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InTheRafters.com

TOR @ TB

Joshua Silvia
12–18 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameIndoor6:40 PM ET⚾ Kevin Gausman vs Drew RasmussenMLB.TVRays.TV
Result readTampa Bay Rays

Toronto Blue Jays 3 · Tampa Bay Rays 4

Final
Toronto Blue Jays18-22-1-0.3 net/g (SOS-adj -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 40%
Tampa Bay Rays26-13-1+0.5 net/g (SOS-adj +0.6) · expected win rate 56% · last 10: 85%
Venue EdgeTropicana FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Pick goes to Tampa Bay Rays on the back of Tampa Bay Rays’s margin work and Tampa Bay Rays’s last-ten momentum. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Tampa Bay Rays at 69%. Actual: Tampa Bay Rays by 1.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Toronto Blue Jays

Tampa Bay Rays

Injury Report

Tampa Bay Rays

Ty JohnsonDay-To-DayJohn RooneyDay-To-DayGavin Lux10-Day-ILTJ NicholsDay-To-DayAustin VernonDay-To-Day

Toronto Blue Jays

Javen ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILFernando Perezdevelopmental list
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Toronto Blue Jays
JS Jesus Sanchez LF · #12 DV Daulton Varsho CF · #5 MS Myles Straw RF · #3 KO Kazuma Okamoto 3B · #7 AG Andres Gimenez SS · #0 EC Ernie Clement 2B · #22 VG Guerrero Jr. 1B · #27 KG Kevin Gausman P · #34 TH Tyler Heineman C · #55
Tampa Bay Rays
CS C. Simpson LF · #14 CM Cedric Mullins CF · #31 JD Jonny DeLuca RF · #21 JC J. Caminero 3B · #13 TW Taylor Walls SS · #6 BW Ben Williamson 2B · #15 JA J. Aranda 1B · #8 DR Drew Rasmussen P · #57 NF Nick Fortes C · #40

Box Score

Highlights

  1. ScoreAranda singled to center, Simpson scored, Caminero to third.3rd Inning2–1
  2. ScoreFeduccia grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Fraley scored, Mullins out at second, Williamson to third.4th Inning2–2
  3. ScoreWilliamson singled to center, Díaz scored, Fraley to second.8th Inning3–4
  4. ScoreDíaz singled to center, Walls scored.8th Inning3–3
  5. ScoreGiménez singled to center, Varsho scored, Clement to third.2nd Inning2–0
  6. ScoreOkamoto homered to right center (409 feet).1st Inning1–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Toronto Blue Jays110010000381
Tampa Bay Rays00110002—4110

Toronto Blue Jays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
George Springer DH·0-4400001023.200.300.343
Yohendrick Pinango LF·1-4401100110.455.478.500
Kazuma Okamoto 3B·2-4412110215.244.327.489
Jesus Sanchez LF·0-4400000212.241.279.384
Lenyn Sosa 2B·1-3301000010.267.261.400
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B0-110000002.328.413.427
Daulton Varsho CF·1-331100109.237.313.398
Ernie Clement 2B·1-440100008.289.313.401
Andres Gimenez SS·2-4412100116.267.294.408
Brandon Valenzuela C·0-2200001116.200.259.380
Myles Straw RF0-110000003.291.365.436

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Kevin Gausman SP·6.062213096-633.0996
Jeff Hoffman RP1.010001017-135.7417
Tyler Rogers RP0.142200022-121.6222
Louis Varland RP0.20000107-60.517

Tampa Bay Rays

batting

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Chandler Simpson LF·2-4412000015.304.333.341
Nick Fortes C0-000000000.264.304.356
Junior Caminero 3B·1-3301001014.260.351.489
Jonathan Aranda 1B·2-4402100016.276.367.480
Taylor Walls SS0-001000000.197.296.239
Yandy Diaz 1B·1-4411100019.320.406.480
Jake Fraley RF·2-4412000116.254.321.423
Ben Williamson 2B·2-4402100118.266.330.340
Cedric Mullins CF·0-3300000213.131.190.224
Hunter Feduccia C·1-3301000016.278.395.306
Jonny DeLuca RF0-110000003.274.303.438
Richie Palacios 2B·0-3300000112.192.348.269
Ryan Vilade RF0-000000000.286.333.405

pitching

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Drew Rasmussen SP·6.073315185-592.9585
Hunter Bigge RP1.000012018-103.2718
Casey Legumina RP1.01001009-73.529
Cole Sulser RP1.000000012-72.7512

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 5th InningValenzuela walked.
  2. 5th InningPitch 10 : Ball 4
  3. 5th InningPitch 9 : Strike 2 Foul
  4. 5th InningPitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul
  5. 7th InningPalacios fouled out to left.

Scoring Plays

  1. 3rd InningAranda singled to center, Simpson scored, Caminero to third.2–1
  2. 4th InningFeduccia grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Fraley scored, Mullins out at second, Williamson to third.2–2
  3. 8th InningWilliamson singled to center, Díaz scored, Fraley to second.3–4
  4. 8th InningDíaz singled to center, Walls scored.3–3
  5. 2nd InningGiménez singled to center, Varsho scored, Clement to third.2–0
  6. 1st InningOkamoto homered to right center (409 feet).1–0
  7. 5th InningPinango singled to center, Giménez scored.3–2

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