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InTheRafters.com

BOS @ TOR

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameIndoor3:07 PM ET⚾ Brayan Bello vs Eric LauerESPN UnlmtdMLB.TV
Result readToronto Blue Jays

Boston Red Sox 1 · Toronto Blue Jays 8

Final
Boston Red Sox17-23-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 55%
Toronto Blue Jays18-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Venue EdgeRogers CentreHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Toronto Blue Jays on the back of Toronto Blue Jays’s margin work and Boston Red Sox’s last-ten momentum. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Boston Red Sox at 58%. Actual: Toronto Blue Jays by 7.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Boston Red Sox

Toronto Blue Jays

Injury Report

Toronto Blue Jays

Javen ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILFernando Perezdevelopmental list

Boston Red Sox

Willson ContrerasDay-To-DayKutter Crawford15-Day-ILRoman Anthony10-Day-ILDanny Coulombe15-Day-ILGarrett Crochet15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Boston Red Sox
JD Jarren Duran LF · #16 CR C. Rafaela CF · #3 WA Wilyer Abreu RF · #52 CD Caleb Durbin 3B · #5 TS Trevor Story SS · #10 MM Marcelo Mayer 2B · #11 WC W. Contreras 1B · #40 BB Brayan Bello P · #66 CN Carlos Narvaez C · #75
Toronto Blue Jays
JS Jesus Sanchez LF · #12 DV Daulton Varsho CF · #5 MS Myles Straw RF · #3 KO Kazuma Okamoto 3B · #7 AG Andres Gimenez SS · #0 EC Ernie Clement 2B · #22 VG Guerrero Jr. 1B · #27 KG Kevin Gausman P · #34 TH Tyler Heineman C · #55

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreValenzuela homered to center.8th Inning1–8
  2. ScoreContreras homered to left (406 feet).1st Inning1–0
  3. ScoreStraw hit sacrifice fly to right, Varsho scored.5th Inning1–7
  4. ScoreClement homered to left (360 feet), Valenzuela scored.4th Inning1–5
  5. 💣 Home RunPinango singled to left, Guerrero Jr. scored, Varsho to second, Okamoto thrown out at home.3rd Inning1–3
  6. ScoreOkamoto singled to left, Sánchez scored and Valenzuela scored, Guerrero Jr. to second.3rd Inning1–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Boston Red Sox100000000190
Toronto Blue Jays00322001—8100

Boston Red Sox

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Roman Anthony LF·1-5501000217.208.339.292
Willson Contreras 1B·2-4412110011.262.375.486
Wilyer Abreu RF·2-3302001015.307.373.482
Ceddanne Rafaela CF·0-4400000211.263.333.379
Trevor Story SS·1-3301001021.197.237.295
Andruw Monasterio SS·0-3300000011.227.292.386
Jarren Duran LF0-110000014.170.231.250
Connor Wong C·0-4400000015.243.333.378
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2B·1-220100009.229.270.229
Marcelo Mayer 2B1-220100004.253.321.373
Caleb Durbin 3B·1-4401000110.172.261.263

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Brayan Bello SP·3.264422063-409.1263
Greg Weissert RP0.222201113-105.1113
Jovani Moran RP2.211110039-242.4139
Garrett Whitlock RP1.011100115-103.2715

Toronto Blue Jays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Ernie Clement 2B·1-5511210020.301.317.431
Jesus Sanchez LF·1-4411000017.264.309.448
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B·3-3323001016.358.444.477
Kazuma Okamoto 3B·1-4401200212.224.303.383
Daulton Varsho CF·0-2210001014.234.314.383
Yohendrick Pinango LF·1-220110006.400.400.400
George Springer DH1-220110004.196.297.375
Myles Straw RF·0-3300100014.277.327.383
Andres Gimenez SS·0-4400000112.277.302.446
Brandon Valenzuela C·2-3332111015.189.231.351

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Eric Lauer SP·4.151111168-456.0068
Braydon Fisher RP1.210001017-141.5917
Tommy Nance RP0.21000007-55.687
Joe Mantiply RP0.120001010-83.2710
Spencer Miles RP2.000013026-162.8726

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 7th InningGuerrero Jr. walked.
  2. 5th InningVarsho hit by pitch, Guerrero Jr. to second.
  3. 1st InningSánchez flied out to right.
  4. 1st InningStory flied out to left.

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningValenzuela homered to center.1–8
  2. 1st InningContreras homered to left (406 feet).1–0
  3. 5th InningStraw hit sacrifice fly to right, Varsho scored.1–7
  4. 4th InningClement homered to left (360 feet), Valenzuela scored.1–5
  5. 3rd InningPinango singled to left, Guerrero Jr. scored, Varsho to second, Okamoto thrown out at home.1–3
  6. 3rd InningOkamoto singled to left, Sánchez scored and Valenzuela scored, Guerrero Jr. to second.1–2
  7. 5th InningSpringer singled to center, Guerrero Jr. scored, Varsho to third.1–6

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