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InTheRafters.com

LAD @ WSH

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Afternoon GameOutdoor4:05 PM ET80°F · 10 mph wind · mostly clear⚾ Tyler Glasnow vs Jake IrvinMLB.TVNationals.TV
Result readLos Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers 10 · Washington Nationals 5

Final
Los Angeles Dodgers24-16+1.7 net/g (SOS-adj +1.6) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 40%
Washington Nationals19-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeNationals ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans Los Angeles Dodgers because Los Angeles Dodgers owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Washington Nationals has the recent-form edge. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 81%. Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers by 5.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Los Angeles Dodgers

Washington Nationals

Injury Report

Washington Nationals

Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day

Los Angeles Dodgers

Mookie Betts10-Day-ILBen Casparius15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow15-Day-ILGavin Stone60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Los Angeles Dodgers
TH T. Hernandez LF · #37 AP Andy Pages CF · #44 KT Kyle Tucker RF · #23 MM Max Muncy 3B · #13 HK Hyeseong Kim SS · #6 AF Alex Freeland 2B · #76 FF F. Freeman 1B · #5 ES Emmet Sheehan P · #80 WS Will Smith C · #16
Washington Nationals
DL Daylen Lile LF · #4 JY Jacob Young CF · #30 JW James Wood RF · #29 BH Brady House 3B · #12 CA CJ Abrams SS · #5 NN Nasim Nunez 2B · #26 LG L. Garcia Jr. 1B · #2 CC Cade Cavalli P · #24 DM Drew Millas C · #14

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreCall singled to left, Pages scored.3rd Inning6–0
  2. ScoreTena singled to right, Vivas scored.9th Inning10–5
  3. 🏃 DoubleMead doubled to left, Abrams scored.4th Inning6–2
  4. ScoreRojas hit sacrifice fly to center, Freeland scored, Ohtani to third.2nd Inning3–0
  5. ScoreAbrams homered to right (361 feet), García Jr. scored.8th Inning10–4
  6. ScorePages homered to left center (387 feet), Smith scored and Muncy scored.5th Inning9–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Los Angeles Dodgers23103010010160
Washington Nationals001100021581

Los Angeles Dodgers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Shohei Ohtani DH·2-6612000221.241.395.345
Kyle Tucker RF·2-3322102022.281.361.406
Mookie Betts SS·0-001000106.179.281.429
Miguel Rojas SS0-3300100017.286.267.357
Freddie Freeman 1B·2-5502400114.242.286.515
Will Smith C·3-5513000015.276.300.483
Max Muncy 3B·1-5511000223.250.357.375
Andy Pages CF·3-5523310118.500.516.833
Alex Freeland 2B·1-5511000217.188.316.438
Alex Call LF·2-5512100023.400.500.600

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Tyler Glasnow SP·6.0422290101-643.00101
Tanner Scott RP1.010001014-92.4514
Ben Casparius RP1.022201120-156.7520
Edgardo Henriquez RP1.011100022-139.0022

Washington Nationals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
James Wood RF·0-5500000226.111.200.278
Luis Garcia Jr. 1B·3-441310008.345.345.517
Brady House 3B·0-4400000317.300.382.433
Daylen Lile LF·0-4400000014.333.368.417
CJ Abrams SS·1-2221212118.286.375.607
Curtis Mead 1B·1-4401100223.125.222.250
Jorbit Vivas 3B·1-3311000118.357.444.357
Drew Millas C·0-4400000215.133.235.133
Jacob Young CF·1-3311000011.250.318.450
Jose Tena 2B1-110110007.333.333.333

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jake Irvin SP·4.086624085-588.0085
Brad Lord RP2.053310149-334.9149
Gus Varland RP1.021102019-173.0019
Cole Henry RP2.010002023-160.0023

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd InningCall singled to left, Pages scored.6–0
  2. 9th InningTena singled to right, Vivas scored.10–5
  3. 9th InningVivas hit by pitch.
  4. 7th InningCall doubled to right.

Scoring Plays

  1. 3rd InningCall singled to left, Pages scored.6–0
  2. 9th InningTena singled to right, Vivas scored.10–5
  3. 4th InningMead doubled to left, Abrams scored.6–2
  4. 2nd InningRojas hit sacrifice fly to center, Freeland scored, Ohtani to third.3–0
  5. 8th InningAbrams homered to right (361 feet), García Jr. scored.10–4
  6. 5th InningPages homered to left center (387 feet), Smith scored and Muncy scored.9–2
  7. 7th InningTucker singled to right, Call scored.10–2
  8. 3rd InningGarcía Jr. tripled to right, Young scored.6–1
  9. 2nd InningFreeman doubled to right, Ohtani scored and Tucker scored.5–0
  10. 1st InningFreeman doubled to right, Betts scored and Tucker scored.2–0

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