CHC @ LAD
Dodger Stadium · Los Angeles, California
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM PT⚾ Shota Imanaga vs Justin WrobleskiMLB.TV
Result readLos Angeles Dodgers
Chicago Cubs 0 · Los Angeles Dodgers 6
Final
Chicago Cubs27-14-1+1.1 net/g (SOS-adj +1.0) · expected win rate 61% · last 10: 80%
Los Angeles Dodgers24-16+1.7 net/g (SOS-adj +1.6) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeDodger StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Los Angeles Dodgers is the model’s call — Los Angeles Dodgers on the margin numbers, Chicago Cubs on the form numbers. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Chicago Cubs at 60%. Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers by 6.
Pre-game pick: Chicago Cubs at 60%. Actual: Los Angeles Dodgers by 6.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Chicago Cubs
- Edward Cabrera SP · #30
- Jameson Taillon SP · #50
- Alex Bregman 3B · #3
- Nico Hoerner 2B · #2
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Emmet Sheehan SP · #80
- Tyler Glasnow SP · #31
- Andy Pages CF · #44
- Shohei Ohtani DH · #17
Injury Report
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts10-Day-ILBen Casparius15-Day-ILTyler Glasnow15-Day-ILGavin Stone60-Day-ILBrusdar Graterol15-Day-IL
Chicago Cubs
Jeff BrighamDay-To-DayJaxon WigginsDay-To-DayJordan Wicks15-Day-ILCaleb Thielbar15-Day-ILMatthew Boyd15-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreRushing singled to right, Pages scored, Tucker to third.0–4
- ScorePages hit sacrifice fly to right, Ohtani scored.0–1
- ScoreTucker scored on pickoff error by catcher Kelly, Rushing picked off second.0–5
- ScoreTucker scored on pickoff error by catcher Kelly, Rushing picked off second.0–5
- 🏃 DoubleRojas doubled to left, T. Hernández scored and Tucker scored.0–3
- ScoreOhtani homered to left center (382 feet).0–6
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | 6 | 7 | 0 |
Chicago Cubs
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | .307 | .382 | .474 |
| Alex Bregman 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | .252 | .336 | .374 |
| Ian Happ LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | .235 | .350 | .480 |
| Seiya Suzuki RF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | .305 | .414 | .525 |
| Carson Kelly C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .314 | .422 | .457 |
| Michael Busch 1B· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | .214 | .299 | .311 |
| Dansby Swanson SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .191 | .325 | .415 |
| Matt Shaw RF· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .286 | .333 | .460 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .238 | .298 | .314 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shota Imanaga SP· | 5.1 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 100-57 | 2.88 | 100 |
| Hoby Milner RP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14-10 | 2.70 | 14 |
| Yacksel Rios RP | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13-10 | 0.00 | 13 |
Los Angeles Dodgers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani DH· | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | .262 | .391 | .485 |
| Freddie Freeman 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | .269 | .333 | .442 |
| Teoscar Hernandez LF· | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .239 | .297 | .413 |
| Andy Pages CF· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .337 | .378 | .554 |
| Kyle Tucker RF· | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | .238 | .325 | .371 |
| Miguel Rojas SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .366 | .400 | .512 |
| Alex Freeland 2B | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .235 | .303 | .338 |
| Dalton Rushing C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .385 | .455 | .974 |
| Santiago Espinal 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | .217 | .217 | .304 |
| Hyeseong Kim SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .333 | .404 | .444 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Wrobleski SP· | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 109-62 | 1.50 | 109 |
| Edgardo Henriquez RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24-11 | 4.32 | 24 |
| Jack Dreyer RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15-8 | 3.75 | 15 |
| Kyle Hurt RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5-4 | 1.80 | 5 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 6th InningEspinal grounded out to shortstop, Rushing to third.
- 6th InningPitch 6 : Ball In Play
- 4th InningEspinal flied out to right.
- 1st InningT. Hernández walked.
Scoring Plays
- 6th InningRushing singled to right, Pages scored, Tucker to third.0–4
- 1st InningPages hit sacrifice fly to right, Ohtani scored.0–1
- 6th InningTucker scored on pickoff error by catcher Kelly, Rushing picked off second.0–5
- 6th InningTucker scored on pickoff error by catcher Kelly, Rushing picked off second.0–5
- 1st InningRojas doubled to left, T. Hernández scored and Tucker scored.0–3
- 7th InningOhtani homered to left center (382 feet).0–6