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InTheRafters.com

HOU @ CIN

Joshua Silvia
17–26 minutes

Keep followingToday’s scores·MLB player values·Morning Line

Game Read

A transparent matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. It is analysis, not betting advice.

Afternoon GameOutdoor4:10 PM ETProbables: Spencer Arrighetti vs Chase BurnsMLB.TV13715732Reds.TV
Result readCincinnati Reds

Houston Astros 1 · Cincinnati Reds 3

Final
Houston Astros16-27-1-1.0 net/g (schedule-adjusted -1.1) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 40%
Cincinnati Reds22-20-0.9 net/g (schedule-adjusted -1.0) · expected win rate 41% · last 10: 20%
Home VenueGreat American Ball ParkHome adjustment: +1.0 rating points

Cincinnati Reds gets the nod thanks to Cincinnati Reds’s margin advantage, with Houston Astros’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty’s call: ✗ WRONG
Pre-game pick: Houston Astros at 70%. Actual: Cincinnati Reds by 2.

Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, scoring margin, recent form, and home venue, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.

Key Players to Watch

Houston Astros

Cincinnati Reds

Injury Report

Cincinnati Reds

Caleb Ferguson15-Day-ILJosh StaumontDay-To-DayBrady SingerDay-To-DayRhett Lowder15-Day-ILEugenio Suarez10-Day-IL

Houston Astros

Lucas SpenceDay-To-DayYainer Diaz10-Day-ILJeremy Pena10-Day-ILWalker JanekDay-To-DayNate Pearson15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Houston Astros
YA Yordan Alvarez LF · #44 DJ Daniel Johnson CF · #31 CS Cam Smith RF · #11 IP Isaac Paredes 3B · #15 CC Carlos Correa SS · #1 JA Jose Altuve 2B · #27 CW C. Walker 1B · #8 MB Mike Burrows P · #50 YD Yainer Diaz C · #21
Cincinnati Reds
SS Spencer Steer LF · #7 TF TJ Friedl CF · #29 WB Will Benson RF · #30 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B · #3 EC E. Cruz SS · #44 MM Matt McLain 2B · #9 SS Sal Stewart 1B · #27 AA Andrew Abbott P · #41 TS T. Stephenson C · #37

Box Score

Top Performers

Final Notes

  • Final frame: Cincinnati Reds beat Houston Astros 3-1.
  • Top line: Spencer Arrighetti (Houston Astros) — 5.2 IP, 5 K, 1 ER.
  • Support line: Chase Burns (Cincinnati Reds) — 6.0 IP, 2 K, 1 ER.
  • Support line: Braden Shewmake (Houston Astros) — 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 R.

Highlights

  1. Home RunDe La Cruz singled to left, Trevino scored, Friedl to second, McLain thrown out at home.5th Inning1–3
  2. ScoreShewmake homered to right center (388 feet).5th Inning1–0
  3. Home RunMcLain singled to left, Benson scored and Steer scored, McLain to second, Trevino to second, Trevino safe at third on throwing error by left fielder Cole.5th Inning1–2

Scoring by Inning

Team123456789RHE
Houston Astros000010000142
Cincinnati Reds00003000—350

Houston Astros

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
Jose AltuveValue card 2B·1-4401000015.243.329.379
Yordan AlvarezValue card DH·1-2201002121.327.432.660
Isaac ParedesValue card 3B·0-4400000015.256.354.384
Christian WalkerValue card 1B·0-4400000013.288.360.534
Cam SmithValue card RF·0-4400000217.215.299.348
Zach ColeValue card LF·1-220100007.308.308.846
Zach DezenzoValue card LF0-110000013.143.143.571
Brice MatthewsValue card CF·0-3300000011.220.286.439
Braden ShewmakeValue card SS·1-331111007.350.350.800
Christian VazquezValue card C·0-2200001117.284.342.478

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Spencer ArrighettiValue card SP·5.253135093-591.8893
Enyel De Los SantosValue card RP1.00000209-84.509
Steven OkertValue card RP1.000000010-64.3210
Bryan AbreuValue card RP0.10000005-39.245

Cincinnati Reds

· Starter

Batting#

PlayerH-ABABRHRBIHRBBK#PAVGOBPSLG
TJ FriedlValue card CF·0-2200001110.185.267.274
Dane MyersValue card CF0-110000002.235.371.294
JJ BledayValue card LF·0-4400000010.250.362.600
Elly De La CruzValue card SS·2-4402100116.277.345.516
Sal StewartValue card 1B·1-4401000220.245.329.483
Ke'Bryan HayesValue card 3B0-000000000.134.192.227
Nathaniel LoweValue card DH·0-3300000118.259.333.543
Spencer SteerValue card LF·1-3311000011.248.324.434
Will BensonValue card RF·0-1110002117.207.352.379
Jose TrevinoValue card C·0-221000004.125.160.167
Matt McLainValue card 2B·1-330120019.207.311.314

Pitching#

PlayerIPHRERBBKHRPC-STERAPC
Chase BurnsValue card SP·6.041132187-492.1187
Brock BurkeValue card RP1.00000108-73.068
Graham AshcraftValue card RP1.000002019-121.8319
Pierce JohnsonValue card RP1.000000012-73.3812

Keep following: Today’s scores·Player values·Morning Line

Play-by-Play

Recent Plays

  1. 6th InningLowe flied out to left.
  2. 8th InningVázquez struck out swinging.
  3. 6th InningSteer lined out to shortstop.
  4. 6th InningPitch 8 : Ball In Play
  5. 8th InningPitch 7 : Strike 3 Swinging
  6. 6th InningPitch 7 : Ball In Play
  7. 6th InningPitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul

Scoring Plays

  1. 5th InningDe La Cruz singled to left, Trevino scored, Friedl to second, McLain thrown out at home.1–3
  2. 5th InningShewmake homered to right center (388 feet).1–0
  3. 5th InningMcLain singled to left, Benson scored and Steer scored, McLain to second, Trevino to second, Trevino safe at third on throwing error by left fielder Cole.1–2

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