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InTheRafters.com

TOR @ MIL

Joshua Silvia
12–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:40 PM CT⚾ Dylan Cease vs Chad PatrickMLB.TVBrewers.TV
Result readMilwaukee Brewers

Toronto Blue Jays 1 · Milwaukee Brewers 2

Final
Toronto Blue Jays18-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Milwaukee Brewers22-16-2+1.4 net/g (SOS-adj +1.4) · expected win rate 64% · last 10: 75%
Venue EdgeAmerican Family FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Milwaukee Brewers gets the model’s nod thanks to Milwaukee Brewers’s margin advantage, with Milwaukee Brewers’s recent run providing the second tip. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Milwaukee Brewers at 81%. Actual: Milwaukee Brewers by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Toronto Blue Jays

Milwaukee Brewers

Injury Report

Milwaukee Brewers

J.B. BukauskasDay-To-DayBrandon Woodruff15-Day-ILChristian Yelich10-Day-ILBrandon Lockridge10-Day-ILRob Zastryzny60-Day-IL

Toronto Blue Jays

Javen ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILFernando Perezdevelopmental list
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Toronto Blue Jays
JS Jesus Sanchez LF · #12 DV Daulton Varsho CF · #5 MS Myles Straw RF · #3 KO Kazuma Okamoto 3B · #7 AG Andres Gimenez SS · #0 EC Ernie Clement 2B · #22 VG Guerrero Jr. 1B · #27 KG Kevin Gausman P · #34 TH Tyler Heineman C · #55
Milwaukee Brewers
BL B. Lockridge LF · #20 GM G. Mitchell CF · #5 SF Sal Frelick RF · #10 LR Luis Rengifo 3B · #13 JO Joey Ortiz SS · #3 BT Brice Turang 2B · #2 JB Jake Bauers 1B · #9 JM J. Misiorowski P · #32 WC W. Contreras C · #24

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreSánchez hit sacrifice fly to left, Varsho scored.1st Inning1–0
  2. ScoreTurang grounded out to second, Frelick scored, Contreras to second.8th Inning1–2
  3. ScoreContreras singled to right, Hamilton scored, Frelick to third.8th Inning1–1

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Toronto Blue Jays100000000151
Milwaukee Brewers00000002—250

Toronto Blue Jays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Nathan Lukes RF·0-330000007.065.118.065
Davis Schneider LF0-110000014.240.387.440
Daulton Varsho CF·1-3311001013.267.343.483
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B·1-3301001115.328.446.443
Jesus Sanchez LF·0-220010009.280.333.460
Myles Straw RF0-110000015.353.389.412
Kazuma Okamoto 3B·0-3300001119.213.294.328
Ernie Clement 2B·0-4400000111.286.296.357
Andres Gimenez SS·1-4401000018.274.318.468
Lenyn Sosa 2B·1-330100007.500.500.500
Brandon Valenzuela C·1-3301000114.174.208.304

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Dylan Cease SP·6.0200360106-631.74106
Mason Fluharty RP0.210000013-85.1413
Braydon Fisher RP0.10000005-30.935
Tyler Rogers RP1.022110016-90.9316

Milwaukee Brewers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Sal Frelick RF·0-4410000115.179.303.268
William Contreras C·2-4402100013.305.406.475
Brice Turang 2B·0-3300101022.304.435.571
Gary Sanchez C·0-3300001120.233.395.733
Jake Bauers 1B·0-3300001111.226.305.528
Brandon Lockridge LF·1-3301001018.279.354.326
Garrett Mitchell CF·0-2200000211.268.412.415
Blake Perkins LF0-110000003.133.235.200
Joey Ortiz SS·1-3301000114.208.240.208
David Hamilton 3B·1-3311000013.200.378.200

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Chad Patrick SP·6.231122081-480.9581
DL Hall RP0.11000008-50.008
Aaron Ashby RP1.010013021-133.2921
Abner Uribe RP1.000001012-84.9112

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningHamilton reached on infield single to pitcher.
  2. 1st InningTurang grounded into fielder's choice to second, Contreras out at second.
  3. 8th InningPitch 5 : Ball In Play

Scoring Plays

  1. 1st InningSánchez hit sacrifice fly to left, Varsho scored.1–0
  2. 8th InningTurang grounded out to second, Frelick scored, Contreras to second.1–2
  3. 8th InningContreras singled to right, Hamilton scored, Frelick to third.1–1

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