TEX @ LAD
Dodger Stadium · Los Angeles, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor6:10 PM PT⚾ Jack Leiter vs Emmet SheehanMLB.TV
Result readLos Angeles Dodgers
Texas Rangers 3 · Los Angeles Dodgers 6
Final
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Los Angeles Dodgers24-16+1.7 net/g (SOS-adj +1.6) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeDodger StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Los Angeles Dodgers is the model’s call — Los Angeles Dodgers on the margin numbers, Texas Rangers on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 75%. Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers by 3.
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 75%. Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers by 3.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Texas Rangers
- MacKenzie Gore SP · #1
- Nathan Eovaldi SP · #17
- Jacob Latz RP · #67
- Brandon Nimmo RF · #24
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Emmet Sheehan SP · #80
- Tyler Glasnow SP · #31
- Andy Pages CF · #44
- Shohei Ohtani DH · #17
Injury Report
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts10-Day-ILBen Casparius15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow15-Day-ILGavin Stone60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol15-Day-IL
Texas Rangers
Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILNathan EovaldiDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScorePages singled to left, T. Hernández scored.3–6
- ScoreNimmo homered to right center (396 feet), Jung scored.3–5
- ScoreT. Hernández grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Smith scored, Muncy out at second, Freeman to third.1–5
- ScoreOhtani homered to right (390 feet).1–1
- ScoreT. Hernández homered to left center (393 feet), Smith scored and Freeman scored.1–4
- ScoreNimmo homered to center (405 feet).1–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | — | 6 | 9 | 0 |
Texas Rangers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo RF· | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .364 | .435 | .618 |
| Ezequiel Duran LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .240 | .240 | .400 |
| Corey Seager SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | .220 | .317 | .460 |
| Jake Burger 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .232 | .259 | .411 |
| Joc Pederson 1B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | .143 | .219 | .286 |
| Andrew McCutchen LF | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | .261 | .292 | .478 |
| Evan Carter CF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .225 | .340 | .375 |
| Danny Jansen C | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | .235 | .257 | .382 |
| Kyle Higashioka C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | .294 | .368 | .471 |
| Josh Smith 2B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .146 | .239 | .146 |
| Sam Haggerty LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .250 | .250 | .250 |
| Josh Jung 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .211 | .250 | .211 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Leiter SP· | 3.2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 93-54 | 4.91 | 93 |
| Tyler Alexander RP | 2.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 37-24 | 1.13 | 37 |
| Robert Garcia RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15-9 | 4.50 | 15 |
| Chris Martin RP | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21-14 | 7.50 | 21 |
Los Angeles Dodgers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani DH· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .283 | .412 | .528 |
| Kyle Tucker RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .250 | .355 | .327 |
| Will Smith C· | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22 | .295 | .380 | .432 |
| Freddie Freeman 1B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .259 | .317 | .483 |
| Max Muncy 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | .267 | .365 | .533 |
| Teoscar Hernandez LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | .306 | .327 | .531 |
| Andy Pages CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | .442 | .482 | .750 |
| Alex Freeland 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | .216 | .275 | .351 |
| Hyeseong Kim SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | .364 | .467 | .455 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmet Sheehan SP· | 6.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 77-50 | 6.60 | 77 |
| Jack Dreyer RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13-9 | 3.38 | 13 |
| Tanner Scott RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9-6 | 1.35 | 9 |
| Blake Treinen RP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21-13 | 0.00 | 21 |
| Alex Vesia RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6-3 | 0.00 | 6 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 3rd InningMuncy walked, Freeman to second.
- 8th InningT. Hernández doubled to left.
- 3rd InningPitch 11 : Ball 4
- 8th InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play
Scoring Plays
- 8th InningPages singled to left, T. Hernández scored.3–6
- 6th InningNimmo homered to right center (396 feet), Jung scored.3–5
- 3rd InningT. Hernández grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Smith scored, Muncy out at second, Freeman to third.1–5
- 1st InningOhtani homered to right (390 feet).1–1
- 1st InningT. Hernández homered to left center (393 feet), Smith scored and Freeman scored.1–4
- 1st InningNimmo homered to center (405 feet).1–0