnson CF · #31 CS Cam Smith RF · #11 IP Isaac Paredes 3B · #15 CC Carlos Correa SS · #1 JA Jose Altuve 2B · #27 CW C. Walker 1B · #8 MB Mike Burrows P · #50 YD Yainer Diaz C · #21
Athletics

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreMatthews walked, Allen scored, Diaz to second, Meyers to third.7th Inning2–11
  2. 🏃 DoubleSoderstrom doubled to center, Langeliers scored.5th Inning1–11
  3. ScoreAlvarez hit sacrifice fly to right, Diaz scored, Peña to third.3rd Inning1–1
  4. 🏃 DoubleMuncy doubled to center, Butler scored and Rooker scored.3rd Inning1–4
  5. ScoreMeyers hit sacrifice fly to center, Allen scored.9th Inning3–11
  6. ScoreWilson singled to center, Soderstrom scored, Rooker to third.4th Inning1–6

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Houston Astros001000102460
Athletics01361000—11130

Houston Astros

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jeremy Pena SS·1-4401001120.211.250.263
Yordan Alvarez LF·0-110010009.400.529.880
Christian Vazquez C0-3300000014.200.273.500
Jose Altuve 2B·0-1100001113.333.515.625
Shay Whitcomb 3B0-220000028.000.000.000
Carlos Correa SS·0-220000019.276.344.414
Joey Loperfido LF0-220000017.278.316.389
Christian Walker 1B·0-220000009.296.367.481
Nick Allen SS2-222200007.500.500.500
Cam Smith RF·1-4411000211.222.364.370
Jake Meyers CF·0-2200101118.190.280.238
Yainer Diaz C·2-3312101118.227.280.273
Brice Matthews LF·0-3300101024.125.176.375

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Cristian Javier SP·3.266652082-4412.9682
Roddery Munoz RP1.145522239-2115.7539
Ryan Weiss RP3.030002038-241.5038

Athletics

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Nick Kurtz 1B·0-4400001221.048.231.048
Shea Langeliers C·0-3310002130.333.400.889
Tyler Soderstrom LF·2-4422201019.222.276.296
Brent Rooker RF·0-3320002022.148.207.148
Jacob Wilson SS·2-4412100011.241.241.345
Darell Hernaiz 3B1-110100006.143.143.143
Lawrence Butler RF·3-5523410110.235.278.412
Max Muncy 3B·3-442331008.269.296.615
Jeff McNeil 2B·1-4401000015.118.167.118
Andy Ibanez 2B0-000000000.222.300.222
Denzel Clarke CF·1-3311101217.176.263.176

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jeffrey Springs SP·6.0211170103-662.38103
Michael Kelly RP1.011132032-198.1032
J.T. Ginn SP2.032211032-193.1832

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningMeyers walked.
  2. 7th InningPitch 8 : Ball 4
  3. 6th InningWilson singled to center.
  4. 4th InningLangeliers grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Kurtz out at second, Clarke to third.
  5. 7th InningPitch 7 : Ball 3
  6. 6th InningPitch 3 : Ball In Play

Scoring Plays

  1. 7th InningMatthews walked, Allen scored, Diaz to second, Meyers to third.2–11
  2. 5th InningSoderstrom doubled to center, Langeliers scored.1–11
  3. 3rd InningAlvarez hit sacrifice fly to right, Diaz scored, Peña to third.1–1
  4. 3rd InningMuncy doubled to center, Butler scored and Rooker scored.1–4
  5. 9th InningMeyers hit sacrifice fly to center, Allen scored.3–11
  6. 4th InningWilson singled to center, Soderstrom scored, Rooker to third.1–6
  7. 4th InningSoderstrom reached on infield single to first, Clarke scored.1–5
  8. 9th InningDiaz doubled to right, Smith scored.4–11
  9. 4th InningMuncy homered to left (404 feet).1–10
  10. 4th InningButler homered to left (354 feet), Rooker scored and Wilson scored.1–9
  11. 3rd InningButler singled to left, Soderstrom scored, Rooker to second.1–2
  12. 2nd InningClarke singled to left, Muncy scored, McNeil to second.0–1

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