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Recent Form

New York Yankees

  • L@ MIL4-3 F/10
  • L@ MIL4-3
  • L@ BAL3-2
  • W@ BAL6-2
  • L@ BAL7-0

Toronto Blue Jays

  • Wvs LAA14-1
  • Lvs LAA6-1
  • Lvs TB8-5
  • Lvs TB7-6 F/10
  • Wvs TB5-3 F/10

Game Read

A transparent matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. It is analysis, not betting advice.

Night GameOutdoor7:05 PM ETProbables: Trey Yesavage vs Cam SchlittlerMLB.TVPrime Video
Projected leanNew York Yankees

Toronto Blue Jays 3.3 · New York Yankees 5.4

68%confidence
Toronto Blue Jays19-24-1-0.3 net/g (schedule-adjusted -0.3) · expected win rate 47% · last 10: 30%
New York Yankees27-17+1.6 net/g (schedule-adjusted +1.3) · expected win rate 66% · last 10: 40%
Home VenueYankee StadiumHome adjustment: +1.0 rating points

New York Yankees gets the nod thanks to New York Yankees’s margin advantage, with New York Yankees’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Three things to watch

  • Net efficiency. New York Yankees projects 66% from points-for vs points-allowed; Toronto Blue Jays sits at 47%.
  • Pitching matchup. Trey Yesavage (Toronto Blue Jays) vs. Cam Schlittler (New York Yankees).

Inputs: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed, scoring margin, recent form, and home venue, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever game pages republish.

Key Players to Watch

Toronto Blue Jays

New York Yankees

Injury Report

New York Yankees

Ben HessDay-To-DayMax FriedDay-To-DayGerrit Cole15-Day-ILJose Caballero10-Day-ILGiancarlo Stanton10-Day-IL

Toronto Blue Jays

Javen ColemanDay-To-DayNathan Lukes10-Day-ILCJ StubbsDay-To-DayLazaro Estrada15-Day-ILFernando Perezdevelopmental list
On The Diamond

A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.

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