PIT @ TEX
Globe Life Field · Arlington, Texas
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameIndoor7:05 PM CT⚾ Bubba Chandler vs Jacob deGromMLB.TV
Result readTexas Rangers
Pittsburgh Pirates 1 · Texas Rangers 6
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates22-19+0.8 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 57% · last 10: 60%
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeGlobe Life FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Pick goes to Texas Rangers on the back of Pittsburgh Pirates’s margin work and Pittsburgh Pirates’s last-ten momentum. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at 84%. Actual: Texas Rangers by 5.
Pre-game pick: Pittsburgh Pirates at 84%. Actual: Texas Rangers by 5.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Pittsburgh Pirates
- Mitch Keller SP · #23
- Paul Skenes SP · #30
- Mason Montgomery RP · #46
- Bryan Reynolds LF · #10
Texas Rangers
- MacKenzie Gore SP · #1
- Nathan Eovaldi SP · #17
- Jacob Latz RP · #67
- Brandon Nimmo RF · #24
Injury Report
Texas Rangers
Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILNathan EovaldiDay-To-Day
Pittsburgh Pirates
Dominic FletcherDay-To-DayJake Mangum10-Day-ILChris Devenski15-Day-ILJared Jones60-Day-ILOddanier MosquedaDay-To-Day
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreCarter homered to center (385 feet), Jung scored.0–2
- ScoreCruz homered to center (415 feet).1–6
- ScoreSeager homered to right (382 feet), Osuna scored and Pederson scored.0–6
- ScorePederson singled to right, Smith scored, Osuna to third.0–3
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| Texas Rangers | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 6 | 9 | 0 |
Pittsburgh Pirates
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .284 | .348 | .569 |
| Brandon Lowe 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .250 | .351 | .548 |
| Bryan Reynolds LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .253 | .373 | .396 |
| Marcell Ozuna DH· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | .175 | .241 | .275 |
| Ryan O'Hearn RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | .325 | .417 | .513 |
| Nick Gonzales 3B· | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .286 | .329 | .325 |
| Spencer Horwitz 1B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .258 | .382 | .387 |
| Konnor Griffin SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .182 | .247 | .242 |
| Joey Bart C· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .171 | .231 | .286 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bubba Chandler SP· | 4.0 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 78-46 | 4.88 | 78 |
| Evan Sisk RP | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 32-19 | 2.57 | 32 |
| Justin Lawrence RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17-11 | 6.00 | 17 |
| Yohan Ramirez RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10-7 | 2.16 | 10 |
Texas Rangers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo RF· | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | .304 | .383 | .510 |
| Joc Pederson 1B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | .236 | .368 | .309 |
| Andrew McCutchen LF | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | .219 | .257 | .375 |
| Corey Seager SS· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .207 | .317 | .448 |
| Jake Burger 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .240 | .267 | .430 |
| Josh Jung 3B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .304 | .364 | .519 |
| Evan Carter CF· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .216 | .337 | .392 |
| Danny Jansen C· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .207 | .258 | .328 |
| Josh Smith 2B· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .181 | .286 | .208 |
| Alejandro Osuna LF· | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | .500 | .750 | .500 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom SP· | 5.2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 89-63 | 2.13 | 89 |
| Gavin Collyer RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15-6 | 0.00 | 15 |
| Jalen Beeks RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13-9 | 1.64 | 13 |
| Jakob Junis RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9-7 | 2.19 | 9 |
| Peyton Gray RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10-6 | 0.00 | 10 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 7th InningBurger grounded out to shortstop.
- 7th InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
- 6th InningNimmo walked.
- 7th InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul
- 7th InningBart grounded out to shortstop.
- 6th InningPitch 7 : Ball 4
- 6th InningGonzales hit by pitch, O'Hearn to second.
Scoring Plays
- 3rd InningCarter homered to center (385 feet), Jung scored.0–2
- 5th InningCruz homered to center (415 feet).1–6
- 4th InningSeager homered to right (382 feet), Osuna scored and Pederson scored.0–6
- 4th InningPederson singled to right, Smith scored, Osuna to third.0–3