TEX @ SEA
T-Mobile Park · Seattle, Washington
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameIndoor1:10 PM PT⚾ MacKenzie Gore vs Bryan WooMLB.TVMariners.TV
Result readSeattle Mariners
Texas Rangers 2 · Seattle Mariners 5
Final
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Seattle Mariners19-22+0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 51% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeT-Mobile ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Seattle Mariners gets the model’s nod thanks to Seattle Mariners’s margin advantage, with Texas Rangers’s recent run providing the second tip. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Seattle Mariners at 53%. Actual: Seattle Mariners by 3.
Pre-game pick: Seattle Mariners at 53%. Actual: Seattle Mariners by 3.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Texas Rangers
- MacKenzie Gore SP · #1
- Nathan Eovaldi SP · #17
- Jacob Latz RP · #67
- Brandon Nimmo RF · #24
Seattle Mariners
- Bryan Woo SP · #22
- George Kirby SP · #68
- Cal Raleigh C · #29
- Cole Young 2B · #2
Injury Report
Seattle Mariners
Patrick Wisdom10-Day-ILVictor Robles10-Day-ILBryce Miller15-Day-ILTeddy McGrawDay-To-DayJose Ferrerpaternity
Texas Rangers
Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILNathan EovaldiDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreCrawford homered to right (369 feet), Garver scored.0–3
- ScoreArozarena homered to left (347 feet), Rodríguez scored.0–5
- 🏃 DoubleCarter doubled to right, Langford scored, Pederson to third.2–5
- ScoreJung hit sacrifice fly to right, Seager scored, Langford to third.1–5
- ScoreRefsnyder homered to left (385 feet).0–1
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Seattle Mariners | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Texas Rangers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo RF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .311 | .386 | .522 |
| Corey Seager SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | .200 | .326 | .440 |
| Wyatt Langford LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .241 | .268 | .367 |
| Jake Burger 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | .250 | .280 | .466 |
| Joc Pederson 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .229 | .345 | .313 |
| Josh Jung 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | .290 | .342 | .478 |
| Evan Carter CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .190 | .325 | .349 |
| Josh Smith 2B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .185 | .284 | .200 |
| Danny Jansen C· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | .220 | .278 | .340 |
| Sam Haggerty LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .154 | .214 | .154 |
| Kyle Higashioka C | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .241 | .353 | .345 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MacKenzie Gore SP· | 5.0 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 90-61 | 4.15 | 90 |
| Tyler Alexander RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12-9 | 0.79 | 12 |
| Jalen Beeks RP | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15-8 | 0.96 | 15 |
| Gavin Collyer RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7-3 | 0.00 | 7 |
| Jakob Junis RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21-9 | 2.61 | 21 |
Seattle Mariners
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Refsnyder RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .045 | .160 | .182 |
| Luke Raley RF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .313 | .370 | .627 |
| Cal Raleigh C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .159 | .250 | .261 |
| Julio Rodriguez CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .209 | .313 | .279 |
| Randy Arozarena LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .293 | .402 | .427 |
| Mitch Garver C· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | .105 | .261 | .105 |
| Connor Joe 1B· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | .125 | .222 | .125 |
| J.P. Crawford SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .213 | .383 | .340 |
| Cole Young 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .244 | .344 | .372 |
| Leo Rivas 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .143 | .295 | .184 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Woo SP· | 7.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 85-54 | 2.25 | 85 |
| Gabe Speier RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18-13 | 2.08 | 18 |
| Andres Munoz RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 17-12 | 7.88 | 17 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningSeager struck out swinging.
- 8th InningPitch 10 : Strike 3 Swinging
- 9th InningBurger struck out, Burger to first on wild pitch by Muñoz.
- 8th InningPitch 9 : Strike 2 Foul
- 9th InningPitch 6 : Strike 3 Swinging
Scoring Plays
- 2nd InningCrawford homered to right (369 feet), Garver scored.0–3
- 5th InningArozarena homered to left (347 feet), Rodríguez scored.0–5
- 7th InningCarter doubled to right, Langford scored, Pederson to third.2–5
- 7th InningJung hit sacrifice fly to right, Seager scored, Langford to third.1–5
- 1st InningRefsnyder homered to left (385 feet).0–1