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In The Rafters

ATL @ WSH

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:05 PM ET⚾ JR Ritchie vs Cade CavalliMLB.TVBravesVisionNationals.TV
Result readAtlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves 7 · Washington Nationals 2

Final
Atlanta Braves28-13+2.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.9) · expected win rate 71% · last 10: 60%
Washington Nationals19-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeNationals ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on Atlanta Braves: Atlanta Braves’s scoring margin profile and Atlanta Braves’s recent stretch. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Atlanta Braves at 92%. Actual: Atlanta Braves by 5.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Atlanta Braves

Washington Nationals

Injury Report

Washington Nationals

Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day

Atlanta Braves

Sean MurphyDay-To-DayDylan Dodd15-Day-ILRonald Acuna Jr.10-Day-ILBlake BurkhalterDay-To-DayEli White7-day il
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Atlanta Braves
MY M. Yastrzemski LF · #18 MI M. Harris II CF · #23 RA R. Acuna Jr. RF · #13 AR Austin Riley 3B · #27 MD Mauricio Dubon SS · #14 OA Ozzie Albies 2B · #1 MO Matt Olson 1B · #28 BE Bryce Elder P · #55 DB Drake Baldwin C · #30
Washington Nationals
DL Daylen Lile LF · #4 JY Jacob Young CF · #30 JW James Wood RF · #29 BH Brady House 3B · #12 CA CJ Abrams SS · #5 NN Nasim Nunez 2B · #26 LG L. Garcia Jr. 1B · #2 CC Cade Cavalli P · #24 DM Drew Millas C · #14

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreAlbies singled to right, Olson scored and Riley scored.7th Inning5–2
  2. ScoreAlbies homered to right center (396 feet).9th Inning7–2
  3. ScoreBaldwin scored on Varland wild pitch, Riley to second on wild pitch by Varland, Olson to third on wild pitch by Varland.7th Inning3–2
  4. ScoreAbrams homered to center (426 feet).4th Inning2–2
  5. ScoreBaldwin scored on Varland wild pitch, Riley to second on wild pitch by Varland, Olson to third on wild pitch by Varland.7th Inning3–2
  6. 🏃 DoubleHarris II doubled to center, Albies scored.7th Inning6–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Atlanta Braves0002004017140
Washington Nationals100100000250

Atlanta Braves

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Ronald Acuna Jr. RF·1-5501000118.232.339.333
Drake Baldwin C·1-4411001321.318.392.551
Matt Olson 1B·3-5523000224.282.359.592
Austin Riley 3B·1-4421001222.222.313.364
Ozzie Albies 2B·3-4423410114.297.342.475
Michael Harris II CF·3-4403200010.318.356.565
Jorge Mateo SS0-110000015.304.360.478
Dominic Smith 1B·2-3302000012.362.387.603
Mauricio Dubon SS·0-5500000318.281.326.427
Mike Yastrzemski LF·0-2200000110.195.279.260
Eli White CF0-220000015.192.214.346

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
JR Ritchie SP·7.052227289-542.5789
Dylan Lee RP1.000002013-80.7513
Carlos Carrasco RP1.000001010-80.0010

Washington Nationals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
James Wood RF·1-4411110215.255.402.608
Luis Garcia Jr. 1B·0-330000018.244.279.354
Curtis Mead 1B0-110000014.200.273.440
Jose Tena 2B·0-4400000318.267.313.289
CJ Abrams SS·1-3311111116.292.413.562
Jacob Young CF·0-4400000117.250.286.375
Daylen Lile LF·2-2202001010.295.351.448
Nasim Nunez 2B·0-330000007.173.271.187
Jorbit Vivas 3B·1-330100019.300.410.360
Keibert Ruiz C·0-220000005.191.220.319
Joey Wiemer RF0-110000003.348.434.630
Drew Millas C0-000000000.171.244.220

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Cade Cavalli SP·5.0722010085-624.0185
Richard Lovelady RP1.010001011-93.1811
Cionel Perez RP0.113321020-88.2520
Gus Varland RP0.231101013-103.8613
Julian Fernandez RP2.021102130-202.2530

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 4th InningYastrzemski struck out looking.
  2. 7th InningLile walked.
  3. 4th InningPitch 9 : Strike 3 Looking
  4. 8th InningAcuña Jr. grounded out to third.

Scoring Plays

  1. 7th InningAlbies singled to right, Olson scored and Riley scored.5–2
  2. 9th InningAlbies homered to right center (396 feet).7–2
  3. 7th InningBaldwin scored on Varland wild pitch, Riley to second on wild pitch by Varland, Olson to third on wild pitch by Varland.3–2
  4. 4th InningAbrams homered to center (426 feet).2–2
  5. 7th InningBaldwin scored on Varland wild pitch, Riley to second on wild pitch by Varland, Olson to third on wild pitch by Varland.3–2
  6. 7th InningHarris II doubled to center, Albies scored.6–2
  7. 4th InningHarris II singled to center, Riley scored.2–1
  8. 4th InningAlbies hit sacrifice fly to right, Olson scored, Riley to third.1–1
  9. 1st InningWood homered to right (387 feet).0–1

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