NYY @ TEX
Globe Life Field · Arlington, Texas
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameIndoor7:05 PM CT⚾ Max Fried vs Jack LeiterMLB.TV
Result readNew York Yankees
New York Yankees 4 · Texas Rangers 2
Final
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeGlobe Life FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on New York Yankees: New York Yankees’s scoring margin profile and New York Yankees’s recent stretch. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 93%. Actual: New York Yankees by 2.
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 93%. Actual: New York Yankees by 2.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
New York Yankees
- Cam Schlittler SP · #31
- Max Fried SP · #54
- Aaron Judge RF · #99
- Ben Rice 1B · #22
Texas Rangers
- MacKenzie Gore SP · #1
- Nathan Eovaldi SP · #17
- Jacob Latz RP · #67
- Brandon Nimmo RF · #24
Injury Report
Texas Rangers
Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILNathan EovaldiDay-To-Day
New York Yankees
Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreJudge homered to left (414 feet).3–0
- ScorePederson homered to left center (415 feet).4–1
- ScoreOsuna singled to center, Burger scored, Smith to second.4–2
- ScoreChisholm Jr. homered to right center (406 feet).4–0
- ScoreRice homered to center (404 feet), Grisham scored.2–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
| Texas Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
New York Yankees
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Grisham CF· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .165 | .321 | .341 |
| Ben Rice 1B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | .322 | .447 | .744 |
| Aaron Judge RF· | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | .252 | .389 | .621 |
| Cody Bellinger LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .240 | .350 | .380 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B· | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .218 | .301 | .356 |
| Jasson Dominguez LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .250 | .250 | .250 |
| Austin Wells C· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .179 | .333 | .284 |
| Ryan McMahon 3B· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | .182 | .289 | .273 |
| Jose Caballero SS· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .273 | .321 | .414 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fried SP· | 6.0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 89-54 | 2.09 | 89 |
| Camilo Doval RP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16-11 | 6.97 | 16 |
| Tim Hill RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24-12 | 1.50 | 24 |
| David Bednar RP | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18-13 | 3.09 | 18 |
Texas Rangers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo RF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .280 | .348 | .458 |
| Josh Jung 3B· | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 23 | .312 | .375 | .559 |
| Corey Seager SS· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | .212 | .306 | .423 |
| Jake Burger 1B· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .228 | .264 | .395 |
| Andrew McCutchen LF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .205 | .256 | .333 |
| Joc Pederson 1B | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .238 | .364 | .349 |
| Kyle Higashioka C· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .220 | .304 | .317 |
| Sam Haggerty LF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .130 | .167 | .130 |
| Josh Smith 2B | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .203 | .319 | .228 |
| Evan Carter CF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | .202 | .327 | .357 |
| Danny Jansen C | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .203 | .271 | .313 |
| Alejandro Osuna LF | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .500 | .625 | .500 |
| Ezequiel Duran LF· | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .268 | .328 | .393 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Leiter SP· | 6.0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 93-58 | 5.17 | 93 |
| Peyton Gray RP | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 41-24 | 0.00 | 41 |
| Gavin Collyer RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15-7 | 0.00 | 15 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 1st InningJung grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Nimmo out at second.
- 8th InningChisholm Jr. lined out to right.
- 7th InningJudge doubled to left, Rice to third.
- 4th InningSeager struck out swinging.
Scoring Plays
- 3rd InningJudge homered to left (414 feet).3–0
- 7th InningPederson homered to left center (415 feet).4–1
- 9th InningOsuna singled to center, Burger scored, Smith to second.4–2
- 4th InningChisholm Jr. homered to right center (406 feet).4–0
- 3rd InningRice homered to center (404 feet), Grisham scored.2–0