PIT @ TEX
Globe Life Field · Arlington, Texas
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameIndoor7:05 PM CT⚾ Carmen Mlodzinski vs Kumar RockerMLB.TV
Result readTexas Rangers
Pittsburgh Pirates 1 · Texas Rangers 5
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates22-19+0.8 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 57% · last 10: 60%
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeGlobe Life FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Texas Rangers is the model’s call — Pittsburgh Pirates on the margin numbers, Pittsburgh Pirates on the form numbers. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at 84%. Actual: Texas Rangers by 4.
Pre-game pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at 84%. Actual: Texas Rangers by 4.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Pittsburgh Pirates
- Mitch Keller SP · #23
- Paul Skenes SP · #30
- Mason Montgomery RP · #46
- Bryan Reynolds LF · #10
Texas Rangers
- MacKenzie Gore SP · #1
- Nathan Eovaldi SP · #17
- Jacob Latz RP · #67
- Brandon Nimmo RF · #24
Injury Report
Texas Rangers
Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILNathan EovaldiDay-To-Day
Pittsburgh Pirates
Dominic FletcherDay-To-DayJake Mangum10-Day-ILChris Devenski15-Day-ILJared Jones60-Day-ILOddanier MosquedaDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreO'Hearn singled to center, Cruz scored.1–0
- ScoreSeager singled to center, Duran scored.1–4
- ScoreCarter singled to right, Pederson scored, Jung to third.1–1
- ScoreJung grounded into fielder's choice to third, Seager scored, Pederson out at second, Burger to third.1–5
- 🏃 DoubleDuran doubled to left, Smith scored.1–3
- ScoreSmith hit sacrifice fly to right, Jung scored, Carter to second.1–2
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| Texas Rangers | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 5 | 8 | 2 |
Pittsburgh Pirates
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .290 | .359 | .538 |
| Ryan O'Hearn RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .324 | .409 | .527 |
| Bryan Reynolds LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | .256 | .386 | .402 |
| Marcell Ozuna DH· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | .178 | .241 | .288 |
| Nick Yorke 3B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .230 | .324 | .328 |
| Nick Gonzales 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .271 | .311 | .314 |
| Jake Mangum LF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .300 | .364 | .340 |
| Konnor Griffin SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .207 | .277 | .276 |
| Henry Davis C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .174 | .283 | .239 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Mlodzinski SP· | 4.1 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 93-58 | 3.28 | 93 |
| Wilber Dotel RP | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33-13 | 3.38 | 33 |
| Justin Lawrence RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15-9 | 6.55 | 15 |
| Evan Sisk RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20-13 | 3.60 | 20 |
Texas Rangers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo RF· | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .295 | .368 | .495 |
| Wyatt Langford LF· | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | .238 | .274 | .363 |
| Ezequiel Duran LF | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .298 | .353 | .447 |
| Corey Seager SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .203 | .323 | .430 |
| Jake Burger 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .250 | .278 | .457 |
| Joc Pederson 1B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | .235 | .355 | .314 |
| Josh Jung 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .292 | .350 | .486 |
| Evan Carter CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | .197 | .333 | .348 |
| Danny Jansen C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | .222 | .276 | .352 |
| Josh Smith 2B· | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .194 | .295 | .224 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kumar Rocker SP· | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 88-55 | 3.48 | 88 |
| Cole Winn RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12-9 | 2.53 | 12 |
| Jacob Latz RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14-9 | 1.32 | 14 |
| Jakob Junis RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13-11 | 2.38 | 13 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 8th InningCruz struck out swinging.
- 3rd InningLangford struck out swinging.
- 1st InningSeager grounded out to second, Langford to third.
- 8th InningPitch 8 : Strike 3 Swinging
Scoring Plays
- 1st InningO'Hearn singled to center, Cruz scored.1–0
- 5th InningSeager singled to center, Duran scored.1–4
- 2nd InningCarter singled to right, Pederson scored, Jung to third.1–1
- 5th InningJung grounded into fielder's choice to third, Seager scored, Pederson out at second, Burger to third.1–5
- 5th InningDuran doubled to left, Smith scored.1–3
- 2nd InningSmith hit sacrifice fly to right, Jung scored, Carter to second.1–2