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InTheRafters.com

CHC @ PHI

Joshua Silvia
12–19 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM ET72°F · 10 mph wind · mostly clear⚾ Javier Assad vs Cristopher SanchezMLB.TV
Result readPhiladelphia Phillies

Chicago Cubs 7 · Philadelphia Phillies 13

Final
Chicago Cubs27-14-1+1.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.0) · expected win rate 61% · last 10: 80%
Philadelphia Phillies19-22-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.7) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 70%
Venue EdgeCitizens Bank ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Philadelphia Phillies is the model’s call — Chicago Cubs on the margin numbers, Chicago Cubs on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Chicago Cubs at 86%. Actual: Philadelphia Phillies by 6.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Chicago Cubs

Philadelphia Phillies

Injury Report

Philadelphia Phillies

Christian McGowanDay-To-DayKyle Backhus15-Day-ILKeaton AnthonyDay-To-DayRene PintoDay-To-DayZach Pop15-Day-IL

Chicago Cubs

Jeff BrighamDay-To-DayJaxon WigginsDay-To-DayJordan Wicks15-Day-ILCaleb Thielbar15-Day-ILMatthew Boyd15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Chicago Cubs
IH Ian Happ LF · #8 PC Crow-Armstrong CF · #4 MS Matt Shaw RF · #6 AB Alex Bregman 3B · #3 DS Dansby Swanson SS · #7 NH Nico Hoerner 2B · #2 MB Michael Busch 1B · #29 EC Edward Cabrera P · #30 MB M. Ballesteros C · #25
Philadelphia Phillies
KS Kyle Schwarber LF · #12 JC J. Crawford CF · #2 AG Adolis Garcia RF · #53 AB Alec Bohm 3B · #28 TT Trea Turner SS · #7 BS Bryson Stott 2B · #5 BH Bryce Harper 1B · #3 CS C. Sanchez P · #61 RM Rafael Marchan C · #13

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreSuzuki singled to left, Crow-Armstrong scored, Shaw to second.8th Inning7–13
  2. 💣 Home RunCrow-Armstrong singled to right, Ballesteros scored and Swanson scored on throwing error by right fielder Marsh, Crow-Armstrong to second, Amaya safe at third on error.8th Inning5–13
  3. ScoreRealmuto singled to right, García scored, Stott to third.6th Inning2–12
  4. 🏃 DoubleGarcía doubled to left, Schwarber scored, Harper to third.6th Inning2–10
  5. ScoreRealmuto singled to right, Marsh scored.2nd Inning0–2
  6. ScoreBohm grounded out to shortstop, Harper scored, García to third.6th Inning2–11

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Chicago Cubs0002000507111
Philadelphia Phillies11205310—13153

Chicago Cubs

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Nico Hoerner 2B·0-3300000212.300.403.467
Scott Kingery 3B0-220000003.000.000.000
Alex Bregman 3B·1-4401001123.215.297.323
Seiya Suzuki RF·1-4401101021.214.389.214
Ian Happ LF·2-5512000218.211.308.474
Carson Kelly C·1-2211001011.317.440.390
Moises Ballesteros C2-221210007.333.375.528
Dansby Swanson SS·1-3321211117.173.323.365
Michael Conforto RF0-110000013.286.444.381
Miguel Amaya C·2-4412000219.280.419.440
Pete Crow-Armstrong CF·1-5511100213.203.239.266
Matt Shaw RF·0-3300001117.205.250.364

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Javier Assad SP·4.1119923282-528.1082
Jacob Webb RP0.20000108-54.268
Charlie Barnes RP3.044331062-339.0062

Philadelphia Phillies

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Trea Turner SS·1-4411000010.254.296.358
Edmundo Sosa 2B1-111100001.231.333.308
Kyle Schwarber LF·2-3342321013.236.408.618
Bryce Harper 1B·1-3321001013.276.382.517
Otto Kemp LF0-000000105.154.267.154
Adolis Garcia RF·2-4422100115.224.292.379
Dylan Moore CF0-110000015.000.250.000
Brandon Marsh LF·3-4423201019.304.333.482
Alec Bohm 3B·1-4401200113.155.231.224
Bryson Stott 2B·1-4411101018.200.273.220
J.T. Realmuto C·3-5503300021.263.378.395
Justin Crawford CF·0-5500000219.306.370.429

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Cristopher Sanchez SP·6.062238196-602.0196
Seth Johnson SP1.245321050-2916.2050
Orion Kerkering RP1.110003018-154.1518

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningHapp doubled to right.
  2. 7th InningShaw walked.
  3. 8th InningPitch 6 : Ball In Play
  4. 7th InningPitch 9 : Ball 4
  5. 8th InningPitch 5 : Ball 2
  6. 7th InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul
  7. 3rd InningMarsh walked.

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningSuzuki singled to left, Crow-Armstrong scored, Shaw to second.7–13
  2. 8th InningCrow-Armstrong singled to right, Ballesteros scored and Swanson scored on throwing error by right fielder Marsh, Crow-Armstrong to second, Amaya safe at third on error.5–13
  3. 6th InningRealmuto singled to right, García scored, Stott to third.2–12
  4. 6th InningGarcía doubled to left, Schwarber scored, Harper to third.2–10
  5. 2nd InningRealmuto singled to right, Marsh scored.0–2
  6. 6th InningBohm grounded out to shortstop, Harper scored, García to third.2–11
  7. 5th InningRealmuto singled to center, Stott scored.2–9
  8. 4th InningSwanson homered to right (359 feet), Kelly scored.2–4
  9. 5th InningStott singled to center, Marsh scored, Stott to second.2–8
  10. 1st InningSchwarber homered to center (414 feet).0–1
  11. 8th InningAmaya scored, Shaw safe at first, Crow-Armstrong safe at third on fielding error by third baseman Bohm.6–13
  12. 8th InningBallesteros singled to center, Happ scored.3–13
  13. 7th InningMarsh reached on infield single to shortstop, Sosa scored. Marsh to second, Kemp safe at third on throwing error by shortstop Swanson.2–13
  14. 5th InningBohm hit sacrifice fly to center, García scored, Marsh to third.2–7
  15. 5th InningMarsh doubled to center, Schwarber scored and Harper scored, García to third.2–6
  16. 3rd InningSchwarber homered to center (417 feet), Turner scored.0–4

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