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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor7:07 PM ET⚾ Justin Wrobleski vs Max ScherzerMLB.TV
Result readLos Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers 14 · Toronto Blue Jays 2

Final
Los Angeles Dodgers24-16+1.7 net/g (SOS-adj +1.6) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 40%
Toronto Blue Jays18-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeRogers CentreHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Los Angeles Dodgers gets the model’s nod thanks to Los Angeles Dodgers’s margin advantage, with Toronto Blue Jays’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 73%. Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers by 12.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Injury Report

Toronto Blue Jays

Javen ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILFernando Perezdevelopmental list

Los Angeles Dodgers

Mookie Betts10-Day-ILBen Casparius15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow15-Day-ILGavin Stone60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🏃 DoublePages doubled to right, T. Hernández scored and Tucker scored.6th Inning9–1
  2. ScoreFreeman homered to right center (438 feet), Ohtani scored.3rd Inning4–1
  3. ScoreOhtani homered to center (414 feet).6th Inning7–1
  4. ScoreT. Hernández singled to right, Tucker and Freeman scored.7th Inning13–1
  5. ScoreFreeland grounded into double play, second to first, Muncy scored, Pages out at second.5th Inning6–1
  6. ScoreGiménez grounded out to third, Varsho scored, Heineman to second, Straw to third.9th Inning14–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Los Angeles Dodgers20211341014170
Toronto Blue Jays100000001252

Los Angeles Dodgers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Shohei Ohtani DH·2-6622110221.282.388.538
Kyle Tucker RF·1-3331102026.278.372.389
Freddie Freeman 1B·2-4422311125.262.311.571
Santiago Espinal 3B0-110000004.143.143.143
Teoscar Hernandez LF·2-5522411125.353.389.559
Max Muncy 3B·2-6612000322.267.353.367
Andy Pages CF·2-4402200019.474.500.789
Alex Call LF0-110000005.444.583.667
Alex Freeland 2B·0-5500000120.125.222.292
Dalton Rushing C·4-4434220013.667.7001.667
Hyeseong Kim SS·2-4412001021.500.600.500

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Justin Wrobleski SP·5.021142078-424.0078
Will Klein RP2.020002027-211.5927
Edgardo Henriquez RP1.000002011-86.7511
Miguel Rojas SS1.011110018-89.0018

Toronto Blue Jays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
George Springer DH·0-2210001011.150.261.325
Jesus Sanchez LF0-110000015.292.393.417
Brandon Valenzuela C0-110000002.250.250.250
Davis Schneider LF·0-4400001225.231.333.462
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B·0-3300001116.265.419.353
Kazuma Okamoto 3B·2-4402000110.263.349.421
Ernie Clement 2B·1-4401100010.293.293.366
Daulton Varsho CF·1-3311001013.188.278.250
Myles Straw RF·0-3300001119.417.462.417
Tyler Heineman C·1-330100009.385.467.385
Andres Gimenez SS·0-4400100014.243.300.459

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Max Scherzer SP·2.022212136-243.3836
Josh Fleming RP3.064421177-4512.0077
Joe Mantiply RP0.213321125-1313.5025
Tommy Nance RP1.164403136-248.4436
Spencer Miles RP1.021101116-136.3516
Tyler Heineman C·1.000000011-815.0011

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 2nd InningPages popped out to second.
  2. 2nd InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
  3. 6th InningPages doubled to right, T. Hernández scored and Tucker scored.9–1
  4. 5th InningKim flied out to right.

Scoring Plays

  1. 6th InningPages doubled to right, T. Hernández scored and Tucker scored.9–1
  2. 3rd InningFreeman homered to right center (438 feet), Ohtani scored.4–1
  3. 6th InningOhtani homered to center (414 feet).7–1
  4. 7th InningT. Hernández singled to right, Tucker and Freeman scored.13–1
  5. 5th InningFreeland grounded into double play, second to first, Muncy scored, Pages out at second.6–1
  6. 9th InningGiménez grounded out to third, Varsho scored, Heineman to second, Straw to third.14–2
  7. 8th InningRushing homered to right center (413 feet).14–1
  8. 7th InningFreeman doubled to right, Kim scored, Tucker to third.11–1
  9. 1st InningClement singled to right, Springer scored, Okamoto to second.2–1
  10. 4th InningTucker hit sacrifice fly to center, Rushing scored, Kim to third.5–1
  11. 1st InningT. Hernández homered to left (371 feet), Tucker scored.2–0
  12. 7th InningRushing homered to right center (415 feet).10–1

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