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InTheRafters.com

STL @ HOU

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:10 PM CT⚾ Andre Pallante vs Lance McCullers Jr.MLB.TVCardinals.TV
Result readSt. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals 7 · Houston Astros 5

Final
St. Louis Cardinals23-17-1+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 55%
Houston Astros16-25-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeDaikin ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to St. Louis Cardinals on the back of St. Louis Cardinals’s margin work and St. Louis Cardinals’s last-ten momentum. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: St. Louis Cardinals at 71%. Actual: St. Louis Cardinals by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

St. Louis Cardinals

Houston Astros

Injury Report

Houston Astros

Tatsuya Imai15-Day-ILLance McCullers Jr.Day-To-DayWalker JanekDay-To-DayLucas SpenceDay-To-DayYainer Diaz10-Day-IL

St. Louis Cardinals

Matt Pushard15-Day-ILRamon Urias10-Day-ILLars Nootbaar60-Day-ILIxan HendersonDay-To-DayVictor SantosDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

St. Louis Cardinals
NC Nathan Church LF · #27 VI V. Scott II CF · #11 JW Jordan Walker RF · #18 NG Nolan Gorman 3B · #16 MW Masyn Winn SS · #0 JW JJ Wetherholt 2B · #26 AB Alec Burleson 1B · #41 ML M. Liberatore P · #32 IH Ivan Herrera C · #48
Houston Astros
YA Yordan Alvarez LF · #44 DJ Daniel Johnson CF · #31 CS Cam Smith RF · #11 IP Isaac Paredes 3B · #15 CC Carlos Correa SS · #1 JA Jose Altuve 2B · #27 CW C. Walker 1B · #8 MB Mike Burrows P · #50 YD Yainer Diaz C · #21

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreFermín homered to left center (370 feet).6th Inning5–1
  2. ScoreUrías scored on Gordon wild pitch.8th Inning7–1
  3. ScoreUrías scored on Gordon wild pitch.8th Inning7–1
  4. ScoreWhitcomb homered to center (407 feet), Smith scored and Vázquez scored.9th Inning7–5
  5. ScoreBurleson homered to right center (408 feet).7th Inning6–1
  6. ScoreGorman singled to right, Herrera scored on error and Wetherholt scored, Gorman safe at second on fielding error by right fielder Smith, Walker safe at third on error.1st Inning2–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
St. Louis Cardinals2020011107100
Houston Astros100000013541

St. Louis Cardinals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt 2B·1-3311001131.236.380.375
Ivan Herrera C·1-4411000218.214.398.357
Alec Burleson 1B·2-5512110010.299.389.481
Jordan Walker RF·1-4401001220.312.376.662
Nolan Gorman 3B·2-5512200018.222.292.365
Masyn Winn SS·1-5511210321.190.319.293
Ramon Urias 3B·0-331000109.194.310.444
Nathan Church LF·1-4401000218.217.260.304
Jose Fermin LF·1-3311111126.250.350.438
Victor Scott II CF0-000000000.235.273.255

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Andre Pallante SP·5.031135187-484.0587
Gordon Graceffo RP2.000001026-150.8726
Matt Svanson RP1.001131024-913.5024
George Soriano RP0.113321117-74.8217
Riley O'Brien RP0.20000107-60.007

Houston Astros

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jose Altuve 2B·0-4410001221.278.394.468
Yordan Alvarez LF·2-4412111120.342.485.789
Carlos Correa SS·0-2200002123.264.354.375
Christian Walker 1B·0-4400000119.263.352.500
Isaac Paredes 3B·0-4400000114.186.314.254
Taylor Trammell CF·1-440100019.292.370.333
Cam Smith RF·0-2210002017.257.356.446
Christian Vazquez C·0-2210002024.375.444.688
Shay Whitcomb 3B·1-4411310214.143.250.571

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Lance McCullers Jr. SP·5.054434191-586.2091
Colton Gordon SP2.243315264-389.9564
AJ Blubaugh RP1.110002016-107.0716

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningWetherholt reached on infield single to third.
  2. 6th InningFermín homered to left center (370 feet).5–1
  3. 8th InningAltuve walked.
  4. 8th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
  5. 6th InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
  6. 2nd InningWetherholt walked, Fermín to second.

Scoring Plays

  1. 6th InningFermín homered to left center (370 feet).5–1
  2. 8th InningUrías scored on Gordon wild pitch.7–1
  3. 8th InningUrías scored on Gordon wild pitch.7–1
  4. 9th InningWhitcomb homered to center (407 feet), Smith scored and Vázquez scored.7–5
  5. 7th InningBurleson homered to right center (408 feet).6–1
  6. 1st InningGorman singled to right, Herrera scored on error and Wetherholt scored, Gorman safe at second on fielding error by right fielder Smith, Walker safe at third on error.2–0
  7. 8th InningWalker grounded into double play, second to first, Altuve scored, Correa out at second, Alvarez to third.7–2
  8. 3rd InningWinn homered to left (373 feet), Gorman scored.4–1
  9. 1st InningAlvarez homered to center (421 feet).2–1

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