CHC @ LAD
Dodger Stadium · Los Angeles, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameOutdoor7:15 PM PT60°F · 4 mph wind · overcast⚾ Jameson Taillon vs Emmet SheehanApple TV
Result readChicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs 6 · Los Angeles Dodgers 4
Final
Chicago Cubs27-14-1+1.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.0) · expected win rate 61% · last 10: 80%
Los Angeles Dodgers24-16+1.7 net/g (SOS-adj +1.6) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeDodger StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
The model leans Chicago Cubs because Los Angeles Dodgers owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Chicago Cubs has the recent-form edge. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Chicago Cubs at 52%. Actual: Chicago Cubs by 2.
Pre-game pick: Chicago Cubs at 52%. Actual: Chicago Cubs by 2.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Chicago Cubs
- Edward Cabrera SP · #30
- Jameson Taillon SP · #50
- Alex Bregman 3B · #3
- Nico Hoerner 2B · #2
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Emmet Sheehan SP · #80
- Tyler Glasnow SP · #31
- Andy Pages CF · #44
- Shohei Ohtani DH · #17
Injury Report
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts10-Day-ILBen Casparius15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow15-Day-ILGavin Stone60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol15-Day-IL
Chicago Cubs
Jeff BrighamDay-To-DayJaxon WigginsDay-To-DayJordan Wicks15-Day-ILCaleb Thielbar15-Day-ILMatthew Boyd15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreBregman homered to left center (408 feet).4–4
- ScoreKim singled to center, Muncy scored.0–4
- ScoreSwanson homered to left (413 feet), Crow-Armstrong scored.6–4
- ScoreHoerner singled to left, Swanson scored.3–4
- 🏃 TripleSwanson tripled to center, Ballesteros scored and Crow-Armstrong scored.2–4
- ScoreSmith homered to right center (386 feet), Kim scored and Freeland scored.0–3
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
Chicago Cubs
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner 2B· | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .299 | .374 | .477 |
| Michael Busch 1B· | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | .208 | .287 | .302 |
| Alex Bregman 3B· | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .266 | .341 | .394 |
| Ian Happ LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .250 | .357 | .510 |
| Seiya Suzuki RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .294 | .419 | .490 |
| Moises Ballesteros C· | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .400 | .443 | .655 |
| Matt Shaw RF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .305 | .344 | .492 |
| Carson Kelly C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | .318 | .430 | .470 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | .245 | .302 | .327 |
| Dansby Swanson SS· | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .209 | .349 | .453 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon SP· | 5.0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 85-53 | 4.55 | 85 |
| Ryan Rolison RP | 3.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 35-24 | 0.00 | 35 |
| Corbin Martin RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14-10 | 0.00 | 14 |
Los Angeles Dodgers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani DH· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | .237 | .361 | .433 |
| Freddie Freeman 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | .284 | .352 | .474 |
| Will Smith C· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .266 | .337 | .392 |
| Kyle Tucker RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | .237 | .324 | .361 |
| Teoscar Hernandez LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | .233 | .280 | .419 |
| Max Muncy 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .292 | .376 | .596 |
| Andy Pages CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .333 | .382 | .548 |
| Hyeseong Kim SS· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .351 | .432 | .486 |
| Alex Freeland 2B· | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .222 | .296 | .302 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmet Sheehan SP· | 6.1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 101-64 | 4.78 | 101 |
| Alex Vesia RP | 0.2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20-8 | 1.93 | 20 |
| Blake Treinen RP | 1.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17-12 | 4.70 | 17 |
| Tanner Scott RP | 0.2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17-12 | 2.38 | 17 |
| Edgardo Henriquez RP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 4.91 | 1 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 3rd InningFreeland walked.
- 8th InningSmith flied out to right.
- 7th InningBusch struck out swinging.
- 3rd InningPitch 7 : Ball 4
Scoring Plays
- 8th InningBregman homered to left center (408 feet).4–4
- 4th InningKim singled to center, Muncy scored.0–4
- 9th InningSwanson homered to left (413 feet), Crow-Armstrong scored.6–4
- 7th InningHoerner singled to left, Swanson scored.3–4
- 7th InningSwanson tripled to center, Ballesteros scored and Crow-Armstrong scored.2–4
- 3rd InningSmith homered to right center (386 feet), Kim scored and Freeland scored.0–3