Skip to content

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor3:10 PM CT⚾ Erick Fedde vs Michael WachaMLB.TVRoyals.TV
Result readKansas City Royals

Chicago White Sox 0 · Kansas City Royals 2

Final
Chicago White Sox19-21-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
Kansas City Royals19-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.1) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeKauffman StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Kansas City Royals is the model’s call — Kansas City Royals on the margin numbers, Kansas City Royals on the form numbers. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Chicago White Sox at 50%. Actual: Kansas City Royals by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Chicago White Sox

Kansas City Royals

Injury Report

Kansas City Royals

Bailey Falter15-Day-ILCole Ragans15-Day-ILJames McArthur60-Day-ILAnthony SimonelliDay-To-DayJavier VazDay-To-Day

Chicago White Sox

Andrew BenintendiDay-To-DayAustin Hays10-Day-ILEverson Pereira10-Day-ILKyle Teel10-Day-ILKy Bush60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScorePasquantino hit sacrifice fly to left, Garcia scored.8th Inning0–2
  2. ScoreGarcia homered to left center (412 feet).1st Inning0–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Chicago White Sox000000000040
Kansas City Royals10000001240

Chicago White Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Chase Meidroth 2B·0-4400000214.208.288.321
Munetaka Murakami 1B·0-3300001216.167.317.417
Andrew Benintendi LF·1-4401000213.184.225.263
Colson Montgomery SS·0-4400000011.173.271.327
Lenyn Sosa 2B·1-3301000011.179.179.286
Dustin Harris LF·0-330000008.222.417.222
Tristan Peters CF·0-330000019.222.282.250
Tanner Murray LF·1-3301000010.091.091.091
Reese McGuire C·1-330100018.125.176.125

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Erick Fedde SP·5.031114185-533.3885
Sean Newcomb RP2.000001023-153.4823
Jordan Hicks RP1.011101016-118.1016

Kansas City Royals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Maikel Garcia 3B·2-442211007.328.394.517
Bobby Witt Jr. SS·0-4400000014.263.338.316
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B·0-3300100115.164.250.182
Salvador Perez C·1-4401000224.164.233.309
Carter Jensen C·0-3300000217.211.262.553
Jonathan India 2B·0-1100001012.184.340.342
Jac Caglianone RF·0-3300000012.227.320.295
Michael Massey 2B·1-220100019.286.286.429
Lane Thomas CF0-110000003.130.286.174
Kyle Isbel CF·0-2200000011.333.400.528

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Michael Wacha SP·8.040017088-630.4388
Lucas Erceg RP1.000001012-72.7012

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 2nd InningIndia walked.
  2. 2nd InningPitch 9 : Ball 4
  3. 6th InningPerez lined out to first.

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningPasquantino hit sacrifice fly to left, Garcia scored.0–2
  2. 1st InningGarcia homered to left center (412 feet).0–1

Trending