HOU @ SEA
T-Mobile Park · Seattle, Washington
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameIndoor1:10 PM PT⚾ Cody Bolton vs Logan GilbertMLB.TVMariners.TV
Result readSeattle Mariners
Houston Astros 1 · Seattle Mariners 6
Final
Houston Astros16-25-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 50%
Seattle Mariners19-22+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeT-Mobile ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Seattle Mariners is the model’s call — Seattle Mariners on the margin numbers, Houston Astros on the form numbers. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Seattle Mariners at 59%. Actual: Seattle Mariners by 5.
Pre-game pick: Seattle Mariners at 59%. Actual: Seattle Mariners by 5.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Houston Astros
- Mike Burrows SP · #50
- Lance McCullers Jr. SP · #43
- Kai-Wei Teng RP · #17
- Christian Walker 1B · #8
Seattle Mariners
- Bryan Woo SP · #22
- George Kirby SP · #68
- Cal Raleigh C · #29
- Cole Young 2B · #2
Injury Report
Seattle Mariners
Patrick Wisdom10-Day-ILVictor Robles10-Day-ILBryce Miller15-Day-ILTeddy McGrawDay-To-DayJose Ferrerpaternity
Houston Astros
Tatsuya Imai15-Day-ILLance McCullers Jr.Day-To-DayWalker JanekDay-To-DayLucas SpenceDay-To-DayYainer Diaz10-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreDiaz homered to left (372 feet).1–4
- ScoreRodríguez walked, Crawford scored, Young to second, Canzone to third.0–2
- ScoreDonovan hit sacrifice fly to right, Raley scored, Crawford to third.0–4
- ScoreYoung walked, Arozarena scored, Crawford to second, Raley to third.0–3
- ScoreArozarena singled to center, Donovan scored, Naylor to second.0–1
- 🏃 TripleRaley tripled to right, Naylor scored and Arozarena scored.1–6
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Astros | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| Seattle Mariners | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — | 6 | 8 | 0 |
Houston Astros
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve 2B· | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .333 | .457 | .526 |
| Yordan Alvarez LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | .340 | .500 | .755 |
| Isaac Paredes 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .225 | .340 | .325 |
| Christian Walker 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .298 | .375 | .561 |
| Cam Smith RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .286 | .375 | .518 |
| Joey Loperfido LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .279 | .360 | .372 |
| Yainer Diaz C· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .208 | .250 | .292 |
| Taylor Trammell CF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | .286 | .444 | .429 |
| Nick Allen SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .214 | .313 | .214 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Bolton SP· | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 42-21 | 5.40 | 42 |
| Jayden Murray RP | 2.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 38-18 | 9.00 | 38 |
| Christian Roa RP | 2.2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 40-22 | 4.91 | 40 |
| Enyel De Los Santos RP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13-9 | 1.69 | 13 |
| Bryan Abreu RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 27-18 | 16.20 | 27 |
Seattle Mariners
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .293 | .412 | .561 |
| Cal Raleigh C· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | .133 | .232 | .267 |
| Julio Rodriguez CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | .194 | .286 | .258 |
| Josh Naylor 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .102 | .197 | .102 |
| Randy Arozarena LF· | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | .291 | .426 | .400 |
| Luke Raley RF· | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .255 | .314 | .553 |
| J.P. Crawford SS· | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16 | .208 | .457 | .250 |
| Dominic Canzone RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .206 | .289 | .471 |
| Cole Young 2B· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | .259 | .355 | .444 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert SP· | 7.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 85-56 | 4.18 | 85 |
| Jose Ferrer RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6-4 | 2.57 | 6 |
| Cooper Criswell RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9-6 | 2.25 | 9 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningArozarena walked.
- 8th InningPitch 9 : Ball 4
- 8th InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul
- 8th InningNaylor grounded out to second, Rodríguez to third.
- 8th InningRaleigh struck out swinging.
Scoring Plays
- 5th InningDiaz homered to left (372 feet).1–4
- 2nd InningRodríguez walked, Crawford scored, Young to second, Canzone to third.0–2
- 3rd InningDonovan hit sacrifice fly to right, Raley scored, Crawford to third.0–4
- 3rd InningYoung walked, Arozarena scored, Crawford to second, Raley to third.0–3
- 1st InningArozarena singled to center, Donovan scored, Naylor to second.0–1
- 6th InningRaley tripled to right, Naylor scored and Arozarena scored.1–6