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InTheRafters.com

HOU @ ATH

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:05 PM PT68°F · 3 mph wind · overcast⚾ Tatsuya Imai vs Luis MoralesMLB.TV
Result readHouston Astros

Houston Astros 11 · Athletics 0

Final
Houston Astros16-25-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 50%
Athletics21-19-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeSutter Health ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Houston Astros: Athletics’s scoring margin profile and Athletics’s recent stretch. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Athletics at 70%. Actual: Houston Astros by 11.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Houston Astros

Athletics

Roster watch list pending.

Injury Report

Athletics

Jacob WilsonDay-To-DayMax Muncy10-Day-ILDenzel Clarke10-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund60-Day-IL

Houston Astros

Tatsuya Imai15-Day-ILLance McCullers Jr.Day-To-DayWalker JanekDay-To-DayLucas SpenceDay-To-DayYainer Diaz10-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Houston Astros
YA Yordan Alvarez LF · #44 DJ Daniel Johnson CF · #31 CS Cam Smith RF · #11 IP Isaac Paredes 3B · #15 CC Carlos Correa SS · #1 JA Jose Altuve 2B · #27 CW C. Walker 1B · #8 MB Mike Burrows P · #50 YD Yainer Diaz C · #21
Athletics

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🏃 DoubleVázquez doubled to left, Meyers scored.3rd Inning4–0
  2. ScoreSmith homered to left center (402 feet).8th Inning11–0
  3. ScoreAlvarez singled to right, Diaz scored, Vázquez to third.6th Inning10–0
  4. 🏃 DoubleVázquez doubled to right, Loperfido scored, Diaz to third.6th Inning9–0
  5. ScoreDiaz singled to center, Walker scored and Loperfido scored.4th Inning7–0
  6. ScoreWalker singled to right, Alvarez scored.1st Inning2–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Houston Astros20230301011180
Athletics000000000050

Houston Astros

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jeremy Pena SS·2-3312001014.273.333.409
Nick Allen SS0-3300000110.286.286.286
Yordan Alvarez LF·1-1111104024.423.590.885
Cam Smith RF1-111111004.250.382.500
Jose Altuve 2B·1-4401101016.321.500.571
Brice Matthews LF0-000000104.125.222.375
Carlos Correa SS·0-4410001019.242.324.364
Shay Whitcomb 3B0-000000106.000.333.000
Christian Walker 1B·3-5533211120.344.417.625
Joey Loperfido LF·3-4423202118.364.440.500
Yainer Diaz C·3-5513201019.296.355.333
Jake Meyers CF·1-5511000122.192.290.231
Christian Vazquez C·3-6603200124.313.353.625

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Tatsuya Imai SP·5.230039094-584.3294
Kai-Wei Teng RP2.120003033-221.5933
Steven Okert RP1.000001016-110.0016

Athletics

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Nick Kurtz 1B·1-3301001019.083.267.083
Shea Langeliers C·0-3300000313.300.364.800
Austin Wynns C0-110000003.167.167.167
Tyler Soderstrom LF·0-2200001219.207.281.276
Carlos Cortes RF1-110100001.400.500.600
Brent Rooker RF·0-3300001217.133.212.133
Jacob Wilson SS·0-4400000018.212.212.303
Lawrence Butler RF·0-3300000211.200.238.350
Darell Hernaiz 3B0-110000003.125.125.125
Max Muncy 3B·2-4402000218.300.323.600
Jeff McNeil 2B·1-330100019.150.190.150
Denzel Clarke CF·0-3300000112.150.227.150

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Luis Morales SP·3.085560177-3812.2777
Elvis Alvarado RP2.032220029-179.6429
Hogan Harris RP1.043321034-184.5034
Luis Medina RP2.021124143-232.0843
Michael Kelly RP1.010010017-116.2317

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 6th InningWilson grounded out to shortstop.
  2. 9th InningLoperfido walked.
  3. 8th InningKurtz flied out to center.

Scoring Plays

  1. 3rd InningVázquez doubled to left, Meyers scored.4–0
  2. 8th InningSmith homered to left center (402 feet).11–0
  3. 6th InningAlvarez singled to right, Diaz scored, Vázquez to third.10–0
  4. 6th InningVázquez doubled to right, Loperfido scored, Diaz to third.9–0
  5. 4th InningDiaz singled to center, Walker scored and Loperfido scored.7–0
  6. 1st InningWalker singled to right, Alvarez scored.2–0
  7. 1st InningAltuve singled to center, Peña scored, Alvarez to second.1–0
  8. 6th InningLoperfido singled to center, Walker scored.8–0
  9. 4th InningLoperfido hit a ground rule double, Correa scored, Walker to third.5–0
  10. 3rd InningWalker homered to left center (383 feet).3–0

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