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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameIndoor1:35 PM CT⚾ Elmer Rodriguez vs Nathan EovaldiMLB.TV
Result readTexas Rangers

New York Yankees 0 · Texas Rangers 3

Final
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeGlobe Life FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Texas Rangers is the model’s call — New York Yankees on the margin numbers, New York Yankees on the form numbers. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 96%. Actual: Texas Rangers by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

New York Yankees

Texas Rangers

Injury Report

Texas Rangers

Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILNathan EovaldiDay-To-Day

New York Yankees

Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreHaggerty singled to center, Duran scored.7th Inning0–3
  2. ScoreJung singled to left, Duran scored and Osuna scored, Nimmo to second.5th Inning0–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
New York Yankees000000000050
Texas Rangers00002010371

New York Yankees

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Trent Grisham CF·0-4400000114.151.298.312
Ben Rice 1B·3-4403000010.327.443.714
Aaron Judge RF·0-4400000212.252.381.622
Cody Bellinger LF·1-4401000113.241.344.380
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B·0-4400000122.202.281.330
Jasson Dominguez LF·0-110000007.111.200.111
Max Schuemann 3B0-1100001013.000.500.000
J.C. Escarra C·0-3300000113.194.219.323
Ryan McMahon 3B·0-3300000110.167.268.250
Jose Caballero SS·1-3301000115.267.313.400

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Elmer Rodriguez SP·4.042243080-424.5080
Brent Headrick RP1.100001022-141.7622
Jake Bird RP1.021100015-127.0015
Tim Hill RP0.20000003-31.423
Fernando Cruz RP1.010002021-133.2721

Texas Rangers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brandon Nimmo RF·1-220100108.290.364.460
Sam Haggerty LF1-110110004.200.231.200
Josh Jung 3B·1-4401200112.317.381.545
Corey Seager SS·0-3300001120.207.308.414
Joc Pederson 1B·1-4401000020.225.341.324
Jake Burger 1B·0-4400000113.213.248.369
Evan Carter CF·0-4400000119.189.308.333
Kyle Higashioka C·1-4401000215.222.300.311
Alejandro Osuna LF·0-1110001017.375.615.375
Ezequiel Duran LF·2-2222001013.288.354.424

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Nathan Eovaldi SP·7.0400170102-704.76102
Jacob Latz RP2.010001027-181.0827

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 4th InningChisholm Jr. flied out to center.
  2. 4th InningPitch 10 : Ball In Play
  3. 5th InningPederson grounded into fielder's choice to first, Jung out at second, Nimmo to third.
  4. 4th InningPitch 9 : Strike 2 Foul
  5. 2nd InningOsuna walked, Higashioka to second.

Scoring Plays

  1. 7th InningHaggerty singled to center, Duran scored.0–3
  2. 5th InningJung singled to left, Duran scored and Osuna scored, Nimmo to second.0–2

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