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InTheRafters.com

STL @ HOU

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameIndoor1:10 PM CT⚾ Matthew Liberatore vs Mike BurrowsMLB.TVCardinals.TV
Result readSt. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals 7 · Houston Astros 5

Final
St. Louis Cardinals23-17-1+0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 55%
Houston Astros16-25-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -0.9) · expected win rate 43% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeDaikin ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on St. Louis Cardinals: St. Louis Cardinals’s scoring margin profile and St. Louis Cardinals’s recent stretch. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: St. Louis Cardinals at 71%. Actual: St. Louis Cardinals by 2.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

St. Louis Cardinals

Houston Astros

Injury Report

Houston Astros

Tatsuya Imai15-Day-ILLance McCullers Jr.Day-To-DayWalker JanekDay-To-DayLucas SpenceDay-To-DayYainer Diaz10-Day-IL

St. Louis Cardinals

Matt Pushard15-Day-ILRamon Urias10-Day-ILLars Nootbaar60-Day-ILIxan HendersonDay-To-DayVictor SantosDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

St. Louis Cardinals
NC Nathan Church LF · #27 VI V. Scott II CF · #11 JW Jordan Walker RF · #18 NG Nolan Gorman 3B · #16 MW Masyn Winn SS · #0 JW JJ Wetherholt 2B · #26 AB Alec Burleson 1B · #41 ML M. Liberatore P · #32 IH Ivan Herrera C · #48
Houston Astros
YA Yordan Alvarez LF · #44 DJ Daniel Johnson CF · #31 CS Cam Smith RF · #11 IP Isaac Paredes 3B · #15 CC Carlos Correa SS · #1 JA Jose Altuve 2B · #27 CW C. Walker 1B · #8 MB Mike Burrows P · #50 YD Yainer Diaz C · #21

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreParedes singled to right, Altuve scored and Walker scored.8th Inning4–4
  2. ScoreAlvarez homered to right (357 feet).8th Inning4–2
  3. ScoreAltuve reached on infield single to shortstop, Trammell scored, Correa to third.10th Inning7–5
  4. ScoreScott II walked, Winn scored, Pagés to second, Church to third.5th Inning1–1
  5. ScoreHerrera singled to left, Scott II scored, Wetherholt to second.5th Inning4–1
  6. ScoreCorrea hit sacrifice fly to center, Trammell scored.3rd Inning0–1

Scoring by Inning

Team12345678910RHE
St. Louis Cardinals0000400003781
Houston Astros0010000301581

St. Louis Cardinals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
JJ Wetherholt 2B·1-4401200224.237.381.368
Ivan Herrera C·1-5511100224.213.388.347
Alec Burleson 1B·0-5500000218.280.368.451
Jordan Walker RF·1-5511000220.305.367.646
Nolan Gorman 3B·0-4400000123.209.276.343
Ramon Urias 3B0-001000004.194.326.444
Masyn Winn SS·3-5513300226.222.338.333
Nathan Church LF·0-2210001111.208.264.292
Jose Fermin LF1-220100009.278.364.500
Pedro Pages C·1-4411001118.214.277.333
Victor Scott II CF·0-2210101010.226.276.245
Yohel Pozo C0-110000003.125.125.188
Thomas Saggese LF0-000000000.209.277.256

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Matthew Liberatore SP·6.031124082-503.6782
Ryne Stanek RP1.000000010-77.7110
JoJo Romero RP0.223310125-162.2525
Riley O'Brien RP1.110002019-120.0019
Justin Bruihl RP0.211000016-116.7516
Gordon Graceffo RP0.11000007-40.847

Houston Astros

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Carlos Correa SS·0-3300101019.253.345.360
Yordan Alvarez LF·1-5511110024.333.471.790
Jose Altuve 2B·3-5513100013.298.404.476
Christian Walker 1B·0-3310002128.253.355.481
Isaac Paredes 3B·1-4401200115.190.311.254
Brice Matthews LF0-000000000.107.194.250
Cam Smith RF·0-4400000117.244.341.423
Yainer Diaz C·1-4401000116.190.224.270
Shay Whitcomb 3B·0-220000018.111.200.444
Dustin Harris LF0-220000004.000.000.000
Taylor Trammell CF·2-4422000115.321.387.429

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Mike Burrows SP·4.234427087-566.7587
Steven Okert RP0.11000109-73.489
Kai-Wei Teng RP2.010013035-231.9835
Enyel De Los Santos RP1.010001019-141.1719
Bryan King RP2.023101040-271.8040

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 8th InningWalker walked, Altuve to second.
  2. 8th InningPitch 10 : Ball 4
  3. 10th InningAlvarez lined out to shortstop.
  4. 8th InningPitch 9 : Strike 2 Foul

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningParedes singled to right, Altuve scored and Walker scored.4–4
  2. 8th InningAlvarez homered to right (357 feet).4–2
  3. 10th InningAltuve reached on infield single to shortstop, Trammell scored, Correa to third.7–5
  4. 5th InningScott II walked, Winn scored, Pagés to second, Church to third.1–1
  5. 5th InningHerrera singled to left, Scott II scored, Wetherholt to second.4–1
  6. 3rd InningCorrea hit sacrifice fly to center, Trammell scored.0–1
  7. 5th InningWetherholt singled to right, Church scored and Pagés scored, Scott II to third.3–1
  8. 10th InningWinn doubled to left, Herrera scored, Urías scored and Walker scored.7–4

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