BAL @ TOR
Rogers Centre · Toronto, Ontario
Rafters Edge Simulation
A transparent, site-owned matchup read built from recent scoreboard history, scoring margin, recent form, and home-venue adjustment. For entertainment and analysis only.
Baltimore Orioles 3.6 · Toronto Blue Jays 5.2
Two reasons the projection lands on Toronto Blue Jays: Toronto Blue Jays’s scoring margin profile and Toronto Blue Jays’s recent stretch. Park factor, weather, and lineup handedness vs. the starter own the run-total swing here.
Three things to watch
- Net efficiency. Toronto Blue Jays projects 47% from points-for vs points-allowed; Baltimore Orioles sits at 41%.
Formula: expected win rate from points-for vs. points-allowed (anchored), scoring margin, recent form, and home/venue edge, adjusted by league volatility. Refreshes whenever the venue/game workflow republishes game pages.
Key Players to Watch
Baltimore Orioles
- Chris Bassitt SP · #40
- Kyle Bradish SP · #38
- Gunnar Henderson SS · #2
- Pete Alonso 1B · #25
Toronto Blue Jays
- Kevin Gausman SP · #34
- Dylan Cease SP · #84
- Braydon Fisher RP · #63
- Mason Fluharty RP · #68
On The Diamond
A standard 1–9 lineup card pulled from the active roster. Click a player to open their profile.
Box Score
Live and final box-score stats appear here once the game tips.