HOU @ ATH
Sutter Health Park · Sacramento, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameOutdoor1:05 PM PT72°F · 3 mph wind · clear⚾ Lance McCullers Jr. vs Jacob LopezMLB.TV
Result readAthletics
Houston Astros 10 · Athletics 12
Final
Houston Astros16-25-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 50%
Athletics21-19-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj -0.2) · expected win rate 48% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeSutter Health ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Athletics is the model’s call — Athletics on the margin numbers, Athletics on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Athletics at 59%. Actual: Athletics by 2.
Pre-game pick: Athletics at 59%. Actual: Athletics by 2.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Houston Astros
- Mike Burrows SP · #50
- Lance McCullers Jr. SP · #43
- Kai-Wei Teng RP · #17
- Christian Walker 1B · #8
Athletics
Roster watch list pending.
Injury Report
Athletics
Jacob WilsonDay-To-DayMax Muncy10-Day-ILDenzel Clarke10-Day-ILGunnar Hoglund60-Day-IL
Houston Astros
Tatsuya Imai15-Day-ILLance McCullers Jr.Day-To-DayWalker JanekDay-To-DayLucas SpenceDay-To-DayYainer Diaz10-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreMcNeil singled to center, Butler scored, Muncy to second.5–8
- ScoreMeyers homered to left (393 feet).6–9
- ScoreSmith singled to center, Allen scored and Altuve scored, Alvarez to second.9–9
- 🏃 DoubleAltuve doubled to left, Loperfido scored, Allen to third.7–9
- ScoreRooker homered to left (364 feet), Langeliers scored and Soderstrom scored.10–12
- ScoreCorrea singled to left, Allen scored, Correa to second, Altuve to third.10–9
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Astros | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 2 |
| Athletics | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
Houston Astros
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve 2B· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 29 | .344 | .523 | .594 |
| Yordan Alvarez LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 33 | .400 | .578 | .900 |
| Carlos Correa SS· | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | .263 | .349 | .368 |
| Christian Walker 1B· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | .324 | .405 | .649 |
| Cam Smith RF· | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 29 | .273 | .400 | .485 |
| Yainer Diaz C· | 0-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | .242 | .297 | .273 |
| Jake Meyers CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .233 | .333 | .367 |
| Joey Loperfido LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | .320 | .414 | .440 |
| Brice Matthews LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .118 | .211 | .353 |
| Nick Allen SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | .300 | .417 | .300 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance McCullers Jr. SP· | 4.0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 79-45 | 3.27 | 79 |
| Steven Okert RP | 0.1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9-5 | 4.50 | 9 |
| AJ Blubaugh RP | 2.0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 44-26 | 6.14 | 44 |
| Christian Roa RP | 0.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27-18 | 4.50 | 27 |
| Bryan King RP | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23-11 | 1.69 | 23 |
| Bryan Abreu RP | 0.1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16-7 | 23.63 | 16 |
Athletics
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Kurtz 1B· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 36 | .148 | .361 | .185 |
| Shea Langeliers C· | 2-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | .306 | .359 | .722 |
| Tyler Soderstrom LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 25 | .212 | .316 | .333 |
| Brent Rooker RF· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | .176 | .256 | .353 |
| Jacob Wilson SS· | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .237 | .237 | .316 |
| Lawrence Butler RF· | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .200 | .231 | .360 |
| Max Muncy 3B· | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .314 | .333 | .571 |
| Jeff McNeil 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 24 | .174 | .269 | .174 |
| Carlos Cortes RF· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .500 | .600 | .750 |
| Denzel Clarke CF | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .190 | .261 | .190 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Lopez SP· | 4.1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 92-51 | 6.48 | 92 |
| Justin Sterner RP | 1.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22-14 | 2.25 | 22 |
| J.T. Ginn SP | 1.1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27-18 | 5.14 | 27 |
| Scott Barlow RP | 0.0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16-4 | 9.82 | 16 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26-13 | 2.45 | 26 |
| Hogan Harris RP | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21-13 | 3.68 | 21 |
| Elvis Alvarado RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8-5 | 8.44 | 8 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 9th InningLangeliers reached on infield single to second, Clarke to second, McNeil out at home on runner's fielder's choice.
- 8th InningAlvarez walked.
Scoring Plays
- 7th InningMcNeil singled to center, Butler scored, Muncy to second.5–8
- 8th InningMeyers homered to left (393 feet).6–9
- 8th InningSmith singled to center, Allen scored and Altuve scored, Alvarez to second.9–9
- 8th InningAltuve doubled to left, Loperfido scored, Allen to third.7–9
- 10th InningRooker homered to left (364 feet), Langeliers scored and Soderstrom scored.10–12
- 10th InningCorrea singled to left, Allen scored, Correa to second, Altuve to third.10–9
- 7th InningCortes singled to right, Muncy scored, McNeil to third.5–9
- 7th InningRooker homered to left (365 feet), Soderstrom scored.5–7
- 7th InningWalker homered to left center (397 feet), Correa scored.5–5
- 5th InningRooker hit sacrifice fly to right, Soderstrom scored.3–5
- 5th InningCortes doubled to right, Muncy scored, McNeil to third.3–1
- 5th InningSmith singled to left, Correa scored, Smith out stretching at second.3–0
- 5th InningAlvarez homered to right center (399 feet), Altuve scored.2–0
- 5th InningSoderstrom tripled to right, McNeil scored, Cortes scored and Kurtz scored.3–4