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InTheRafters.com

TEX @ NYY

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor7:05 PM ET⚾ Jacob deGrom vs Elmer RodriguezMLB.TV
Result readNew York Yankees

Texas Rangers 4 · New York Yankees 7

Final
Texas Rangers19-21-0.1 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 49% · last 10: 50%
New York Yankees26-15+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeYankee StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Two reasons the projection lands on New York Yankees: New York Yankees’s scoring margin profile and New York Yankees’s recent stretch. Bullpen rest day is the sneakiest input — a long man on the mound erases a 3-run lead in two innings.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 80%. Actual: New York Yankees by 3.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Texas Rangers

New York Yankees

Injury Report

New York Yankees

Jose CaballeroDay-To-DayBen HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL

Texas Rangers

Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILJosh Smith10-Day-ILNathan EovaldiDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Texas Rangers
ED Ezequiel Duran LF · #20 EC Evan Carter CF · #32 BN Brandon Nimmo RF · #24 JJ Josh Jung 3B · #6 CS Corey Seager SS · #5 JS Josh Smith 2B · #8 JB Jake Burger 1B · #21 MG MacKenzie Gore P · #1 DJ Danny Jansen C · #9
New York Yankees
CB Cody Bellinger LF · #35 TG Trent Grisham CF · #12 AJ Aaron Judge RF · #99 RM Ryan McMahon 3B · #19 JC Jose Caballero SS · #72 JC Chisholm Jr. 2B · #13 BR Ben Rice 1B · #22 CS Cam Schlittler P · #31 AW Austin Wells C · #28

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreMcMahon homered to right center (359 feet), Goldschmidt scored.2nd Inning3–3
  2. ScoreJung scored, Osuna to second, Burger to third on wild pitch by Rodríguez.1st Inning3–0
  3. ScoreBurger grounded out to shortstop, Duran scored.9th Inning4–7
  4. ScoreJung scored on Rodríguez wild pitch, Osuna to second on wild pitch by Rodríguez, Burger to third on wild pitch by Rodríguez.1st Inning3–0
  5. ScorePederson hit sacrifice fly to center, Carter scored, Seager to third.1st Inning1–0
  6. ScoreGoldschmidt homered to right center (366 feet).8th Inning3–7

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Texas Rangers3000000014100
New York Yankees12000121—790

Texas Rangers

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Evan Carter CF·1-3311002121.175.301.311
Corey Seager SS·0-4410001220.206.311.397
Josh Jung 3B·3-5513000015.336.389.538
Joc Pederson 1B·0-2200100110.200.302.288
Kyle Higashioka C1-220100018.220.304.300
Ezequiel Duran LF·3-4413101121.301.370.452
Jake Burger 1B·0-4400101020.210.247.377
Alejandro Osuna LF·0-110000008.222.417.278
Sam Haggerty LF0-2200000110.179.233.179
Justin Foscue 1B0-110000005.000.000.000
Danny Jansen C·0-3300000118.197.282.355
Andrew McCutchen LF·2-4402000010.229.269.333

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Jacob deGrom SP·6.176617294-663.1194
Jalen Beeks RP0.21001005-31.765
Tyler Alexander RP1.011110127-192.1627

New York Yankees

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Trent Grisham CF·0-4400000016.170.307.366
Aaron Judge RF·1-3311001214.273.411.648
Cody Bellinger LF·2-330230109.283.377.512
Jasson Dominguez LF·0-440000009.231.286.423
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B·1-4411110113.214.301.349
Paul Goldschmidt 1B·2-4422110210.209.306.442
Austin Wells C·0-3300001119.190.337.310
Ryan McMahon 3B·2-4422210121.216.296.341
Jose Caballero SS·1-4411000015.260.311.407

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Elmer Rodriguez SP·4.263342094-555.1994
Brent Headrick RP1.100003014-111.4714
Tim Hill RP0.12000006-51.266
Fernando Cruz RP1.010011026-132.6326
David Bednar RP1.211102026-183.5226

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 1st InningJansen grounded out to shortstop.
  2. 1st InningPitch 9 : Ball In Play
  3. 1st InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul
  4. 8th InningWells walked.
  5. 2nd InningMcMahon homered to right center (359 feet), Goldschmidt scored.3–3

Scoring Plays

  1. 2nd InningMcMahon homered to right center (359 feet), Goldschmidt scored.3–3
  2. 1st InningJung scored, Osuna to second, Burger to third on wild pitch by Rodríguez.3–0
  3. 9th InningBurger grounded out to shortstop, Duran scored.4–7
  4. 1st InningJung scored on Rodríguez wild pitch, Osuna to second on wild pitch by Rodríguez, Burger to third on wild pitch by Rodríguez.3–0
  5. 1st InningPederson hit sacrifice fly to center, Carter scored, Seager to third.1–0
  6. 8th InningGoldschmidt homered to right center (366 feet).3–7
  7. 6th InningChisholm Jr. homered to right center (413 feet).3–4
  8. 1st InningDuran singled to right, Seager scored, Jung to second.2–0
  9. 7th InningBellinger doubled to right, McMahon scored and Caballero scored, Judge to third.3–6
  10. 1st InningBellinger doubled to right, Judge scored.3–1

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