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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameIndoor3:07 PM ET⚾ Shohei Ohtani vs Dylan CeaseMLB.TV
Result readToronto Blue Jays

Los Angeles Dodgers 3 · Toronto Blue Jays 4

Final
Los Angeles Dodgers24-16+1.7 net/g (SOS-adj +1.6) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 40%
Toronto Blue Jays18-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeRogers CentreHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Toronto Blue Jays is the model’s call — Los Angeles Dodgers on the margin numbers, Toronto Blue Jays on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 82%. Actual: Toronto Blue Jays by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Injury Report

Toronto Blue Jays

Javen ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILFernando Perezdevelopmental list

Los Angeles Dodgers

Mookie Betts10-Day-ILBen Casparius15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow15-Day-ILGavin Stone60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreSmith singled to center, Rojas scored, Smith to second, Tucker to third.7th Inning3–1
  2. 🏃 DoubleSánchez doubled to left, Varsho scored.3rd Inning0–1
  3. 💣 Home RunSchneider scored on throwing error by catcher Smith, Giménez stole second.8th Inning3–4
  4. ScoreVarsho singled to center, Straw scored, Springer to third.7th Inning3–3
  5. ScoreT. Hernández hit sacrifice fly to center, Smith scored.6th Inning2–1
  6. 💣 Home RunSchneider scored on throwing error by catcher Smith, Giménez stole second.8th Inning3–4

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Los Angeles Dodgers000101100362
Toronto Blue Jays00100021481

Los Angeles Dodgers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Shohei Ohtani DH·0-3300001219.267.407.489
Kyle Tucker RF·1-3301002024.273.377.364
Will Smith C·2-3322102126.270.341.432
Freddie Freeman 1B·2-5502100113.275.315.529
Max Muncy 3B·0-3300002117.216.326.297
Teoscar Hernandez LF·0-3300100110.293.318.463
Andy Pages CF·0-4400000421.413.438.674
Alex Freeland 2B·1-4401000219.226.294.387
Miguel Rojas SS·0-3310001115.227.250.273

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Shohei Ohtani DH·6.041012096-600.0096
Jack Dreyer RP·0.132210019-94.1519
Blake Treinen RP0.20001109-40.009
Ben Casparius RP1.011110016-107.3616

Toronto Blue Jays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
George Springer DH·2-5502100016.184.273.367
Daulton Varsho CF·1-3311101016.184.295.237
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B·2-3302001011.268.412.366
Jesus Sanchez LF·1-4401100115.281.361.438
Kazuma Okamoto 3B·0-4400000113.239.314.391
Ernie Clement 2B·0-4400000011.271.286.333
Nathan Lukes RF·0-2200000016.105.143.105
Davis Schneider LF0-0020002011.214.421.429
Andres Gimenez SS·1-4401000012.267.313.444
Tyler Heineman C·1-3301000114.353.421.353
Myles Straw RF0-001000000.417.462.417
Brandon Valenzuela C0-110000005.125.125.125

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Dylan Cease SP·5.042148096-572.4596
Louis Varland RP1.000001013-90.0013
Mason Fluharty RP0.101120014-68.3114
Tyler Rogers RP1.210012020-140.0020
Jeff Hoffman RP1.010012021-122.7021

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 4th InningLukes fouled out to first.
  2. 8th InningPages struck out swinging.
  3. 7th InningSchneider walked.
  4. 7th InningRojas walked.

Scoring Plays

  1. 7th InningSmith singled to center, Rojas scored, Smith to second, Tucker to third.3–1
  2. 3rd InningSánchez doubled to left, Varsho scored.0–1
  3. 8th InningSchneider scored on throwing error by catcher Smith, Giménez stole second.3–4
  4. 7th InningVarsho singled to center, Straw scored, Springer to third.3–3
  5. 6th InningT. Hernández hit sacrifice fly to center, Smith scored.2–1
  6. 8th InningSchneider scored on throwing error by catcher Smith, Giménez stole second.3–4
  7. 7th InningSpringer doubled to right, Schneider scored, Straw to third.3–2
  8. 4th InningFreeman singled to center, Smith scored.1–1

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