Skip to content

InTheRafters.com

HOU @ SEA

Joshua Silvia
12–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameIndoor1:10 PM PT⚾ Mike Burrows vs George KirbyMLB.TVMariners.TV
Result readSeattle Mariners

Houston Astros 2 · Seattle Mariners 6

Final
Houston Astros16-25-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 50%
Seattle Mariners19-22+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeT-Mobile ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Seattle Mariners is the model’s call — Seattle Mariners on the margin numbers, Houston Astros on the form numbers. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Seattle Mariners at 60%. Actual: Seattle Mariners by 4.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Houston Astros

Seattle Mariners

Injury Report

Seattle Mariners

Patrick Wisdom10-Day-ILVictor Robles10-Day-ILBryce Miller15-Day-ILTeddy McGrawDay-To-DayJose Ferrerpaternity

Houston Astros

Tatsuya Imai15-Day-ILLance McCullers Jr.Day-To-DayWalker JanekDay-To-DayLucas SpenceDay-To-DayYainer Diaz10-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Houston Astros
YA Yordan Alvarez LF · #44 DJ Daniel Johnson CF · #31 CS Cam Smith RF · #11 IP Isaac Paredes 3B · #15 CC Carlos Correa SS · #1 JA Jose Altuve 2B · #27 CW C. Walker 1B · #8 MB Mike Burrows P · #50 YD Yainer Diaz C · #21
Seattle Mariners
RA R. Arozarena LF · #56 JR J. Rodriguez CF · #44 LR Luke Raley RF · #20 LR Leo Rivas 3B · #76 CR J.P. Crawford SS · #3 CY Cole Young 2B · #2 JN Josh Naylor 1B · #12 BW Bryan Woo P · #22 CR Cal Raleigh C · #29

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreRaley singled to right, Rodríguez scored.5th Inning2–6
  2. ScoreDiaz singled to center, Smith scored, Trammell to third.5th Inning1–5
  3. ScoreNaylor homered to right center (365 feet), Raleigh scored and Rodríguez scored.1st Inning0–3
  4. ScoreAllen grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Trammell scored, Diaz out at second.5th Inning2–5
  5. ScoreNaylor homered to center (433 feet), Raleigh scored.3rd Inning0–5

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Houston Astros000020000270
Seattle Mariners30201000—6130

Houston Astros

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jose Altuve 2B·0-4400000013.311.432.492
Yordan Alvarez LF·0-3300001017.321.487.714
Isaac Paredes 3B·2-4402000118.250.353.341
Christian Walker 1B·0-3300001219.283.368.533
Carlos Correa SS·1-4401000214.291.361.400
Cam Smith RF·1-4411000012.283.368.500
Taylor Trammell CF·1-4411000112.273.385.364
Yainer Diaz C·1-330110005.216.255.294
Nick Allen SS·0-220000003.188.278.188
Joey Loperfido LF1-110100006.295.373.386
Shay Whitcomb 3B0-000000000.000.333.000

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Mike Burrows SP·6.0116613298-696.5598
J.P. France SP2.020000023-137.7123

Seattle Mariners

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brendan Donovan 3B·2-4402001022.311.429.578
Cal Raleigh C·2-5522000020.154.243.277
Julio Rodriguez CF·2-4422000013.212.297.288
Josh Naylor 1B·2-442252008.127.214.222
Randy Arozarena LF·0-440000009.271.403.373
Luke Raley RF·3-4403100111.294.345.569
J.P. Crawford SS·1-4401000012.214.436.250
Mitch Garver C·1-4401000112.167.333.167
Cole Young 2B·0-4400000114.241.333.414

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
George Kirby SP·7.272216099-693.2599
Matt Brash RP0.10000004-20.004
Cole Wilcox RP1.000010016-94.7616

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningWalker walked.
  2. 8th InningLoperfido reached on infield single to shortstop.
  3. 6th InningDonovan walked.

Scoring Plays

  1. 5th InningRaley singled to right, Rodríguez scored.2–6
  2. 5th InningDiaz singled to center, Smith scored, Trammell to third.1–5
  3. 1st InningNaylor homered to right center (365 feet), Raleigh scored and Rodríguez scored.0–3
  4. 5th InningAllen grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Trammell scored, Diaz out at second.2–5
  5. 3rd InningNaylor homered to center (433 feet), Raleigh scored.0–5

Trending