PHI @ ARI
Chase Field · Phoenix, Arizona
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Philadelphia Phillies 4.7 · Arizona Diamondbacks 4.1
Pick goes to Philadelphia Phillies on the back of Arizona Diamondbacks’s margin work and Philadelphia Phillies’s last-ten momentum. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Three things to watch
- Form gap. Philadelphia Phillies is 70% over their recent sample; Arizona Diamondbacks is 30%. Streaky teams tend to carry one more game than the math allows for.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Philadelphia Phillies
- Cristopher Sanchez SP · #61
- Aaron Nola SP · #27
- Tim Mayza RP · #37
- Adolis Garcia RF · #53
Arizona Diamondbacks
- Zac Gallen SP · #23
- Eduardo Rodriguez SP · #57
- Ketel Marte 2B · #4
- Corbin Carroll RF · #7
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.