NYY @ TEX
Globe Life Field · Arlington, Texas
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Night GameIndoor7:05 PM CT⚾ Cam Schlittler vs Jacob deGromMLB.TVPrime Video
Result readNew York Yankees
New York Yankees 3 · Texas Rangers 2
Final
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeGlobe Life FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts
Two reasons the projection lands on New York Yankees: New York Yankees’s scoring margin profile and New York Yankees’s recent stretch. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.
Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 94%. Actual: New York Yankees by 1.
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 94%. Actual: New York Yankees by 1.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
New York Yankees
- Cam Schlittler SP · #31
- Max Fried SP · #54
- Aaron Judge RF · #99
- Ben Rice 1B · #22
Texas Rangers
- MacKenzie Gore SP · #1
- Nathan Eovaldi SP · #17
- Jacob Latz RP · #67
- Brandon Nimmo RF · #24
Injury Report
Texas Rangers
Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILNathan EovaldiDay-To-Day
New York Yankees
Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Highlights
- ScoreJudge homered to left center (424 feet).3–0
- ScoreJung singled to left, Jansen scored, Nimmo to second.3–2
- 🏃 DoubleBellinger doubled to center, Judge scored.1–0
- 🏃 TripleJansen tripled to left, McCutchen scored.3–1
- ScoreWells homered to right (376 feet).2–0
Scoring by Inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Texas Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
New York Yankees
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Grisham CF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .157 | .309 | .326 |
| Ben Rice 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .309 | .432 | .713 |
| Aaron Judge RF· | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .262 | .392 | .645 |
| Cody Bellinger LF· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .240 | .347 | .385 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .210 | .291 | .343 |
| Jasson Dominguez LF· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .125 | .125 | .125 |
| Austin Wells C· | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .200 | .345 | .343 |
| Ryan McMahon 3B· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | .174 | .278 | .261 |
| Jose Caballero SS· | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .265 | .312 | .402 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Schlittler SP· | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 92-64 | 1.51 | 92 |
| Brent Headrick RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19-11 | 1.93 | 19 |
| Fernando Cruz RP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17-12 | 3.60 | 17 |
| David Bednar RP | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22-13 | 3.55 | 22 |
Texas Rangers
batting
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo RF· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .287 | .358 | .459 |
| Josh Jung 3B· | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | .320 | .385 | .557 |
| Corey Seager SS· | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | .213 | .310 | .426 |
| Joc Pederson 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .224 | .346 | .328 |
| Jake Burger 1B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .220 | .256 | .381 |
| Evan Carter CF· | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .198 | .320 | .349 |
| Sam Haggerty LF | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .167 | .200 | .167 |
| Ezequiel Duran LF | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .263 | .323 | .386 |
| Josh Smith 2B· | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .193 | .306 | .217 |
| Alejandro Osuna LF· | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | .429 | .600 | .429 |
| Andrew McCutchen LF | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .195 | .244 | .317 |
| Danny Jansen C· | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | .209 | .284 | .343 |
pitching
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom SP· | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 93-56 | 2.01 | 93 |
| Jalen Beeks RP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15-9 | 2.08 | 15 |
| Jakob Junis RP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11-8 | 1.88 | 11 |
| Cole Winn RP | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20-12 | 4.85 | 20 |
Play-by-Play
Recent Plays
- 9th InningChisholm Jr. struck out swinging.
- 9th InningJudge homered to left center (424 feet).3–0
- 8th InningCaballero grounded out to shortstop.
- 5th InningGrisham grounded out to second.
Scoring Plays
- 9th InningJudge homered to left center (424 feet).3–0
- 9th InningJung singled to left, Jansen scored, Nimmo to second.3–2
- 1st InningBellinger doubled to center, Judge scored.1–0
- 9th InningJansen tripled to left, McCutchen scored.3–1
- 7th InningWells homered to right (376 feet).2–0