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InTheRafters.com

LAD @ WSH

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:35 PM ET62°F · 9 mph wind · overcast⚾ Roki Sasaki vs Foster GriffinMLB.TVNationals.TV
Result readLos Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers 8 · Washington Nationals 6

Final
Los Angeles Dodgers24-16+1.7 net/g (SOS-adj +1.6) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 40%
Washington Nationals19-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeNationals ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Los Angeles Dodgers on the back of Los Angeles Dodgers’s margin work and Washington Nationals’s last-ten momentum. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 83%. Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Los Angeles Dodgers

Washington Nationals

Injury Report

Washington Nationals

Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day

Los Angeles Dodgers

Mookie Betts10-Day-ILBen Casparius15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow15-Day-ILGavin Stone60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Los Angeles Dodgers
TH T. Hernandez LF · #37 AP Andy Pages CF · #44 KT Kyle Tucker RF · #23 MM Max Muncy 3B · #13 HK Hyeseong Kim SS · #6 AF Alex Freeland 2B · #76 FF F. Freeman 1B · #5 ES Emmet Sheehan P · #80 WS Will Smith C · #16
Washington Nationals
DL Daylen Lile LF · #4 JY Jacob Young CF · #30 JW James Wood RF · #29 BH Brady House 3B · #12 CA CJ Abrams SS · #5 NN Nasim Nunez 2B · #26 LG L. Garcia Jr. 1B · #2 CC Cade Cavalli P · #24 DM Drew Millas C · #14

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreT. Hernández homered to center (414 feet).9th Inning8–6
  2. ScoreEspinal singled to center, Freeman scored and Pages scored, Call to second.8th Inning5–6
  3. ScoreTucker grounded into fielder's choice to first, Call scored, Smith out at second, Espinal to third.8th Inning6–6
  4. ScoreRushing homered to right center (375 feet), Call scored.6th Inning3–6
  5. ScoreRuiz reached on infield single to second, Abrams scored.4th Inning1–3
  6. ScoreOhtani homered to center (438 feet).3rd Inning1–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Los Angeles Dodgers0010020418110
Washington Nationals002400000670

Los Angeles Dodgers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Shohei Ohtani DH·2-4412210116.273.395.485
Miguel Rojas SS·1-5501000220.263.250.316
Teoscar Hernandez LF·2-4412111121.345.367.483
Freddie Freeman 1B·1-5511000020.237.275.474
Andy Pages CF·1-4411001327.471.500.794
Alex Call LF·2-3322002026.500.636.750
Santiago Espinal 3B·1-4411200021.167.167.167
Dalton Rushing C·1-331121018.400.4001.000
Will Smith C0-000000104.276.323.483
Alex Freeland 2B·0-3300000216.158.273.368
Kyle Tucker RF0-110010003.273.351.394
Hyeseong Kim SS0-000000000.000.000.000

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Roki Sasaki SP·5.056635290-577.0090
Alex Vesia RP1.010010017-100.0017
Jack Dreyer RP1.000011016-100.0016
Tanner Scott RP1.010001015-111.9315
Edwin Diaz RP1.000001013-82.2513

Washington Nationals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
James Wood RF·1-4421311116.125.222.350
Nasim Nunez 2B·1-4401001023.231.310.231
Luis Garcia Jr. 1B·1-5511210120.324.324.559
Daylen Lile LF·0-4400000112.300.333.375
Joey Wiemer RF·0-4400000214.476.577.857
CJ Abrams SS·1-3311001113.290.389.581
Jorbit Vivas 3B·1-2201001114.375.476.375
Brady House 3B0-110000018.290.371.419
Keibert Ruiz C·1-331110009.222.211.444
Jacob Young CF0-110000002.238.304.429
Drew Millas C0-000000000.133.235.133
Jose Tena 2B·1-2211000010.357.357.357
Curtis Mead 1B0-1100001010.111.273.222

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Foster Griffin SP·5.051136195-522.7095
PJ Poulin RP2.022202134-225.4034
Cionel Perez RP0.034420020-1020.2520
Clayton Beeter RP1.211102125-163.8625
Andre Granillo RP0.10000008-59.828

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningCall flied out to left.
  2. 9th InningPages struck out looking.
  3. 8th InningHouse struck out swinging.
  4. 6th InningMead walked, Vivas to second.
  5. 9th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
  6. 9th InningPitch 9 : Strike 3 Looking

Scoring Plays

  1. 9th InningT. Hernández homered to center (414 feet).8–6
  2. 8th InningEspinal singled to center, Freeman scored and Pages scored, Call to second.5–6
  3. 8th InningTucker grounded into fielder's choice to first, Call scored, Smith out at second, Espinal to third.6–6
  4. 6th InningRushing homered to right center (375 feet), Call scored.3–6
  5. 4th InningRuiz reached on infield single to second, Abrams scored.1–3
  6. 3rd InningOhtani homered to center (438 feet).1–0
  7. 4th InningWood homered to center (416 feet), Ruiz scored and Tena scored.1–6
  8. 3rd InningGarcía Jr. homered to center (405 feet), Wood scored.1–2
  9. 8th InningOhtani hit sacrifice fly to left, Espinal scored.7–6

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