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InTheRafters.com

TEX @ LAD

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM PT59°F · 3 mph wind · clear⚾ Jacob deGrom vs Roki SasakiMLB.TV
Result readTexas Rangers

Texas Rangers 5 · Los Angeles Dodgers 2

Final
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Los Angeles Dodgers24-16+1.7 net/g (SOS-adj +1.6) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeDodger StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Texas Rangers gets the model’s nod thanks to Los Angeles Dodgers’s margin advantage, with Texas Rangers’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 77%. Actual: Texas Rangers by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Texas Rangers

Los Angeles Dodgers

Injury Report

Los Angeles Dodgers

Mookie Betts10-Day-ILBen Casparius15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow15-Day-ILGavin Stone60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol15-Day-IL

Texas Rangers

Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILNathan EovaldiDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Texas Rangers
ED Ezequiel Duran LF · #20 EC Evan Carter CF · #32 BN Brandon Nimmo RF · #24 JJ Josh Jung 3B · #6 CS Corey Seager SS · #5 JS Josh Smith 2B · #8 JB Jake Burger 1B · #21 MG MacKenzie Gore P · #1 DJ Danny Jansen C · #9
Los Angeles Dodgers
TH T. Hernandez LF · #37 AP Andy Pages CF · #44 KT Kyle Tucker RF · #23 MM Max Muncy 3B · #13 HK Hyeseong Kim SS · #6 AF Alex Freeland 2B · #76 FF F. Freeman 1B · #5 ES Emmet Sheehan P · #80 WS Will Smith C · #16

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreNimmo singled to center, Jung scored, Duran to third.8th Inning4–2
  2. ScoreSmith singled to right, Pederson scored, Jansen to second.3rd Inning2–1
  3. ScoreDuran scored on Klein wild pitch, Nimmo to second.8th Inning5–2
  4. ScoreTucker singled to right, Rushing scored, Rojas to third.7th Inning3–2
  5. ScoreNimmo grounded out to first, Jung scored, Duran to second.6th Inning3–1
  6. ScoreDuran scored on Klein wild pitch, Nimmo to second on wild pitch by Klein.8th Inning5–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Texas Rangers0020010205100
Los Angeles Dodgers100000100261

Texas Rangers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brandon Nimmo RF·2-5502200016.367.433.600
Evan Carter CF·1-3311112021.233.365.442
Corey Seager SS·0-4400001118.204.308.426
Jake Burger 1B·1-5501000422.230.254.393
Joc Pederson 1B·1-4411001220.156.243.281
Danny Jansen C·0-2200003121.222.300.361
Josh Smith 2B·2-5502100117.174.255.174
Josh Jung 3B·2-3322002127.244.311.268
Ezequiel Duran LF·1-3311001117.250.276.393

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jacob deGrom SP·6.041139193-642.8793
Jacob Latz RP0.221110015-71.7415
Cole Winn RP1.100011021-90.0021
Jakob Junis RP1.000012019-100.0019

Los Angeles Dodgers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Shohei Ohtani DH·1-3311112114.286.425.571
Kyle Tucker RF·1-5501100221.246.343.316
Andy Pages CF·1-4401000017.429.467.714
Freddie Freeman 1B·1-4401000114.258.313.468
Max Muncy 3B·0-4400000316.245.339.490
Alex Freeland 2B·0-3300001113.200.273.325
Dalton Rushing C·1-4411000219.538.5711.308
Alex Call LF·1-3301001117.417.563.583
Hyeseong Kim SS·0-220000019.308.412.385
Miguel Rojas SS0-000000104.292.333.333
Will Smith C0-000000104.295.392.432

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Roki Sasaki SP·4.052256194-536.2394
Edgardo Henriquez RP1.011020017-85.4017
Jack Dreyer RP1.00000005-52.845
Ben Casparius RP1.022221026-139.6426
Will Klein RP2.020014037-241.1737

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningJung struck out swinging.
  2. 9th InningPitch 9 : Strike 3 Swinging
  3. 9th InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul
  4. 5th InningTucker struck out swinging.
  5. 9th InningTucker flied out to center.
  6. 9th InningPitch 7 : Ball 3
  7. 5th InningPitch 7 : Strike 3 Swinging

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningNimmo singled to center, Jung scored, Duran to third.4–2
  2. 3rd InningSmith singled to right, Pederson scored, Jansen to second.2–1
  3. 8th InningDuran scored on Klein wild pitch, Nimmo to second.5–2
  4. 7th InningTucker singled to right, Rushing scored, Rojas to third.3–2
  5. 6th InningNimmo grounded out to first, Jung scored, Duran to second.3–1
  6. 8th InningDuran scored on Klein wild pitch, Nimmo to second on wild pitch by Klein.5–2
  7. 3rd InningCarter homered to right center (388 feet).1–1
  8. 1st InningOhtani homered to right center (374 feet).0–1

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