Rafters Edge Simulation

A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.

Day GameOutdoor1:10 PM CT54°F · 9 mph wind · mostly clear⚾ Logan Gilbert vs Davis MartinMLB.TVMariners.TV
Model pickSeattle Mariners

Seattle Mariners 4.5 · Chicago White Sox 4.1

58%confidence
Seattle Mariners19-20+0.2 net/g (SOS-adj +0.3) · expected win rate 52% · last 10: 50%
Chicago White Sox17-21-1-0.5 net/g (SOS-adj -0.7) · expected win rate 45% · last 10: 60%
Venue EdgeRate FieldHome adjustment: +1.0 rating pts

The model leans Seattle Mariners because Seattle Mariners owns the cleaner scoring-margin profile and Chicago White Sox has the recent-form edge. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Three things to watch

  • Net efficiency. Seattle Mariners projects 52% from points-for vs points-allowed; Chicago White Sox sits at 45%.
  • Pitching matchup. Logan Gilbert (Seattle Mariners) vs. Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox).

Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.

Key Players to Watch

Seattle Mariners

Chicago White Sox

Injury Report

Chicago White Sox

Everson Pereira10-Day-ILAustin Hays10-Day-ILKyle Teel10-Day-ILKy Bush60-Day-ILPrelander Berroa60-Day-IL

Seattle Mariners

Teddy McGrawDay-To-DayPatrick Wisdom10-Day-ILVictor Robles10-Day-ILBryce Miller15-Day-ILMatt Brash15-Day-IL
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

Box Score

Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.

Recent Form

Chicago White Sox

  • L@ SD4-3
  • W@ LAA6-0
  • L@ LAA4-3
  • L@ LAA8-2
  • Lvs SEA12-8

Seattle Mariners

  • Lvs KC4-1
  • Wvs ATL5-4
  • Lvs ATL3-2
  • Wvs ATL3-1
  • W@ CHW12-8

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