LAD @ TOR
Rogers Centre · Toronto, Ontario
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameIndoor7:07 PM ET⚾ Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Kevin GausmanMLB.TV
Result readLos Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers 4 · Toronto Blue Jays 1
Final
Los Angeles Dodgers24-16+1.7 net/g (SOS-adj +1.6) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 40%
Toronto Blue Jays18-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeRogers CentreHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on Los Angeles Dodgers: Los Angeles Dodgers’s scoring margin profile and Toronto Blue Jays’s recent stretch. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 80%. Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers by 3.
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 80%. Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers by 3.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Emmet Sheehan SP · #80
- Tyler Glasnow SP · #31
- Andy Pages CF · #44
- Shohei Ohtani DH · #17
Toronto Blue Jays
- Kevin Gausman SP · #34
- Dylan Cease SP · #84
- Braydon Fisher RP · #63
- Mason Fluharty RP · #68
Injury Report
Toronto Blue Jays
Javen ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILFernando Perezdevelopmental list
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts10-Day-ILBen Casparius15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow15-Day-ILGavin Stone60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreFreeland singled to right, Kim scored.3–0
- 🏃 DoubleSpringer doubled to right, Giménez scored.3–1
- ScoreSmith grounded into fielder's choice to third, Freeland scored, Ohtani out at second.2–0
- ScoreOhtani singled to right, Kim scored, Freeland to third.1–0
- ScoreTucker singled to right, Freeland scored, Ohtani to second.4–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
Los Angeles Dodgers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani DH· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | .286 | .407 | .524 |
| Kyle Tucker RF· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | .268 | .354 | .366 |
| Will Smith C· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .235 | .278 | .412 |
| Freddie Freeman 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .261 | .306 | .543 |
| Teoscar Hernandez LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | .316 | .350 | .500 |
| Andy Pages CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .452 | .477 | .738 |
| Max Muncy 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .235 | .316 | .324 |
| Hyeseong Kim SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | .429 | .556 | .571 |
| Alex Freeland 2B· | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .222 | .300 | .407 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto SP· | 6.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 97-66 | 2.50 | 97 |
| Alex Vesia RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15-10 | 0.00 | 15 |
| Blake Treinen RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10-8 | 0.00 | 10 |
| Edwin Diaz RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 23-15 | 1.80 | 23 |
Toronto Blue Jays
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Springer DH· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .159 | .260 | .341 |
| Daulton Varsho CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | .171 | .275 | .229 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .237 | .383 | .316 |
| Jesus Sanchez LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .286 | .375 | .429 |
| Kazuma Okamoto 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .262 | .340 | .429 |
| Ernie Clement 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | .295 | .311 | .364 |
| Nathan Lukes RF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .118 | .158 | .118 |
| Davis Schneider LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | .214 | .353 | .429 |
| Andres Gimenez SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | .268 | .318 | .463 |
| Brandon Valenzuela C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | .143 | .143 | .143 |
| Tyler Heineman C | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | .357 | .438 | .357 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman SP· | 5.1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 84-53 | 1.56 | 84 |
| Mason Fluharty RP | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20-13 | 6.75 | 20 |
| Louis Varland RP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 23-14 | 0.00 | 23 |
| Jeff Hoffman RP | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14-11 | 3.18 | 14 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 7th InningSmith flied out to right.
- 7th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
- 7th InningSchneider walked, Clement to second.
- 7th InningPitch 8 : Ball 3
Scoring Plays
- 5th InningFreeland singled to right, Kim scored.3–0
- 6th InningSpringer doubled to right, Giménez scored.3–1
- 3rd InningSmith grounded into fielder's choice to third, Freeland scored, Ohtani out at second.2–0
- 3rd InningOhtani singled to right, Kim scored, Freeland to third.1–0
- 9th InningTucker singled to right, Freeland scored, Ohtani to second.4–1