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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:40 PM CT52°F · 8 mph wind · overcast⚾ PJ Poulin vs Bryan HudsonMLB.TVNationals.TV
Result readChicago White Sox

Washington Nationals 4 · Chicago White Sox 5

Final
Washington Nationals19-22-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj +0.1) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 50%
Chicago White Sox19-21-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.5) · expected win rate 46% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeRate FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Chicago White Sox is the model’s call — Washington Nationals on the margin numbers, Chicago White Sox on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Chicago White Sox at 61%. Actual: Chicago White Sox by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Washington Nationals

Chicago White Sox

Injury Report

Chicago White Sox

Andrew BenintendiDay-To-DayAustin Hays10-Day-ILEverson Pereira10-Day-ILKyle Teel10-Day-ILKy Bush60-Day-IL

Washington Nationals

Cole Henry15-Day-ILClayton Beeter15-Day-ILJosiah Gray60-Day-ILTrevor Williams60-Day-ILTyler BaumDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreLile walked, García Jr. scored, Wood to second, Millas to third.5th Inning2–1
  2. ScoreMontgomery singled to right, Benintendi scored, Murakami to third.6th Inning3–2
  3. ScoreAntonacci hit sacrifice fly to left, Vargas scored, Montgomery to third.8th Inning4–5
  4. ScoreMurakami homered to center (415 feet).4th Inning1–1
  5. ScoreHouse homered to right center (374 feet).8th Inning4–4
  6. ScoreBenintendi hit sacrifice fly to center, Acuña scored, Peters to second.7th Inning3–4

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Washington Nationals010020010461
Chicago White Sox00010121582

Washington Nationals

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
James Wood RF·0-2200003231.250.409.596
Daylen Lile LF·1-3301101123.296.356.444
Brady House 3B·1-4411210110.240.284.375
CJ Abrams SS·0-4400000116.280.398.538
Jacob Young CF·0-4400000013.238.273.357
Jorbit Vivas 3B·1-4411000015.296.400.352
Nasim Nunez 2B·1-3301001117.179.281.192
Luis Garcia Jr. 1B·2-3312100011.259.289.376
Joey Wiemer RF0-000000000.348.434.630
Drew Millas C·0-221000004.163.234.209
Jose Tena 2B0-110000004.261.306.283

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
PJ Poulin RP·1.210001028-174.4028
Miles Mikolas SP3.242201151-348.4951
Richard Lovelady RP0.210010010-53.0010
Riley Cornelio SP2.023241042-219.0042

Chicago White Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Everson Pereira RF·1-110100003.286.357.551
Andrew Benintendi LF1-2211100013.224.268.408
Chase Meidroth 2B·0-4400000223.253.340.341
Munetaka Murakami 1B·1-3311111115.256.398.622
Miguel Vargas 3B·2-4412000012.209.342.429
Colson Montgomery SS·1-3301101015.239.340.522
Edgar Quero C·0-3300000010.153.271.169
Sam Antonacci LF·1-1111101013.214.343.429
Derek Hill RF0-000000000.250.364.357
Luisangel Acuna CF·0-2210002016.185.250.200
Tristan Peters CF·1-4401000011.263.311.316

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Bryan Hudson RP·1.010011017-121.5417
Erick Fedde SP5.233141091-533.4291
Sean Newcomb RP0.10000104-44.504
Jordan Leasure RP1.011101114-84.9714
Seranthony Dominguez RP1.010002018-114.5018

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 1st InningMeidroth flied out to right, Pereira to third.
  2. 9th InningNuñez struck out looking.
  3. 3rd InningLile grounded out to first.

Scoring Plays

  1. 5th InningLile walked, García Jr. scored, Wood to second, Millas to third.2–1
  2. 6th InningMontgomery singled to right, Benintendi scored, Murakami to third.3–2
  3. 8th InningAntonacci hit sacrifice fly to left, Vargas scored, Montgomery to third.4–5
  4. 4th InningMurakami homered to center (415 feet).1–1
  5. 8th InningHouse homered to right center (374 feet).4–4
  6. 7th InningBenintendi hit sacrifice fly to center, Acuña scored, Peters to second.3–4
  7. 7th InningPeters reached on bunt single to pitcher, Antonacci scored on throwing error by pitcher Cornelio, Acuña safe at third on error.3–3
  8. 5th InningHouse grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Millas scored, Lile out at second, Wood to third.3–1
  9. 2nd InningGarcía Jr. hit sacrifice fly to right, Vivas scored, Nuñez to third.1–0

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