Skip to content

InTheRafters.com

BAL @ CHW

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor2:10 PM CT34°F · 4 mph wind · overcast⚾ Trevor Rogers vs Shane SmithMLB.TV
Result readBaltimore Orioles

Baltimore Orioles 4 · Chicago White Sox 2

Final
Baltimore Orioles18-23-1-1.0 net/g (SOS-adj -1.1) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 30%
Chicago White Sox19-21-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeRate FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Baltimore Orioles gets the model’s nod thanks to Chicago White Sox’s margin advantage, with Chicago White Sox’s recent run providing the second tip. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Chicago White Sox at 79%. Actual: Baltimore Orioles by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Baltimore Orioles

Chicago White Sox

Injury Report

Chicago White Sox

Andrew BenintendiDay-To-DayAustin Hays10-Day-ILEverson Pereira10-Day-ILKyle Teel10-Day-ILKy Bush60-Day-IL

Baltimore Orioles

Will RobertsonDay-To-DayTrevor Rogers15-Day-ILKeagan GilliesDay-To-DayJackson Holliday10-Day-ILLuis VazquezDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Baltimore Orioles
TW Taylor Ward LF · #3 LT Leody Taveras CF · #30 CC Colton Cowser RF · #17 CM Coby Mayo 3B · #16 GH G. Henderson SS · #2 JJ J. Jackson 2B · #82 PA Pete Alonso 1B · #25 CB Chris Bassitt P · #40 SB Samuel Basallo C · #29
Chicago White Sox
AB A. Benintendi LF · #23 TP Tristan Peters CF · #29 DH Derek Hill RF · #25 MV Miguel Vargas 3B · #20 CM C. Montgomery SS · #12 CM Chase Meidroth 2B · #10 MM M. Murakami 1B · #5 DM Davis Martin P · #65 EQ Edgar Quero C · #26

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreMountcastle grounded out to shortstop, Basallo scored.5th Inning1–2
  2. ScoreSosa singled to center, Meidroth scored.3rd Inning0–2
  3. ScoreHenderson homered to right center (387 feet), Ward scored.8th Inning4–2
  4. 🏃 DoubleWard doubled to right, Alexander scored.8th Inning2–2
  5. 🏃 DoubleMeidroth doubled to left, Hill scored.3rd Inning0–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Baltimore Orioles000010030481
Chicago White Sox002000000262

Baltimore Orioles

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Taylor Ward LF·1-3311102225.333.431.476
Gunnar Henderson SS·2-4412211228.244.333.556
Pete Alonso 1B·0-4400001023.186.271.279
Samuel Basallo C·1-3311002220.167.265.267
Dylan Beavers RF·0-2200000210.286.286.429
Tyler O'Neill RF2-330200009.222.300.333
Jeremiah Jackson 2B·0-4400000220.214.233.214
Colton Cowser RF·0-2200000111.182.269.227
Ryan Mountcastle 1B0-110010008.333.333.333
Leody Taveras CF0-110000014.400.571.500
Coby Mayo 3B·0-3300002121.154.313.192
Blaze Alexander 3B·2-4412000018.320.370.360

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Trevor Rogers SP·6.0622060101-701.89101
Yennier Cano RP1.000001010-83.0010
Grant Wolfram RP0.200002016-94.5016
Anthony Nunez RP0.10000106-31.696
Ryan Helsley RP1.000012018-94.1518

Chicago White Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Chase Meidroth 2B·2-4412100013.270.357.432
Lenyn Sosa 2B·1-4401100119.136.136.182
Miguel Vargas 3B·0-4400000218.222.341.444
Colson Montgomery SS·1-3301000218.211.302.395
Edgar Quero C·0-4400000216.148.233.148
Tanner Murray LF·0-3300000012.000.000.000
Dustin Harris LF0-000000105.0001.000.000
Andrew Benintendi LF·0-3300000111.179.207.179
Tristan Peters CF0-110000015.259.310.296
Luisangel Acuna CF·1-3301000013.250.294.250
Munetaka Murakami 1B0-110000014.200.326.543
Derek Hill RF·1-4411000217.200.429.200

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Shane Smith SP·3.210058099-5710.8099
Sean Newcomb RP1.121111026-154.9126
Jordan Leasure RP1.010002021-135.4021
Jordan Hicks RP1.132202023-169.0023
Chris Murphy RP0.211110113-510.5013
Bryan Hudson RP1.000010015-74.5015

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 2nd InningHenderson struck out swinging.
  2. 2nd InningPitch 12 : Strike 3 Swinging
  3. 2nd InningPitch 11 : Ball 3
  4. 8th InningQuero struck out swinging.
  5. 5th InningMountcastle grounded out to shortstop, Basallo scored.1–2
  6. 2nd InningPitch 10 : Strike 2 Foul

Scoring Plays

  1. 5th InningMountcastle grounded out to shortstop, Basallo scored.1–2
  2. 3rd InningSosa singled to center, Meidroth scored.0–2
  3. 8th InningHenderson homered to right center (387 feet), Ward scored.4–2
  4. 8th InningWard doubled to right, Alexander scored.2–2
  5. 3rd InningMeidroth doubled to left, Hill scored.0–1

Trending