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InTheRafters.com

BOS @ TOR

Joshua Silvia
12–17 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor7:07 PM ET⚾ Payton Tolle vs Trey YesavageMLB.TVNESN+
Result readToronto Blue Jays

Boston Red Sox 0 · Toronto Blue Jays 3

Final
Boston Red Sox17-23-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 55%
Toronto Blue Jays18-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeRogers CentreHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Toronto Blue Jays gets the model’s nod thanks to Toronto Blue Jays’s margin advantage, with Boston Red Sox’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Boston Red Sox at 54%. Actual: Toronto Blue Jays by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Boston Red Sox

Toronto Blue Jays

Injury Report

Toronto Blue Jays

Javen ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILFernando Perezdevelopmental list

Boston Red Sox

Willson ContrerasDay-To-DayKutter Crawford15-Day-ILRoman Anthony10-Day-ILDanny Coulombe15-Day-ILGarrett Crochet15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Boston Red Sox
JD Jarren Duran LF · #16 CR C. Rafaela CF · #3 WA Wilyer Abreu RF · #52 CD Caleb Durbin 3B · #5 TS Trevor Story SS · #10 MM Marcelo Mayer 2B · #11 WC W. Contreras 1B · #40 BB Brayan Bello P · #66 CN Carlos Narvaez C · #75
Toronto Blue Jays
JS Jesus Sanchez LF · #12 DV Daulton Varsho CF · #5 MS Myles Straw RF · #3 KO Kazuma Okamoto 3B · #7 AG Andres Gimenez SS · #0 EC Ernie Clement 2B · #22 VG Guerrero Jr. 1B · #27 KG Kevin Gausman P · #34 TH Tyler Heineman C · #55

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreOkamoto singled to left, Giménez scored and Guerrero Jr. scored, Okamoto out stretching at second.3rd Inning0–2
  2. ScoreGuerrero Jr. singled to center, Straw scored, Clement to second.5th Inning0–3

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Boston Red Sox000000000040
Toronto Blue Jays00201000—360

Boston Red Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jarren Duran LF·0-4400000115.172.234.253
Willson Contreras 1B·1-4401000113.252.371.456
Roman Anthony LF·0-4400000119.209.345.297
Wilyer Abreu RF·0-3300001220.297.361.477
Trevor Story SS·1-4401000213.193.228.286
Masataka Yoshida LF·1-3301000111.265.390.327
Carlos Narvaez C·0-330000019.234.258.359
Marcelo Mayer 2B·1-3301000012.247.317.370
Caleb Durbin 3B·0-3300000014.168.262.263

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Payton Tolle SP·4.233344068-423.3868
Zack Kelly RP1.010012020-123.4820
Tyler Samaniego RP0.21000008-60.008
Ryan Watson RP1.210001018-126.6218

Toronto Blue Jays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Myles Straw RF·1-3311001116.295.354.409
Ernie Clement 2B·0-2200002012.305.322.415
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B·2-331210006.340.426.462
Kazuma Okamoto 3B·1-4401200115.223.304.388
Daulton Varsho CF·1-4401000319.239.307.391
Eloy Jimenez DH·0-3300000111.290.343.290
Jesus Sanchez LF0-110000002.265.312.458
Davis Schneider LF·0-2200002020.130.322.239
Tyler Heineman C·0-330000017.178.213.178
Andres Gimenez SS·1-331100006.289.314.464

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Trey Yesavage SP·5.140003074-500.0074
Mason Fluharty RP0.200010013-75.0613
Jeff Hoffman RP1.000002010-86.3910
Tyler Rogers RP1.000001014-110.5914
Louis Varland RP1.000003015-130.5615

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 3rd InningStraw struck out swinging.
  2. 9th InningAnthony struck out swinging.
  3. 3rd InningPitch 8 : Strike 3 Swinging
  4. 2nd InningDurbin flied out to right.
  5. 9th InningAbreu struck out swinging.
  6. 9th InningPitch 5 : Strike 3 Swinging

Scoring Plays

  1. 3rd InningOkamoto singled to left, Giménez scored and Guerrero Jr. scored, Okamoto out stretching at second.0–2
  2. 5th InningGuerrero Jr. singled to center, Straw scored, Clement to second.0–3

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