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TOR @ CHC

Joshua Silvia

June 13, 2026

30–45 minutes

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TOR @ CHC

UPCOMING MLB · Jun 19, 6:20 PM UTC · 6/19 – 2:20 PM EDT

Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago Cubs

Wrigley Field · Chicago, Illinois

Toronto Blue Jays0

Chicago Cubs0

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Recent Form

Chicago Cubs

Lvs SF2-1 F/10
L@ COL7-3
L@ COL3-2
W@ COL9-3
W@ SF5-1

Toronto Blue Jays

Wvs BAL6-4
Lvs PHI5-2
Wvs PHI3-2
Lvs PHI7-4
Wvs NYY8-5

Game Read

A matchup read built from team form, venue, rest, and availability context. It is analysis, not betting advice.

Day GameOutdoor1:20 PM CT69°F · 6 mph wind · clearProbables: Kevin Gausman vs Ben BrownMLB.TV

Projected leanChicago Cubs

Toronto Blue Jays 4.3 · Chicago Cubs 4.4

53%confidence

Toronto Blue Jays28-27Team form and scoring profile included

Chicago Cubs29-25Team form and scoring profile included

Home VenueWrigley FieldVenue context included in the matchup read

Chicago Cubs gets the nod thanks to Toronto Blue Jays’s margin advantage, with Toronto Blue Jays’s recent run providing the second tip. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.

Rafty's Take

Rafty's number says Chicago Cubs

Rafty’s pick: Chicago Cubs (53%). I have it landing Toronto Blue Jays 4.3 – Chicago Cubs 4.4.

Pure toss-up game. The records (28-27 vs. 29-25) and the projections agree it’s tight — the 53% edge is small enough that one cold quarter from either side flips it.

Pitching matchup: Kevin Gausman (Toronto Blue Jays) vs. Ben Brown (Chicago Cubs). The starter who works deeper saves his bullpen and probably the game.

From the rafters, with the numbers.

Three things to watch

Pitching matchup. Kevin Gausman (Toronto Blue Jays) vs. Ben Brown (Chicago Cubs).

Rafty checks team form, venue, schedule rhythm, and matchup context, then refreshes as game pages republish. Exact weighting stays private.

Interactive Rafty tool

Rafty Game Lab

Move the context sliders to see how Rafty’s matchup lean reacts before it becomes a public pick.

Rafty

Current lean Chicago Cubs

53% Chicago Cubs win probability 53%

Move a control to see what would swing the pick.

Why This Pick?

Toronto Blue Jays: Team formModerate
Chicago Cubs: Home venueSlight
Chicago Cubs: Probable startersModerate
Chicago Cubs: Relief contextSlight

Copies or saves the current sliders and toggles.

Scenario presets

Home venue edge+2.5 pts

Slide to test a quieter or louder home setting.

Recent-form swing+0.0 pts

Negative helps the away team; positive helps the home team.

Starter context

Kevin Gausman vs Ben Brown

Relief context

MLB relief workload context.

For entertainment and analysis only. This tool does not use betting odds, spreads, parlays, or wagering advice.

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