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InTheRafters.com

CIN @ MIN

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM CT⚾ Andrew Abbott vs Taj BradleyMLB.TVTwins.TVReds.TV
Result readCincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds 5 · Minnesota Twins 4

Final
Cincinnati Reds22-19-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.8) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 20%
Minnesota Twins18-23-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeTarget FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Cincinnati Reds gets the model’s nod thanks to Minnesota Twins’s margin advantage, with Minnesota Twins’s recent run providing the second tip. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Minnesota Twins at 73%. Actual: Cincinnati Reds by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Cincinnati Reds

Minnesota Twins

Injury Report

Minnesota Twins

Cory LewisDay-To-DayGarrett Acton15-Day-ILCole Sands15-Day-ILJulian MerryweatherDay-To-DayCody Laweryson15-Day-IL

Cincinnati Reds

Josh StaumontDay-To-DayCaleb Ferguson15-Day-ILRhett LowderOutEugenio Suarez10-Day-ILConnor BurnsDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Cincinnati Reds
SS Spencer Steer LF · #7 TF TJ Friedl CF · #29 WB Will Benson RF · #30 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B · #3 EC E. Cruz SS · #44 MM Matt McLain 2B · #9 SS Sal Stewart 1B · #27 AA Andrew Abbott P · #41 TS T. Stephenson C · #37
Minnesota Twins
AM Austin Martin LF · #16 BB Byron Buxton CF · #25 MW Matt Wallner RF · #38 RL Royce Lewis 3B · #23 BL Brooks Lee SS · #22 LK Luke Keaschall 2B · #15 JB Josh Bell 1B · #56 BO Bailey Ober P · #17 RJ Ryan Jeffers C · #27

Box Score

Highlights

  1. 🏃 TripleJeffers tripled to center, Martin scored and Bell scored.1st Inning0–2
  2. ScoreLee singled to center, Bell scored, Larnach to second.5th Inning2–4
  3. ScoreDe La Cruz singled to left, Hinds scored, Myers to second.7th Inning3–4
  4. ScoreStephenson singled to left, Suárez scored.4th Inning2–3
  5. 💣 Home RunHinds sacrificed into double play, center to first to shortstop to second, Suárez scored, McLain thrown out at second.8th Inning4–4
  6. ScoreKeaschall singled to right, Martin scored.3rd Inning1–3

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Cincinnati Reds0101001115111
Minnesota Twins201010000490

Cincinnati Reds

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
TJ Friedl CF·0-4400000121.137.259.137
Will Benson RF·1-2201001012.188.297.281
Dane Myers CF1-110110005.269.345.269
Elly De La Cruz SS·1-5501100220.265.344.530
Sal Stewart 1B·1-4411001013.297.404.635
Eugenio Suarez 3B·2-4422000120.270.341.432
Nathaniel Lowe 1B·2-4402000121.231.333.346
Matt McLain 2B0-000000000.183.333.225
Tyler Stephenson C·1-3301200212.174.291.304
Rece Hinds RF·1-331110009.077.071.077
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B·0-3300000010.060.130.060
Spencer Steer LF1-111100003.203.246.391

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Andrew Abbott SP·4.264333097-525.8497
Sam Moll RP0.110011015-81.8615
Pierce Johnson RP1.010002011-93.2411
Brock Burke RP1.010011028-160.9628
Kyle Nicolas RP1.000003015-96.2315
Tony Santillan RP1.000002012-90.0012

Minnesota Twins

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Byron Buxton CF·1-5501000213.234.294.416
Austin Martin LF·0-4420001220.295.475.409
Josh Bell 1B·2-4422000110.268.361.465
Kody Clemens 1B0-110000015.147.275.324
Ryan Jeffers C·1-5501200025.278.381.463
Luke Keaschall 2B·2-5502100120.222.273.296
Trevor Larnach LF·0-3300001123.242.419.394
James Outman CF0-000000000.000.100.000
Matt Wallner RF0-110000014.181.272.333
Brooks Lee SS·1-3301101019.233.292.400
Ryan Kreidler 3B·1-2201002022.214.389.714
Tristan Gray 3B·1-4401000317.281.333.500

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Taj Bradley SP·6.052225099-621.6399
Justin Topa RP0.211101010-74.3510
Kody Funderburk RP0.110000010-52.0010
Eric Orze RP1.021101015-134.1515
Cole Sands RP1.021100012-94.3212

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningBuxton struck out swinging.
  2. 8th InningSuárez singled to left.

Scoring Plays

  1. 1st InningJeffers tripled to center, Martin scored and Bell scored.0–2
  2. 5th InningLee singled to center, Bell scored, Larnach to second.2–4
  3. 7th InningDe La Cruz singled to left, Hinds scored, Myers to second.3–4
  4. 4th InningStephenson singled to left, Suárez scored.2–3
  5. 8th InningHinds sacrificed into double play, center to first to shortstop to second, Suárez scored, McLain thrown out at second.4–4
  6. 3rd InningKeaschall singled to right, Martin scored.1–3
  7. 9th InningMyers singled to center, Steer scored.5–4
  8. 2nd InningStephenson hit sacrifice fly to center, Stewart scored.1–2

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