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Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor12:35 PM ET⚾ MacKenzie Gore vs Paul BlackburnESPN UnlmtdMLB.TV
Result readNew York Yankees

Texas Rangers 2 · New York Yankees 9

Final
Texas Rangers20-22-0.0 net/g (SOS-adj +0.2) · expected win rate 50% · last 10: 40%
New York Yankees27-16+1.8 net/g (SOS-adj +1.5) · expected win rate 68% · last 10: 50%
Venue EdgeYankee StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans New York Yankees because New York Yankees owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and New York Yankees has the recent-form edge. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: New York Yankees at 77%. Actual: New York Yankees by 7.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Texas Rangers

New York Yankees

Injury Report

New York Yankees

Ben HessDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILJose Caballero10-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-ILJasson Dominguez10-Day-IL

Texas Rangers

Luis Curvelo15-Day-ILBrandon NimmoDay-To-DayChris Martin15-Day-ILWyatt Langford10-Day-ILNathan EovaldiDay-To-Day
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Top Performers

Final Notes

  • Final frame: New York Yankees beat Texas Rangers 9-2.
  • Top line: Trent Grisham (New York Yankees) — 3-5, 3 RBI, 2 R.
  • Support line: Ezequiel Duran (Texas Rangers) — 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 R.
  • Support line: Cody Bellinger (New York Yankees) — 3-4, 2 RBI, 2 R, 1 BB.

Highlights

  1. ScoreMcMahon singled to center, Bellinger scored.8th Inning2–9
  2. 🏃 DoubleSchuemann doubled to left, Grisham scored.7th Inning2–8
  3. ScoreBellinger singled to left, Goldschmidt scored, Judge to second.6th Inning2–7
  4. ScoreJudge singled to left, Escarra scored, Goldschmidt to second.6th Inning2–6
  5. 🏃 DoubleGrisham doubled to left, Bellinger scored, McMahon scored and Rosario scored.6th Inning2–4
  6. ScoreEscarra singled to left, Grisham scored.6th Inning2–5

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Texas Rangers001010000260
New York Yankees100006119140

Texas Rangers

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Brandon Nimmo RF·2-5502000023.297.376.449
Ezequiel Duran 2B·1-3311212120.304.385.494
Corey Seager SS·0-3300002120.209.316.410
Josh Jung 3B·0-3300000010.315.371.504
Joc Pederson DH·1-220100005.207.306.293
Andrew McCutchen DH0-110000119.231.293.327
Jake Burger 1B·0-4400000015.212.247.370
Evan Carter CF·1-4401000013.180.298.333
Danny Jansen C·1-3301001017.203.292.354
Justin Foscue 1B·0-110000017.000.000.000
Alejandro Osuna LF0-001000105.238.448.286
Sam Haggerty LF0-220000005.167.219.167

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
MacKenzie Gore SP·5.165533096-605.1896
Jalen Beeks RP0.112211012-62.8712
Cole Winn RP0.12000007-45.147
Tyler Alexander RP0.231111018-92.6018
Peyton Gray RP1.021111033-191.2933
Gavin Collyer RP0.10000004-30.004

New York Yankees

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Paul Goldschmidt 1B·1-3321002121.204.316.449
Aaron Judge RF·1-5501100117.270.401.642
Cody Bellinger LF·3-4423201021.299.394.530
Amed Rosario 3B·1-4411000114.266.310.500
Jose Caballero SS0-110000007.254.309.397
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B·1-5501000116.209.291.336
Jasson Dominguez LF·0-000000000.200.250.367
Ryan McMahon 3B2-3312102128.223.311.351
Trent Grisham CF·3-5523300019.182.308.372
Max Schuemann 3B·1-4401100116.200.333.400
J.C. Escarra C·1-3311101011.211.250.342

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Paul Blackburn RP·1.000020024-103.0024
Brendan Beck SP3.022231152-286.0052
Tim Hill RP1.220001017-131.1317
Brent Headrick RP1.100011018-111.3718
Jake Bird RP1.000010015-85.1115
Camilo Doval RP1.020001023-155.7923

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningJansen reached on infield single to shortstop.
  2. 1st InningDuran walked.
  3. 9th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningMcMahon singled to center, Bellinger scored.2–9
  2. 7th InningSchuemann doubled to left, Grisham scored.2–8
  3. 6th InningBellinger singled to left, Goldschmidt scored, Judge to second.2–7
  4. 6th InningJudge singled to left, Escarra scored, Goldschmidt to second.2–6
  5. 6th InningGrisham doubled to left, Bellinger scored, McMahon scored and Rosario scored.2–4
  6. 6th InningEscarra singled to left, Grisham scored.2–5
  7. 1st InningBellinger tripled to right, Goldschmidt scored.0–1
  8. 5th InningDuran grounded into fielder's choice to second, Osuna scored, Nimmo out at second.2–1
  9. 3rd InningDuran homered to left (374 feet).1–1

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