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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM CT⚾ Grant Taylor vs Noah CameronMLB.TVRoyals.TV
Result readChicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox 6 · Kansas City Royals 5

Final
Chicago White Sox19-21-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
Kansas City Royals19-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.1) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeKauffman StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans Chicago White Sox because Kansas City Royals owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Kansas City Royals has the recent-form edge. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Kansas City Royals at 53%. Actual: Chicago White Sox by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Chicago White Sox

Kansas City Royals

Injury Report

Kansas City Royals

Bailey Falter15-Day-ILCole Ragans15-Day-ILJames McArthur60-Day-ILAnthony SimonelliDay-To-DayJavier VazDay-To-Day

Chicago White Sox

Andrew BenintendiDay-To-DayAustin Hays10-Day-ILEverson Pereira10-Day-ILKyle Teel10-Day-ILKy Bush60-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreBenintendi walked, Murakami scored, Quero to second, Sosa to third.6th Inning5–5
  2. ScorePasquantino walked, Isbel scored, Witt Jr. to second, Garcia to third.3rd Inning2–2
  3. ScoreWitt Jr. walked, Collins scored, Garcia to second, Isbel to third.3rd Inning2–1
  4. 💣 Home RunHarris scored on Schreiber wild pitch, Murakami to second on wild pitch by Schreiber, Vargas to third on wild pitch by Schreiber.7th Inning6–5
  5. ScoreMurray homered to left (368 feet), Montgomery scored.2nd Inning2–0
  6. 💣 Home RunHarris scored on Schreiber wild pitch, Murakami to second on wild pitch by Schreiber, Vargas to third on wild pitch by Schreiber.7th Inning6–5

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Chicago White Sox020201100671
Kansas City Royals003200000560

Chicago White Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Miguel Vargas 3B·0-4400000224.180.323.340
Chase Meidroth 2B·0-3300001014.196.286.304
Munetaka Murakami 1B·0-3310002115.157.323.392
Lenyn Sosa 2B·2-5512000214.212.212.303
Edgar Quero C·0-3300001115.162.244.162
Colson Montgomery SS·2-3322210011.200.302.418
Tanner Murray LF·1-221121005.154.154.385
Andrew Benintendi LF0-1100101111.179.238.256
Tristan Peters CF0-000000000.222.282.250
Luisangel Acuna CF·0-4400000114.196.224.196
Derek Hill RF·1-220100016.250.400.250
Dustin Harris LF1-221100005.273.429.364

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Grant Taylor RP·2.000002027-211.0827
Sean Newcomb RP0.11221009-55.069
Jonathan Cannon SP0.001130014-2INF14
Brandon Eisert RP1.032201016-1318.0016
Jordan Hicks RP1.120000018-126.7518
Bryan Hudson RP1.000003021-143.1821
Jordan Leasure RP1.100010020-134.0020
Lucas Sims RP1.00000108-61.698
Seranthony Dominguez RP1.000012015-93.1815

Kansas City Royals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Maikel Garcia 3B·0-4410001025.306.380.484
Bobby Witt Jr. SS·1-2201203118.271.371.322
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B·0-4400101121.153.246.169
Salvador Perez C·0-4400000220.153.219.288
Carter Jensen C·2-4402100011.238.283.548
Michael Massey 2B·0-4400000113.182.182.273
Jac Caglianone RF·1-4411000217.229.315.313
Isaac Collins LF·2-442210009.214.327.310
Kyle Isbel CF·0-2210001214.316.395.500

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Noah Cameron SP·5.165524267-473.9467
Nick Mears RP0.200011017-80.0017
John Schreiber RP1.011111022-156.0022
Daniel Lynch IV RP1.000001012-71.4212
Alex Lange RP1.000012016-94.0516

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningVargas hit by pitch.
  2. 9th InningMurakami struck out looking.
  3. 7th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
  4. 6th InningCaglianone struck out looking.

Scoring Plays

  1. 6th InningBenintendi walked, Murakami scored, Quero to second, Sosa to third.5–5
  2. 3rd InningPasquantino walked, Isbel scored, Witt Jr. to second, Garcia to third.2–2
  3. 3rd InningWitt Jr. walked, Collins scored, Garcia to second, Isbel to third.2–1
  4. 7th InningHarris scored on Schreiber wild pitch, Murakami to second on wild pitch by Schreiber, Vargas to third on wild pitch by Schreiber.6–5
  5. 2nd InningMurray homered to left (368 feet), Montgomery scored.2–0
  6. 7th InningHarris scored on Schreiber wild pitch, Murakami to second on wild pitch by Schreiber, Vargas to third on wild pitch by Schreiber.6–5
  7. 4th InningCollins singled to center, Caglianone scored.4–4
  8. 4th InningWitt Jr. singled to center, Collins scored.4–5
  9. 4th InningMontgomery homered to right (384 feet), Sosa scored.4–3
  10. 3rd InningJensen reached on infield single to pitcher, Garcia scored, Pasquantino to second, Witt Jr. to third.2–3

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