CHC @ MIA
loanDepot park · Miami, Florida
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Chicago Cubs 5.4 · Miami Marlins 3.6
Pick goes to Chicago Cubs on the back of Chicago Cubs’s margin work and Chicago Cubs’s last-ten momentum. Lineup vs. starter L/R splits matter more than season ERAs in a one-game sample.
Three things to watch
- Form gap. Chicago Cubs is 80% over their recent sample; Miami Marlins is 40%. Streaky teams tend to carry one more game than the math allows for.
- Net efficiency. Chicago Cubs projects 61% from points-for vs points-allowed; Miami Marlins sits at 49%.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Chicago Cubs
- Edward Cabrera SP · #30
- Jameson Taillon SP · #50
- Alex Bregman 3B · #3
- Nico Hoerner 2B · #2
Miami Marlins
- Eury Perez SP · #39
- Sandy Alcantara SP · #22
- Jakob Marsee CF · #87
- Xavier Edwards 2B · #9
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.