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InTheRafters.com

HOU @ CIN

Joshua Silvia
15–22 minutes

Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Night GameOutdoor6:10 PM ET62°F · 7 mph wind · drizzle⚾ Mike Burrows vs Nick LodoloMLB.TVReds.TV
Result readHouston Astros

Houston Astros 10 · Cincinnati Reds 0

Final
Houston Astros16-26-1-0.8 net/g (SOS-adj -1.0) · expected win rate 42% · last 10: 40%
Cincinnati Reds22-20-0.9 net/g (SOS-adj -1.0) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 20%
Venue EdgeGreat American Ball ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

Houston Astros is the model’s call — Houston Astros on the margin numbers, Houston Astros on the form numbers. Pitcher confirmation and bullpen availability can move this fastest.

Rafty’s call: ✓ RIGHT
Pre-game pick: Houston Astros at 57%. Actual: Houston Astros by 10.

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Houston Astros

Cincinnati Reds

Injury Report

Cincinnati Reds

Caleb Ferguson15-Day-ILJosh StaumontDay-To-DayRhett LowderOutEugenio Suarez10-Day-ILConnor BurnsDay-To-Day

Houston Astros

Walker JanekDay-To-DayLucas SpenceDay-To-DayYainer Diaz10-Day-ILJeremy Pena10-Day-ILNate Pearson15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Houston Astros
YA Yordan Alvarez LF · #44 DJ Daniel Johnson CF · #31 CS Cam Smith RF · #11 IP Isaac Paredes 3B · #15 CC Carlos Correa SS · #1 JA Jose Altuve 2B · #27 CW C. Walker 1B · #8 MB Mike Burrows P · #50 YD Yainer Diaz C · #21
Cincinnati Reds
SS Spencer Steer LF · #7 TF TJ Friedl CF · #29 WB Will Benson RF · #30 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B · #3 EC E. Cruz SS · #44 MM Matt McLain 2B · #9 SS Sal Stewart 1B · #27 AA Andrew Abbott P · #41 TS T. Stephenson C · #37

Box Score

Top Performers

Final Notes

  • Final frame: Houston Astros beat Cincinnati Reds 10-0.
  • Top line: Mike Burrows (Houston Astros) — 7.0 IP, 6 K.
  • Support line: Yordan Alvarez (Houston Astros) — 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 R.
  • Support line: Zach Cole (Houston Astros) — 1-1, 1 HR, 3 RBI, 1 R.

Highlights

  1. ScoreParedes grounded out to second, Altuve scored.8th Inning5–0
  2. ScoreDezenzo homered to right (359 feet), Matthews scored.2nd Inning2–0
  3. ScoreCole homered to right (376 feet), Smith scored and Matthews scored.9th Inning8–0
  4. ScoreWhitcomb singled to right, Allen scored, Shewmake to second.9th Inning10–0
  5. ScoreVázquez homered to left center (385 feet).9th Inning9–0
  6. ScoreAlvarez homered to right center (407 feet), Altuve scored.6th Inning4–0

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Houston Astros02000201510130
Cincinnati Reds000000000050

Houston Astros

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jose Altuve 2B·1-3321000113.243.331.382
Braden Shewmake 2B1-110100003.353.353.706
Yordan Alvarez DH·2-4412210010.324.424.655
Shay Whitcomb 3B1-110110001.133.188.333
Isaac Paredes 3B·1-4401101033.264.364.397
Christian Walker 1B·0-550000009.296.369.549
Cam Smith RF·1-3311001020.221.307.359
Brice Matthews CF·2-4422000111.228.295.456
Zach Dezenzo LF·1-3311210113.167.167.667
Zach Cole CF1-111131003.273.273.818
Christian Vazquez C·1-4411110113.292.343.492
Nick Allen SS·1-4411000012.241.290.276

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Mike Burrows SP·7.030016098-625.0498
AJ Blubaugh RP1.010001021-115.0921
Logan VanWey RP1.010002020-140.0020

Cincinnati Reds

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
TJ Friedl CF·0-4400000117.188.265.278
JJ Bleday LF·0-3300001015.278.395.667
Elly De La Cruz SS·2-4402000118.271.341.516
Sal Stewart 1B·1-4401000016.245.331.490
Nathaniel Lowe DH·1-4401000215.269.345.564
Spencer Steer LF·0-4400000220.246.324.437
Tyler Stephenson C·0-3300000111.189.291.295
Matt McLain 2B·1-3301000011.204.310.314
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B·0-2200000110.134.192.227
Will Benson RF0-110000016.211.338.386

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Nick Lodolo SP·5.154412278-536.7578
Pierce Johnson RP1.200012021-143.6021
Tejay Antone RP1.011100016-114.5016
Tony Santillan RP0.044400213-75.1713
Jose Trevino C1.031100013-914.4013

Keep following: Today’s scores·Player values·Morning Line

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 9th InningSmith singled to left.
  2. 9th InningDe La Cruz singled to left.
  3. 9th InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play
  4. 9th InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play
  5. 9th InningPitch 6 : Strike 2 Foul
  6. 8th InningMcLain singled to center.
  7. 4th InningIsaac Paredes challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Isaac Paredes walks.

Scoring Plays

  1. 8th InningParedes grounded out to second, Altuve scored.5–0
  2. 2nd InningDezenzo homered to right (359 feet), Matthews scored.2–0
  3. 9th InningCole homered to right (376 feet), Smith scored and Matthews scored.8–0
  4. 9th InningWhitcomb singled to right, Allen scored, Shewmake to second.10–0
  5. 9th InningVázquez homered to left center (385 feet).9–0
  6. 6th InningAlvarez homered to right center (407 feet), Altuve scored.4–0

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